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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2019Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 55.1

Home Win Probability

Alabama 100%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
00033
AlabamaAlabama
172121766

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256703-017-024-031-038-052-059-366-3
AlabamaWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAWCALAWCWCALAWCALAWCALAWCALAWCALAWCWCALAWCALAWCALAWCALAWCALAFG846ydTO431ydTD379ydTD643ydPUNT625ydPUNT33ydTO31ydTD663ydPUNT38ydTD465ydPUNT40ydTD154ydPUNT3-4ydTO12ydDOWNS43ydTO10ydTD327ydTO38ydTD432ydPUNT413ydTD573ydFG1054ydTD1063ydPUNT37ydEND1034yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and Alabama
StatisticWestern CarolinaAlabama
Passing10-1912-15
Pass Yards112310
Rush Yards67231
Total Yards179541
Turnovers51
3rd Down2-125-8
Penalties3-364-45
Possession32:0927:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Tyrie Adams
10/19, 112 YDS, 4 INT
rushing
Donnavan Spencer
15 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Owen Cosenke
4 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
10/12, 275 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Keilan Robinson
8 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylen Waddle
3 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 8 yds to the WCaro 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the WCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the WCaro 40

2nd & 4Penalty+16 yds

Jones, Mac pass incomplete to Smith, DeVonta, PENALTY WESTCARLNA pass interference (White, JerMichael) 16 yards to the WESTCARLNA24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 10 yds to the WCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Najee Harris run for no gain to the WCaro 14

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the WCaro 11

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Major Tennison

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.63

Joseph Bulovas 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Donnavan Spencer run for 1 yd to the WCaro 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.12

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 28 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the Alab 44

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -2.89

Tyrie Adams pass intercepted Xavier McKinney return for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.45

Najee Harris run for 22 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 57 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyrie Adams run for 8 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.97

Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Justin Eboigbe) to the WCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Tyrie Adams run for 11 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Connell Young for 10 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyrie Adams run for 1 yd to the Alab 32

2nd & 9Interception Return Touchdown-81 ydsPPA -10.61

Tyrie Adams pass intercepted for a TD Xavier McKinney return for 81 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 9 yds to the WCaro 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Donnavan Spencer run for no gain to the WCaro 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 17 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Donnavan Spencer run for 6 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Donnavan Spencer run for 1 yd to the Alab 42

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.45

Tyrie Adams sacked by Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 48 yds, downed at the Alab 2

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 3

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 10

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 10

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Josh Jobe) to the Alab 5

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ty Perine punt for 33 yds, downed at the Alab 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Clayton Bardall

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Connell Young run for 1 yd to the Alab 37

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.35

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Tyrie Adams for no gain Tyrie Adams fumbled, forced by Xavier McKinney, recovered by Alab Patrick Surtain II

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.45

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 44 yds to the WCaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.14

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WCaro 17 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Landon Dickerson) to the WCaro 27

1st & 18Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.28

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie for 17 yds to the WCaro 10

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Mac Jones run for 4 yds to the WCaro 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Donnavan Spencer run for 1 yd to the WCaro 28

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Donnavan Spencer run for 5 yds to the WCaro 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 14 yds to the WCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.23

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 37 yds to the WCaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 12 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 15 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 42

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.31

Connell Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 39

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyrie Adams sacked by Christian Barmore and Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 9 yards to the WCaro 30

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 25

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 45

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 54 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Donnavan Spencer run for 1 yd to the WCaro 26

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.65

Will Jones sacked by Byron Young for a loss of 7 yards to the WCaro 19

3rd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 21

4th & 14Punt+49 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 31 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 49 yds to the WCaro 3

1st & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -5.54

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds Brian Robinson Jr. fumbled, recovered by WCaro Ty Harris

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 5 yds to the WCaro 25

2nd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyrie Adams sacked by Justin Eboigbe for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete

4th & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA +0.23

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 23

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -0.92

Tyrie Adams pass intercepted Jared Mayden return for 9 yds to the WCaro 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 22 yds to the WCaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the WCaro 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Najee Harris run for 3 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Connell Young run for 3 yds to the WCaro 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyrie Adams run for 5 yds to the WCaro 33

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyrie Adams pass intercepted Jared Mayden return for 5 yds to the WCaro 32

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Najee Harris run for 10 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the WCaro 18

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the WCaro 15

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.81

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 15 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Jaylin Young for 11 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connell Young run for no gain to the WCaro 36

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyrie Adams run for 2 yds to the WCaro 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Jaylin Young

4th & 8Punt+18 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 38 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 18 yds to the ALABAMA 44 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Ale Kaho) to the Alab 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Keilan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Alab 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Slade Bolden

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.02

Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 20 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Keilan Robinson run for 6 yds to the WCaro 46

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.65

Keilan Robinson run for 46 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Tyrie Adams run for 20 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Connell Young for 10 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Daquan Patten for 7 yds to the Alab 34

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Donnavan Spencer run for 10 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyrie Adams run for 1 yd to the Alab 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the Alab 21

4th & 7Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.02

Julian Pletz 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Keilan Robinson run for 20 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the WCaro 43

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the WCaro 38

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Keilan Robinson run for 9 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the WCaro 24

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the WCaro 20

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Jerome Ford run for 8 yds to the WCaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the WCaro 8

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jerome Ford run for 2 yds to the WCaro 6

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Jerome Ford run for 6 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Connell Young run for 7 yds to the WCaro 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Connell Young run for no gain to the WCaro 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Reggie Jones

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 33

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

De'Marquise Lockridge run for 8 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

De'Marquise Lockridge run for 4 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Chadarius Townsend run for 9 yds to the WCaro 46

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.20

Chadarius Townsend run for 5 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chadarius Townsend run for 6 yds to the WCaro 35

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Chadarius Townsend run for 3 yds to the WCaro 32

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Chadarius Townsend run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 34

4th & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.80

Chadarius Townsend run for 3 yds to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 32

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.06

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 33

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
59%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play