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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2019Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 3

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 56%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Chattanooga
00000
TennesseeTennessee
21177045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-028-035-038-045-0
TennesseeChattanooga

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TENCHACHATENCHATENCHATENCHATENCHATENCHACHATENCHATENCHATENCHATENCHATENTD641ydTD35ydTO32ydTD316ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-7ydTO975ydTD689ydPUNT37ydTD982ydTO420ydFG1139ydEND24ydDOWNS40ydTD325ydDOWNS1562ydPUNT32ydTO49ydDOWNS524ydDOWNS939ydDOWNS521ydTO1123ydEND423yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Chattanooga and Tennessee
StatisticChattanoogaTennessee
Passing9-2610-19
Pass Yards76165
Rush Yards151195
Total Yards227360
Turnovers50
3rd Down6-174-10
Penalties4-495-65
Possession33:1326:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Chattanooga
passing
Nick Tiano
4/16, 40 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks
15 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Chris James
2 REC, 18 YDS
defense
Tennessee
passing
Jarrett Guarantano
7/8, 142 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Ty Chandler
10 CAR, 46 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marquez Callaway
2 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by Jordan Jones

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Tim Jordan run for 9 yds to the Chatt 32

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Chatt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Chatt 20

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Chatt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Ty Chandler run for 13 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Ailym Ford run for a loss of 5 yards to the Chatt 30

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Nick Tiano pass complete to Chris James for 10 yds to the Chatt 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Nick Tiano pass incomplete, broken up by Henry To'o To'o

4th & 5Blocked Punt+24 yds

Gabe Boring punt blocked by blocked by Brandon Johnson return for 24 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Lameric Tucker

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 27

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA +0.01

Nick Tiano pass intercepted Nigel Warrior return for 22 yds to the Chatt 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Chatt 12

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Chatt 12

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.94

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 12 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Lameric Tucker

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Lameric Tucker

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the Chatt 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tenn 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Eric Gray run for no gain to the Tenn 26

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 21

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 26

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Brian Maurer run for 8 yds to the Tenn 34

4th & 17Punt+2 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Chatt 14 , Brandon Dowdell returns for 2 yds to the Chatt 21 CHATTANOOGA Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Chatt 14

4th & 2Penalty-15 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (Trey Smith) to the Tenn 19

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Chatt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 32

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 32

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Nick Tiano run for 13 yds to the Chatt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 5 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.16

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 37 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for no gain to the Tenn 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Ailym Ford run for 7 yds to the Tenn 1

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CHATTANOOGA Penalty, false start (Chris James) to the Tenn 6

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -4.18

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Tenn Darrell Taylor

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.16

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 20 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Princeton Fant for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Chatt 47

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Chatt 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Chatt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 39 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Tiano pass incomplete, broken up by Daniel Bituli

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the Chatt 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 25

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 6 yds to the Tenn 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.35

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 18 yds to the Chatt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the Chatt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 28 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 2 yds to the Chatt 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 3 yds to the Chatt 30

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for no gain to the Chatt 30

4th & 5Penalty+15 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Will Ignont) to the Chatt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-6 ydsPPA -2.72

Nick Tiano pass intercepted Jeremy Banks return for 6 yds to the Tenn 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Shrout,J. pass intercepted by Jerrell Lawson at the UTC35, Jerrell Lawson return to the UT40, out-of-bounds (Gray,E.), PENALTY UTC roughing passer (Telvin Jones) 15 yards to the UTC39, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Chatt 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Cedric Tillman

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson

4th & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +3.00

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 10 yds to the Chatt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Eric Gray for 4 yds to the Chatt 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 9 yds to the Chatt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson, broken up by Cameron Turner

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Eric Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 17

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Warren Burrell

4th & 12Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA +0.15

Brent Cimaglia 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 29

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Ailym Ford run for 8 yds to the Chatt 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Juwan Tyus

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.18

Tim Jordan run for 14 yds to the Chatt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Chatt 6

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.45

Brian Maurer run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 15 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for no gain to the Chatt 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Juwan Tyus

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.16

Nick Tiano pass complete to Lameric Tucker for 15 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Nick Tiano pass complete to Chris James for 8 yds to the Tenn 37

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nick Tiano pass incomplete, broken up by Kenneth George Jr.

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.81

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 4 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Tenn 32

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Tenn 28

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Nick Tiano run for 2 yds to the Tenn 26

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.34

Nick Tiano pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 7 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 2 yds to the Tenn 17

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 4 yds to the Tenn 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Juwan Tyus, broken up by Kenneth George Jr.

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.73

Nick Tiano pass incomplete, broken up by Quavaris Crouch

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brian Maurer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Brian Maurer run for 2 yds to the Tenn 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Maurer pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 59 yds, downed at the Chatt 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jeffrey Wood II run for 3 yds to the Chatt 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Juwan Tyus for 8 yds to the Chatt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Jeffrey Wood II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 35

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.55

Drayton Arnold pass intercepted Jeremy Banks return for no gain to the Tenn 46

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Chip Omer run for 18 yds to the Chatt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Chip Omer run for 6 yds to the Chatt 30

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Fred Orr run for no gain to the Chatt 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Chip Omer

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.60

J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Fred Orr

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Kanore McKinnon for 7 yds to the Chatt 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Andrew Manning for 9 yds to the Chatt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Tenn 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Andrew Manning, broken up by Jaylen McCollough

4th & 6Penalty+15 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (Trevon Flowers) to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Drayton Arnold run for no gain to the Tenn 34

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 4 yds to the Tenn 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Ailym Ford

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jeffrey Wood II run for no gain to the Tenn 30

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.36

Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Andrew Manning

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Fred Orr run for 12 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Fred Orr run for 7 yds to the Tenn 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Fred Orr run for 2 yds to the Chatt 49

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Brian Maurer run for no gain to the Chatt 49

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.21

Fred Orr run for no gain to the Chatt 49

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jeffrey Wood II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 49

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jeffrey Wood II run for 2 yds to the Tenn 49

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.60

Drayton Arnold run for 9 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeffrey Wood II run for 5 yds to the Tenn 35

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 2 yds to the Tenn 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Demarcus Williams for 11 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 2 yds to the Tenn 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Drayton Arnold pass complete to Gage Upshaw for 1 yd to the Tenn 19

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jeffrey Wood II run for 7 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jeffrey Wood II run for no gain to the Tenn 12

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Drayton Arnold pass complete to R. Henderson for 12 yards to the UT0, clock 03:17, PENALTY UTC pass interference (R. Henderson) 15 yards to the UT27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.46

Drayton Arnold pass intercepted, touchback. Kenney Solomon return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Fred Orr run for 6 yds to the Tenn 26

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Fred Orr run for 5 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

James Christian run for 7 yds to the Tenn 38

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

James Christian run for 5 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Chattanooga

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
8 plays
100%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play