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← Back to GamesDec 1, 2018Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 32.1

Home Win Probability

NC State 97%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East CarolinaEast Carolina
00033
NC StateNC State
1710141758

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-017-024-027-034-044-058-058-3
NC StateEast Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECECNSECECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECNSECFG1169ydPUNT626ydTD980ydTO643ydTD675ydPUNT37ydTD457ydPUNT32ydPUNT632ydPUNT36ydTO714ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-12ydFG666ydUncategorized00ydPUNT30ydPUNT516ydPUNT3-7ydTD840ydTO32ydTD25ydPUNT3-2ydFG1059ydTO2-12ydTD11ydPUNT32ydTD297ydPUNT3-1ydTO939ydFG549yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Carolina and NC State
StatisticEast CarolinaNC State
Passing9-2533-45
Pass Yards73421
Rush Yards31234
Total Yards104655
Turnovers33
3rd Down1-1510-16
Penalties2-203-30
Possession22:4137:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Carolina
passing
Reid Herring
8/22, 69 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Anthony Scott
12 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Trevon Brown
3 REC, 48 YDS
defense
NC State
passing
Ryan Finley
32/44, 409 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Reggie Gallaspy II
24 CAR, 220 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jakobi Meyers
13 REC, 163 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 7 yds to the NCSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.17

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 26 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Jalen Price

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 7 yds to the ECaro 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 4 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.31

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 19 yds to the ECaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 7 yds to the ECaro 5

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the ECaro 5

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 6

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.97

Christopher Dunn 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 20

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.06

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 17 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Reid Herring pass complete to Xavier Smith for 1 yd to the ECaro 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the ECaro 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Reid Herring pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 38 yds, downed at the NCSt 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 18 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 4 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.51

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 11 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 8 yds to the ECaro 39

3rd & 2Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.34

Ryan Finley pass complete to Brady Bodine for 26 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 14

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.26

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 14 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.02

Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 26 yds to the NCSTATE 49 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, HOL ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Hussein Howe run for 12 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Reid Herring pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the NCSt 32

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return-23 ydsPPA -3.26

Reid Herring pass intercepted Nick McCloud return for 23 yds to the NCSt 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the NCSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 8 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the NCSt 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.73

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 10 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.89

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 33 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 11 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Reid Herring pass complete to Xavier Smith for 4 yds to the ECaro 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the ECaro 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Reid Herring pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 2 yds to the ECaro 32

4th & 3Punt+21 yds

Jonn Young punt for 46 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 21 yds to the NCSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.75

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 31 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the ECaro 23

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.66

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 24

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.53

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 24 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Reid Herring pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for 8 yds to the ECaro 33

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.94

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 27 Anthony Scott fumbled, recovered by ECaro Anthony Scott

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 25

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Brady Bodine run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.27

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 29 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 17 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 34

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

3rd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.22

Ryan Finley sacked by Nate Harvey for a loss of 9 yards to the ECaro 43

4th & 21Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 37 yds, downed at the ECaro 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Trace Christian run for 3 yds to the ECaro 9

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Trace Christian run for 3 yds to the ECaro 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Reid Herring pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 34 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for no gain to the ECaro 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 8 yds to the ECaro 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.05

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 7 yds to the ECaro 24

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brady Bodine run for no gain to the ECaro 24

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (Jalen Price) to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.18

Jakobi Meyers sacked by Chance Purvis and Bruce Bivens for a loss of 13 yards to the ECaro 32

2nd & 23Pass Interception Return-16 ydsPPA -2.21

Ryan Finley pass intercepted Daniel Charles return for 16 yds to the ECaro 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Reid Herring pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Reid Herring pass complete to Hussein Howe for 6 yds to the ECaro 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Tahj Deans

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 32 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for no gain to the NCSt 43 Thayer Thomas fumbled, recovered by ECaro Bennett Boateng

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.46

Hussein Howe run for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

3rd & 17Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Reid Herring sacked by Deonte Holden for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 45

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 32 yds, downed at the NCSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 13 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.24

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 24 yds to the ECaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.20

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 15 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -1.48

Christopher Dunn 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Scott run for no gain to the ECaro 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Mydreon Vines

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 2 yds to the NCSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.93

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 12 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. Riley

4th & 8Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevon Brown at the ECaro 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 14

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.20

Reid Herring sacked by Tim Kidd-Glass for a loss of 10 yards to the ECaro 4

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the ECaro 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.53

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 17 yds to the ECaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 25

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 5 yds to the ECaro 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the ECaro 6

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the ECaro 3

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Cary Angeline

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.87

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 3 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the ECaro 24

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Trace Christian run for no gain to the ECaro 24

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return-27 ydsPPA +0.08

Kingsley Ifedi pass intercepted Jarius Morehead return for 27 yds to the ECaro 5

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the ECaro 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 4 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Hussein Howe run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 19

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the ECaro 20

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the ECaro 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Germaine Pratt at the NCSt 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 5 yds to the NCSt 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.57

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 19 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 49

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Ryan Finley pass complete to Devin Carter for 11 yds to the ECaro 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 5 yds to the ECaro 35

3rd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.30

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 22 yds to the ECaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 2 yds to the ECaro 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 2 yds to the ECaro 9

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.77

Christopher Dunn 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -0.63

Hussein Howe run for no gain to the ECaro 1 Hussein Howe fumbled, forced by Alim McNeill, recovered by NCSt Brock Miller , return for 12 yds to the ECaro 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Garrett Bradbury run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.73

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 52 yds, downed at the NCSt 3

1st & 10Rush+86 ydsPPA +4.44

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 86 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Woody Cornwell run for 11 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Caiden Norman pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Caiden Norman pass complete to Jonathan Johnson for 4 yds to the ECaro 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 37 yds, downed at the NCSt 39

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Damontay Rhem run for 13 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Damontay Rhem run for 4 yds to the ECaro 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Damontay Rhem run for 4 yds to the ECaro 40

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Matthew McKay run for 2 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Matthew McKay run for no gain to the ECaro 38

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Damontay Rhem run for 4 yds to the ECaro 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.36

Matthew McKay pass complete to Damontay Rhem for 12 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Damontay Rhem run for 3 yds to the ECaro 19

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.23

Will Dabbs run for 5 yds to the ECaro 22 Will Dabbs fumbled, recovered by ECaro Michael Witherspoon

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.57

Anthony Scott run for 53 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Anthony Scott run for no gain to the NCSt 25

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Anthony Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 26

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.56

Caiden Norman run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 29 Caiden Norman fumbled, recovered by ECaro Anthony Scott

4th & 14Field Goal Good+46 ydsPPA +1.49

Jake Verity 46 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
11%
19 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
38 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays