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← Back to GamesOct 7, 2018Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 11.4

Home Win Probability

Nevada 21%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 7, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
077721
NevadaNevada
03003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-73-143-21
NevadaFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVFSNEVDOWNS840ydPUNT720ydPUNT620ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydTD969ydFG1151ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT35ydPUNT35ydTO38ydTO15ydTO849ydEND1-1ydPUNT39ydPUNT31ydTD580ydPUNT39ydPUNT411ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTO1249ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-7ydTD444ydDOWNS1661ydPUNT32ydUncategorized535yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Nevada
StatisticFresno StateNevada
Passing20-2822-43
Pass Yards241195
Rush Yards30132
Total Yards271327
Turnovers13
3rd Down3-134-18
Penalties4-301-5
Possession22:5534:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Marcus McMaryion
20/28, 241 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Ronnie Rivers
5 CAR, 12 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jared Rice
3 REC, 98 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Cristian Solano
22/43, 195 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Cristian Solano
23 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Kaleb Fossum
12 REC, 97 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kelton Moore run for 4 yds to the Nevad 29

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Cristian Solano run for 15 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the Nevad 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 8 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Cristian Solano pass complete to Romeo Doubs for no gain to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Kelton Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 10 yds to the FrsSt 34

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.63

McLane Mannix run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 35

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Christian Cronk) to the FrsSt 30

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dejonte O'Neal run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for 10 yds to the FrsSt 44

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Marcus McMaryion run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 13 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the Nevad 37

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.62

Marcus McMaryion sacked by Malik Reed for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 45

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 18

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Cristian Solano run for 7 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 6 yds to the Nevad 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Cristian Solano run for 1 yd to the Nevad 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum, broken up by Mykal Walker NEVADA Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds, downed at the FrsSt 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Dejonte O'Neal run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.27

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for no gain to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 1 yd to the FrsSt 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.96

Cristian Solano sacked by James Bailey for a loss of 11 yards to the Nevad 9

2nd & 21Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.08

Kelton Moore run for 9 yds to the Nevad 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Toa Taua

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 51 yds, downed at the FrsSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 10 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 17 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 9 yds to the Nevad 32

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 3 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Delvon Hardaway run for 1 yd to the Nevad 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 19 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the Nevad 33

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

SOLANO, C. sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NEVADA28 (WALKER, Mykal), PENALTY FS offside (MCCOY, Ricky) 5 yards to the NEVADA38, 1ST DOWN NEVADA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange, broken up by Anthoula Kelly

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Cristian Solano pass complete to McLane Mannix for 14 yds to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum, broken up by Mike Bell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 9 yds to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 40

4th & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.35

Cristian Solano run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 4 yds to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 20

3rd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.27

Cristian Solano sacked by Jeff Allison and George Helmuth for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 24

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.22

Ramiz Ahmed 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Dejonte O'Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 46 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for no gain to the Nevad 19 Romeo Doubs fumbled, recovered by Nevad Romeo Doubs

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to McLane Mannix, broken up by Jaron Bryant

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 21

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Cristian Solano run for 3 yds to the Nevad 24

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (Nick Abbs) to the FrsSt 33

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Coleman run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 36

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 7 yds to the FrsSt 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 27 yds, downed at the Nevad 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 12 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Toa Taua) to the Nevad 38

1st & 15Pass Interception Return-43 ydsPPA -1.31

Cristian Solano pass intercepted Anthoula Kelly return for 43 yds to the Nevad 11

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.48

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 1 yd Jamire Jordan fumbled, forced by Dameon Baber, recovered by Nevad Gabriel Sewell , return for 3 yds to the Nevad 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kelton Moore run for 6 yds to the Nevad 15

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Cristian Solano run for 11 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Cristian Solano run for 3 yds to the Nevad 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.22

Cristian Solano pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 18 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 11 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.74

Cristian Solano pass intercepted Juju Hughes return for no gain to the FrsSt 5

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 4

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dejonte O'Neal run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 1 yd to the Nevad 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Anthoula Kelly NEVADA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to McLane Mannix, broken up by Mike Bell

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 74 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+69 ydsPPA +3.86

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 69 yds to the Nevad 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the Nevad 8

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 6 yds to the Nevad 2

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the Nevad 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 5 yds to the Nevad 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Chris Coleman for 11 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Chris Coleman

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jared Rice

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 54 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 11 yds to the Nevad 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 26

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Cristian Solano run for 7 yds to the Nevad 33

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 33 yds, downed at the FrsSt 35

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Dejonte O'Neal run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 10 yds to the FrsSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Dejonte O'Neal

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 54 yds, downed at the Nevad 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Cristian Solano pass complete to Reagan Roberson for 6 yds to the Nevad 11

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the Nevad 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cristian Solano run for 6 yds to the Nevad 21

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Cristian Solano run for 1 yd to the Nevad 22

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.92

Cristian Solano run for 5 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kelton Moore run for 5 yds to the Nevad 32

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Cristian Solano sacked by Patrick Belony and Keiti Iakopo for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.37

Cristian Solano pass complete to McLane Mannix for 13 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cristian Solano run for 3 yds to the Nevad 44

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.71

Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 6 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.46

Cristian Solano pass intercepted Mike Bell return for no gain to the FrsSt 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 22

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 72 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Cristian Solano run for 2 yds to the Nevad 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum, broken up by Anthoula Kelly

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.27

Cristian Solano sacked by Kevin Atkins for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Quinton Conaway punt for 31 yds, downed at the Nevad 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the Nevad 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dejonte O'Neal run for 1 yd to the Nevad 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 12 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 27 yds for a TD, (Asa Fuller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Cristian Solano run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 28

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Cristian Solano run for 7 yds to the Nevad 35

4th & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.29

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 6 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 15 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 9 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Cristian Solano pass complete to McLane Mannix for 10 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 4 yds to the FrsSt 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Toa Taua

4th & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Cristian Solano run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks, broken up by Arron Mosby

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Cristian Solano run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 10

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.61

Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the FrsSt 10

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 16

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 12

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.07

Cristian Solano pass complete to McLane Mannix for 18 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Cristian Solano run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Cristian Solano pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 10 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Cristian Solano pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cristian Solano run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 17

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
44%
9 plays
50%
18 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays