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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Vanderbilt by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 55%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
0010818
VanderbiltVanderbilt
1407324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-321-1024-1024-18
VanderbiltNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANNIVANTD480ydPUNT3-7ydTD531ydPUNT432ydPUNT39ydPUNT43ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT531ydPUNT441ydPUNT944ydPUNT416ydPUNT833ydEND10ydFG552ydPUNT412ydTD883ydTD475ydPUNT30ydFG1044ydTD675ydPUNT610ydPUNT925ydEND726yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Vanderbilt
StatisticNorthern IllinoisVanderbilt
Passing17-3221-28
Pass Yards280189
Rush Yards108184
Total Yards388373
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-143-11
Penalties9-749-97
Possession31:2528:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Ross Bowers
17/32, 280 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan Nettles
10 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Spencer Tears
3 REC, 100 YDS
defense
Vanderbilt
passing
Riley Neal
21/28, 189 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ke'Shawn Vaughn
17 CAR, 138 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kalija Lipscomb
8 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 23 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 8 yds to the Vandy 49 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Vandy 39

2nd & 14Rushing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.37

Keyon Brooks run for 61 yds for a TD, (Javan Rice KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.44

Ross Bowers sacked by Elijah McAllister for a loss of 10 yards to the NoIll 18

4th & 17Punt+22 yds

Matt Ference punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 31 , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 22 yds to the NoIll 31

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.58

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for no gain to the NoIll 31

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the NoIll 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.01

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 17 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 9 yds to the NoIll 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Javan Rice KICK)

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Jordan Nettles run for 34 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.40

Ross Bowers pass complete to Jordan Nettles for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 48

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 5 yds to the Vandy 43

4th & 12Punt+38 yds

Matt Ference punt for 43 yds for a touchback NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 1 yd to the Vandy 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 8 yds to the Vandy 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 34

4th & 1Punt-5 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 54 yds , Cole Tucker returns for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 7

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.35

Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 7 yds to the NoIll 18 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding (-9 Yards) to the NoIll 9

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Matt Ference punt for 36 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 2 yds to the NoIll 44

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.49

Riley Neal sacked by Camron Mattox for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 49

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Riley Neal pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 6 yds to the NoIll 45

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Riley Neal pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 5 yds to the NoIll 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Tyrice Richie run for 7 yds to the NoIll 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.77

Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 20 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jordan Nettles run for 1 yd to the NoIll 48

3rd & 9Penalty-15 yds

[SH], BOWERS, Ross pass complete to RICHIE, Tyrice for 15 yards to the VANDY37, out-of-bounds (Randall Haynie), PENALTY NIU pass interference (GAY, Rayshawn) 15 yards to the NIU33, NO PLAY.

3rd & 24Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.96

Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 18 yds to the Vandy 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ross Bowers punt for 40 yds, downed at the Vandy 9

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.81

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 39 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Michael Kennedy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam Johnson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 15

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Jordan Nettles run for 10 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Jordan Nettles run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Dayo Odeyingbo) to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Jordan Nettles run for 10 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Tre Harbison run for 10 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the Vandy 33

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Tyrice Richie run for 11 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 28

2nd & 16Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Ross Bowers sacked by Brandon Maddox for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 29

3rd & 17Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.32

Ross Bowers sacked by Elijah McAllister for a loss of 12 yards to the Vandy 41

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 15 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 6 yds to the NoIll 21

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.30

Jordan Nettles run for 4 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Mitchell Brinkman

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jordan Nettles run for 7 yds to the NoIll 32

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.37

Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Dimitri Moore) to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 42

2nd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Ross Bowers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 11 yds to the Vandy 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Ross Bowers pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 8

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.14

Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 44 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the Vandy 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Ross Bowers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 1 yd to the Vandy 21

4th & 2Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.50

John Richardson 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 13 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Riley Neal pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 6 yds to the Vandy 44

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

[SH], Ke'Shawn Vaughn rush for no gain to the VANDY44 (PATTON, Brayden), PENALTY VANDY personal foul (Saige Young) 15 yards to the VANDY29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Riley Neal pass incomplete to C.J. Bolar

3rd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 8 yds to the Vandy 37

4th & 11Punt+45 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds , Cole Tucker returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 17

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Tre Harbison run for 10 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 32

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.78

Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Jordan Nettles run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 32

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie

3rd & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.66

Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 23 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

[SH], BOWERS, Ross pass incomplete to TEARS, Spencer, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (BJ Anderson) 7 yards to the VANDY38, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tre Harbison

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.88

Ross Bowers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 38 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 15 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 12 yds to the NoIll 38 Ke'Shawn Vaughn fumbled, forced by Antwain Walker, recovered by Vandy for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 38 yds for a TD, (Javan Rice KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SH], HARBISON, Tre rush for 5 yards to the NIU30 (Dimitri Moore), PENALTY NIU holding (VELOZ, Nathan) 10 yards to the NIU15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Marques Cox) to the NoIll 10

1st & 25Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.53

Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 15 yds to the NoIll 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Tyrice Richie, broken up by Randall Haynie

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Daniel Crawford

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Riley Neal pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 5 yds to the NoIll 49

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.81

Riley Neal sacked by Marcus Kelly for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 49

2nd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Cole) to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38

2nd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.71

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 24 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Keyon Brooks run for no gain to the NoIll 14

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SH], Ke'Shawn Vaughn rush for no gain to the NIU14 (JONES-DAVIS, A;LABUS, Vinny), PENALTY VANDY holding (67) 10 yards to the NIU24, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.92

Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 14 yds to the NoIll 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.73

Javan Rice 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Ross Bowers pass complete to Tyrice Richie for 18 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Jordan Steckler) to the NoIll 38

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Mitchell Brinkman

3rd & 15Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.05

Ross Bowers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 28 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.00

Ross Bowers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 33 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Marcus Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ross Bowers pass to Mitchell Brinkman for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Justice Shelton-Mosley run for 4 yds to the Vandy 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the Vandy 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 4 yds to the Vandy 30

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Devin Cochran) to the Vandy 25

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Riley Neal pass incomplete to Chris Pierce

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Harrison Smith punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jordan Nettles run for 6 yds to the NoIll 29

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Ross Bowers pass complete to Rayshawn Gay for 10 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.38

Tre Harbison run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.52

Ross Bowers run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 38 Ross Bowers fumbled, recovered by NoIll Ross Bowers , return for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 38 , return for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 38

2nd & 26Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.44

Ross Bowers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 10 yds to the NoIll 48

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ross Bowers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 15

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 18 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 7 yds to the Vandy 39

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.97

Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 44

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 43

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 41

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
100%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play