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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2019Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 41.9

Home Win Probability

Alabama 99%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
007310
AlabamaAlabama
211724062

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567014-021-028-035-038-045-045-755-762-10
AlabamaNew Mexico State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSNMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSALANMSTD175ydPUNT32ydTD1189ydPUNT519ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT37ydTO25ydTD650ydPUNT38ydTD772ydTO936ydTD684ydPUNT3-9ydFG43ydEND26ydPUNT58ydTD955ydTD775ydTD770ydTO217ydFG45ydPUNT30ydTD174ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydFG532ydPUNT33ydEND1565yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico State and Alabama
StatisticNew Mexico StateAlabama
Passing21-3621-33
Pass Yards161285
Rush Yards101318
Total Yards262603
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-157-14
Penalties1-154-35
Possession32:0327:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico State
passing
Josh Adkins
19/30, 145 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Josh Foley
7 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Tony Nicholson
2 REC, 44 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Tua Tagovailoa
16/24, 227 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Keilan Robinson
5 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jerry Jeudy
8 REC, 103 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Henry Ruggs III run for 75 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for no gain to the NMxSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 2 yds to the NMxSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt-2 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 50 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 25 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Alab 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.91

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 17 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.58

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 22 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 2 yds to the NMxSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.19

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 12 yds to the NMxSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 24

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.06

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 21 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Christian Gibson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Josh Adkins pass complete to Drew Dan for 9 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Christian Gibson run for no gain to the NMxSt 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 6 yds to the NMxSt 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 35 yds, downed at the Alab 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jaylen Waddle

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 37 yds, downed at the NMxSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 34

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jason Huntley run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 55 yds, downed at the Alab 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 7 yds to the Alab 19

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+36 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 41 yds, fair catch by OJ Clark at the ALABAMA 40 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jason Huntley run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line Jason Huntley fumbled, recovered by Alab

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 41

3rd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.23

Najee Harris run for 19 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 23

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.72

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 23 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Josh Adkins sacked by Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 7 yards to the NMxSt 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 12 yds to the NMxSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Adkins pass complete to Christian Gibson for 3 yds to the NMxSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.95

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 39 yds to the NMxSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 25

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 20

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Participation (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 25

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

3rd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.53

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 15 yds to the NMxSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 10 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Gibson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 4 yds to the NMxSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Josh Adkins run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 15 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Christian Gibson run for 2 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Josh Adkins pass complete to Tevis Abraham for 10 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Jason Huntley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 39

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.79

Josh Adkins pass intercepted Patrick Surtain II return for no gain to the Alab 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.77

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 29 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 12 yds to the NMxSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 10 yds to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 25

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.74

Tua Tagovailoa run for 25 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Christian Gibson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 1 yd to the NMxSt 37

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.71

Josh Adkins sacked by LaBryan Ray for a loss of 11 yards to the NMxSt 26

4th & 19Punt+24 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 31 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 24 yds to the NMxSt 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 3 yds to the NMxSt 30

4th & 7Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.77

Will Reichard 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Gibson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Christian Gibson run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 31

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jason Huntley run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 9 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Josh Adkins pass complete to Christian Gibson for a loss of 3 yards to the NMxSt 33

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Tony Nicholson

4th & 13Punt+22 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the ALABAMA 30 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Alab 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 2 yds to the NMxSt 47

4th & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.65

Tua Tagovailoa run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 3 yds to the NMxSt 35

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.36

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 16 yds to the NMxSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Najee Harris run for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Drew Dan run for 13 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Josh Adkins pass complete to Drew Dan for 13 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.97

Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 44 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Christian Gibson run for 1 yd to the Alab 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Josh Adkins run for no gain to the Alab 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Jason Huntley 4 Yd pass from Josh Adkins (Dylan Brown Kick)

3rd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Dylan Brown kickoff for 54 yds , Henry Ruggs III return for 19 yds to the Alab 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.94

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 23 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Mac Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 14 yds to the NMxSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 19 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Adkins run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 30

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.02

Josh Adkins pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 12 yds Naveon Mitchell fumbled, forced by Keilan Robinson, recovered by Alab Josh Jobe , return for 6 yds to the NMxSt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mac Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Mac Jones pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +0.62

Will Reichard 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Adkins pass complete to Robert Downs III for 5 yds to the NMxSt 30

2nd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.14

Josh Adkins sacked by Christopher Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+7 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 41 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 7 yds to the Alab 32 ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Alab 26

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.01

Keilan Robinson run for 74 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Gibson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for no gain to the NMxSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 65 yds, downed at the Alab 9

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Alab 14

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Alab 17

3rd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.38

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 14

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 44 yds, fair catch by OJ Clark at the NMxSt 42

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.59

Josh Foley run for 23 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Josh Foley run for 2 yds to the Alab 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Matt Romero pass complete to Eli Anderson for 7 yds to the Alab 26

4th & 1Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA -0.28

Dylan Brown 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Keilan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Alab 26

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Keilan Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Mac Jones pass complete to Giles Amos for 5 yds to the Alab 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tony Nicholson at the NMxSt 33

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Josh Foley run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Matt Romero run for 10 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Josh Foley run for 7 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Josh Foley run for 6 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Eli Anderson run for 2 yds to the Alab 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Matt Romero pass complete to Eli Anderson for 9 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Eli Anderson run for 6 yds to the Alab 18

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Josh Foley run for 2 yds to the Alab 16

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.21

Josh Foley run for 3 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Matt Romero pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Drew Dan run for 9 yds to the Alab 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Eli Anderson run for 2 yds to the Alab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Matt Romero run for no gain to the Alab 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Matt Romero pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Matt Romero pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
57%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
31 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play