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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2018Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Boise State 49%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
0107017
Boise StateBoise State
3071424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-73-1710-1717-1724-17
Boise StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSMISS538ydPUNT3-1ydFG962ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT36ydTD983ydDOWNS1562ydMISS1066ydTO753ydFG737ydTD775ydTD1270ydPUNT32ydTD1159ydPUNT528ydTD783ydMISS848ydPUNT36ydDOWNS1151ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Boise State
StatisticFresno StateBoise State
Passing24-3524-30
Pass Yards283269
Rush Yards107179
Total Yards390448
Turnovers01
3rd Down2-1010-16
Penalties9-614-45
Possession25:3434:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Marcus McMaryion
24/35, 283 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan Mims
8 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
KeeSean Johnson
8 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Boise State
passing
Brett Rypien
24/29, 269 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Alexander Mattison
30 CAR, 144 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
A.J. Richardson
5 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.96

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 41 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, false start (CT Thomas) to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.37

Brett Rypien sacked by George Helmuth for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. Richardson

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Haden Hoggarth 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 6 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 3 yds to the FrsSt 43

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Jamire Jordan) to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Jared Rice) to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 52 yds , Avery Williams returns for 5 yds to the BoiSt 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 2Penalty+10 yds

RYPIEN, Brett pass incomplete to RICHARDSON, AJ, PENALTY FS holding (BRYANT, Jaron) 10 yards to the BSU38, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brett Rypien run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 41

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, offside defense (Kevin Atkins) to the BoiSt 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 15 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 9 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.36

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

CT Thomas pass incomplete to Brett Rypien, broken up by Mike Bell

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for no gain to the FrsSt 18

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.49

Haden Hoggarth 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 22

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

RIVERS, Ronnie rush up middle for 12 yards to the FS34 (WEAVER, Curtis), PENALTY FS holding (HUGHES, Logan) 10 yards to the FS12, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus McMaryion sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 10 yards to the FrsSt 4 Marcus McMaryion fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Christian Cronk , return for 0 yards

3rd & 29Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.04

Marcus McMaryion run for 15 yds to the FrsSt 19

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the FrsSt 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 6 yds to the FrsSt 40

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.84

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Quinn Skillin punt for 26 yds, downed at the FrsSt 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Derrion Grim run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 24

2nd & 3Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.87

Jordan Mims run for 22 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Tyler Horton

3rd & 8Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.38

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 38 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 9 yds to the BoiSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the BoiSt 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brett Rypien run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Alexander Mattison run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for 5 yds to the BoiSt 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 10 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 8 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Robert Mahone run for no gain to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Brett Rypien run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for 9 yds to the FrsSt 21

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 22

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 13

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Brett Rypien run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. Richardson

4th & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.84

Haden Hoggarth run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 11 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Josh Hokit for 22 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Josh Hokit run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 47

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.90

Marcus McMaryion run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared Rice

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Asa Fuller 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brett Rypien pass complete to Khalil Shakir for no gain to the BoiSt 21

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.72

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 10 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.05

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 25 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 11 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-33 ydsPPA -4.05

Brett Rypien pass intercepted Juju Hughes return for 33 yds to the FrsSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 5 yds to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.18

Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tyson Maeva) to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 9 yds to the BoiSt 33

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.24

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 11 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.43

Marcus McMaryion sacked by Jabari Watson for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 30 FRESNO ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Marcus McMaryion) to the BoiSt 30

2nd & 18Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.08

Asa Fuller 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Ronnie Rivers run for 26 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.06

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 24 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.65

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 19 yds to the BoiSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Derrion Grim run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Marcus McMaryion run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Marcus McMaryion run for no gain to the BoiSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Alexander Mattison run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 8 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 4 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean Modster

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

RYPIEN, Brett rush up middle for 4 yards to the FS35 (ALLISON, J.;JOHNSON, Isaiah), PENALTY BSU holding (QUEVEDO, Eric) 10 yards to the FS49, NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.07

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Bates for 15 yds to the FrsSt 34

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.56

Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.03

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Khalil Shakir run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 12

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 5 yds to the FrsSt 7

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.52

Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared Rice

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Michiah Quick, broken up by Jabari Watson

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 33 yds , Avery Williams returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brett Rypien pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 5 yds to the BoiSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Alexander Mattison run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Brett Rypien pass complete to Robert Mahone for 10 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Robert Mahone run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 3 yds to the FrsSt 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Alexander Mattison run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 12

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Khalil Shakir run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 11

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Brett Rypien run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 13 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Jordan Mims run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Michiah Quick, broken up by Kekoa Nawahine

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 43

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Kyle Riddering) to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 44 yds, downed at the BoiSt 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brett Rypien pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 5 yds to the BoiSt 25

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.43

Brett Rypien run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Alexander Mattison run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alexander Mattison, broken up by Mykal Walker

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +5.67

Brett Rypien pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 49 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 11 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 21 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 11 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Josh Hokit run for no gain to the BoiSt 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jordan Mims

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+50 yds

Asa Fuller 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Avery Williams Tyler Horton return for no gain to the FrsSt 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 43

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brett Rypien run for no gain to the FrsSt 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Quinn Skillin punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Michiah Quick, broken up by Blake Whitlock

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.19

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 20 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 12 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 13 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -2.31

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33 FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal block (Logan Hughes) to the BoiSt 43

1st & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared Rice

2nd & 18Penalty+15 yds

MCMARYION, M. pass incomplete, PENALTY BSU pass interference (HORTON, Tyler) 15 yards to the BSU28, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 23

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.92

Marcus McMaryion sacked by Tyson Maeva and Tony Lashley for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 29

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.86

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Avery Williams

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 37

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.02

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.96

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 38

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
55%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
58%
31 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
38%
8 plays
3rd
75%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play