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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 1.9

Home Win Probability

Maryland 42%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
142471459
MarylandMaryland
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-140-210-280-350-380-450-520-59
MarylandPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARPSMARTO514ydTD18ydPUNT30ydTD359ydTO1464ydTD1195ydPUNT35ydTD673ydPUNT412ydTO220ydPUNT310ydTD888ydPUNT37ydFG1175ydMISS1141ydPUNT34ydTD694ydPUNT39ydPUNT611ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT36ydDOWNS727ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-6ydTD533ydTO319ydTD744ydEND14yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Maryland
StatisticPenn StateMaryland
Passing29-4011-24
Pass Yards42168
Rush Yards19860
Total Yards619128
Turnovers13
3rd Down9-144-15
Penalties7-819-85
Possession33:2526:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Sean Clifford
26/31, 398 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sean Clifford
7 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
KJ Hamler
6 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Maryland
passing
Josh Jackson
10/21, 65 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Anthony McFarland
9 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Dontay Demus
1 REC, 18 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mary 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Jackson pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 5 yds to the Mary 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Josh Jackson run for 2 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 39

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-8 yds

Josh Jackson pass intercepted Jan Johnson return for 17 yds to the MARYLAND 44 MARYLAND Penalty, illegal block (-9 Yards) to the Mary 8

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Sean Clifford run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Josh Jackson run for 9 yds to the Mary 34

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Marcus Minor) to the Mary 25

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Gaddy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 41

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Journey Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 39

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Journey Brown run for 3 yds to the PnSt 42

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +6.45

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 58 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Jackson pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for no gain to the Mary 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Lorenzo Harrison III run for 8 yds to the Mary 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Josh Jackson run for 6 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Javon Leake run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.42

Josh Jackson pass complete to Sean Savoy for 15 yds to the MARYLAND 48 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, roughing passer (Micah Parsons) to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Javon Leake run for 9 yds to the PnSt 24

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Jackson run for no gain to the PnSt 24

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.94

Javon Leake run for 2 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Ellis McKennie) to the PnSt 27

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 6 yds to the PnSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler Mabry, broken up by Jan Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Josh Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 10 yds to the PnSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Jackson run for no gain to the PnSt 11

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -4.19

Josh Jackson pass intercepted Tariq Castro-Fields return for 5 yds to the PnSt 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ricky Slade run for 3 yds to the PnSt 8

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Ricky Slade run for 6 yds to the PnSt 14

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.27

Ricky Slade run for 1 yd to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 18 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.69

Sean Clifford pass complete to Dan Chisena for 40 yds to the MARYLAND 27 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Ricky Slade run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 28

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Sean Clifford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 29

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for no gain to the Mary 29 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Antoine Brooks Jr.) to the Mary 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ricky Slade run for 9 yds to the Mary 5

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.47

Ricky Slade run for 2 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ricky Slade run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 3 yds to the Mary 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Brian Cobbs

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Mary 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 40 yds , KJ Hamler returns for no gain to the PnSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Sean Clifford pass complete to Noah Cain for 9 yds to the PnSt 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 5 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 7 yds to the PnSt 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Sean Clifford pass complete to Justin Shorter for 14 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (Deon Jones) to the Mary 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Mary 18

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the Mary 15

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 15 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 13 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 30

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Anthony McFarland Jr.

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the Mary 32

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brandon Gaddy punt for 44 yds , KJ Hamler returns for no gain to the PnSt 32 PENN ST Penalty, illegal block (Drew Hartlaub) to the PnSt 14

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.32

Devyn Ford run for 20 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.66

Sean Clifford pass intercepted Tyrrell Pigrome return for no gain to the Mary 30

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

Jackson, Josh pass incomplete to Jones, Darryl (Porter Jr., J.), PENALTY PSU pass interference (Porter Jr., J.) 13 yards to the UMD43, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean Savoy

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Javon Leake run for 5 yds to the Mary 48

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.59

Josh Jackson sacked by Ellis Brooks for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 40

4th & 13Punt+48 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 36 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the MARYLAND 24 PENN ST Penalty, personal foul (Jonathan Sutherland) to the PnSt 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 3 yds to the PnSt 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler, broken up by Antoine Brooks Jr.

3rd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.43

Sean Clifford run for 25 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the PnSt 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.89

Sean Clifford pass complete to Devyn Ford for 15 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devyn Ford run for 5 yds to the Mary 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Sean Clifford pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.13

Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for 37 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 4 yds to the Mary 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler Mabry, broken up by Tariq Castro-Fields

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 46 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 8 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.18

Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for 5 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Sean Clifford pass complete to Cam Sullivan-Brown for 9 yds to the PnSt 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Sean Clifford pass complete to Cam Sullivan-Brown for 9 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.85

Sean Clifford pass complete to Ricky Slade for 19 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Sean Clifford run for 7 yds to the Mary 21

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Clifford run for 2 yds to the Mary 19

3rd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Sean Clifford pass complete to Cam Sullivan-Brown for 2 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.46

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 14 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -2.54

Jake Pinegar 21 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean Clifford run for 5 yds to the PnSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Noah Cain run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Sean Clifford pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 14 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.38

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the PnSt 45 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the PnSt 35

1st & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Sean Clifford pass complete to Cam Sullivan-Brown for 9 yds to the PnSt 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Sean Clifford pass complete to KJ Hamler for 8 yds to the Mary 48

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Sean Clifford run for 8 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to Dan Chisena

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Sean Clifford pass complete to Cam Sullivan-Brown for 6 yds to the Mary 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sean Clifford pass incomplete to KJ Hamler, broken up by Nick Cross

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Jordan Stout 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Anthony McFarland Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mary 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Sean Savoy

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Josh Jackson pass complete to Anthony McFarland Jr. for 2 yds to the Mary 39 MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Colton Spangler punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 6 , KJ Hamler returns for no gain to the PnSt 39 PENN ST Penalty, illegal block (C.J. Holmes) to the PnSt 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.57

Sean Clifford pass complete to Jahan Dotson for 15 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Journey Brown run for 12 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Clifford pass complete to Journey Brown for 4 yds to the PnSt 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.26

Sean Clifford pass complete to Nick Bowers for 55 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Journey Brown run for 7 yds to the Mary 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Journey Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Javon Leake run for no gain to the Mary 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Josh Jackson run for 9 yds to the Mary 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brandon Gaddy punt for 49 yds, fair catch by KJ Hamler at the PnSt 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Will Levis run for 8 yds to the PnSt 28

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Will Levis pass incomplete to Zack Kuntz

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Ricky Slade run for 5 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Levis pass incomplete to Zack Kuntz, broken up by Antoine Brooks Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Will Levis pass incomplete to Jahan Dotson

3rd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Levis pass complete to Ricky Slade for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 31

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 30 yds, downed at the Mary 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Rayshad Lewis, broken up by Joey Porter Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Josh Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler Mabry, broken up by Jesse Luketa

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.64

Josh Jackson sacked by Ellis Brooks and Adisa Isaac for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 31

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Brandon Gaddy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tariq Castro-Fields at the PnSt 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Will Levis run for 8 yds to the PnSt 39

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.85

Devyn Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 36

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the PnSt 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 41 yds, downed at the Mary 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Josh Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Mary 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.57

Josh Jackson pass complete to Dontay Demus Jr. for 18 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Josh Jackson run for no gain to the Mary 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Josh Jackson pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Josh Jackson pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 2 yds to the PnSt 48

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.17

Josh Jackson sacked by Adisa Isaac for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 49 Josh Jackson fumbled, recovered by Mary Josh Jackson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.78

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 48 TEAM fumbled, recovered by PnSt Noah Cain

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Will Levis pass incomplete to Dan Chisena

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Will Levis pass incomplete to Noah Cain

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Javon Leake run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Josh Jackson pass complete to Tayon Fleet-Davis for 3 yds to the Mary 19

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Jackson sacked by Ellis Brooks for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 14

4th & 16Punt+30 yds

Brandon Gaddy punt for 49 yds , Jahan Dotson returns for 30 yds to the Mary 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Devyn Ford run for 1 yd to the Mary 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Will Levis pass complete to Zack Kuntz for 10 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.45

Devyn Ford run for 15 yds to the Mary 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Devyn Ford run for 2 yds to the Mary 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Will Levis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 3 yds to the Mary 31

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

PENN ST Penalty, personal foul (C.J. Holmes) to the Mary 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.82

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for no gain to the Mary 44 Tayon Fleet-Davis fumbled, forced by Keaton Ellis, recovered by PnSt Keaton Ellis

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the Mary 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Will Levis pass complete to Isaac Lutz for 15 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the Mary 27

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the Mary 21

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the Mary 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Will Levis run for 8 yds to the Mary 8

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.12

Will Levis run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tayon Fleet-Davis run for 4 yds to the Mary 29

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
56%
36 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
64%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Maryland

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
10%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
31%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays