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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2018Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 44%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
31411735
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
1400721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-314-1014-1714-2014-3521-35
Georgia SouthernTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROPUNT34ydFG722ydTD679ydPUNT33ydPUNT616ydTO1-4ydTD331ydTD1285ydPUNT833ydTD692ydPUNT38ydMISS1055ydEND1-1ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydFG930ydPUNT39ydTD364ydPUNT36ydTD877ydTD475ydMISS1356ydDOWNS1436ydEND1-16yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and Georgia Southern
StatisticTroyGeorgia Southern
Passing23-3014-23
Pass Yards314190
Rush Yards140101
Total Yards454291
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-144-13
Penalties4-454-47
Possession34:3625:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Sawyer Smith
21/28, 287 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
B.J. Smith
22 CAR, 86 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Sidney Davis
10 REC, 85 YDS
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Shai Werts
14/23, 190 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Shai Werts
16 CAR, 35 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wesley Fields
5 REC, 138 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Logan Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 21 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 7 yds to the GeoSo 44

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Sidney Davis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to B.J. Smith

4th & 8Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyler Sumpter 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 9Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.06

Monteo Garrett run for 29 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.88

Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 44 yds to the Troy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the Troy 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 1 yd to the Troy 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Sawyer Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Damion Willis

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 65 yds, downed at the GeoSo 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 9

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 11

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Shai Werts pass incomplete, broken up by Tron Folsom

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.31

Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 23

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Terence Dunlap at the Troy 39

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -2.14

Sawyer Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 31 Sawyer Smith fumbled, forced by Logan Hunt, recovered by GeoSo Kenderick Duncan Jr. , return for 4 yds to the Troy 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.90

Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 30 yds to the Troy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 2 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 18

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 23

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.81

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 4 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Troy 32

1st & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

DK Billingsley run for 13 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 12 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Luke Whittemore pass complete to Tray Eafford for 16 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 5 yds to the GeoSo 17

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, false start (Damion Willis) to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 9 yds to the GeoSo 13

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 14

4th & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Sidney Davis pass complete to Sawyer Smith for 11 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Tray Eafford run for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Wesley Kennedy III run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Ellis Richardson

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.07

Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 14 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the Troy 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Ellis Richardson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Terence Dunlap at the Troy 8

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.48

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 2

2nd & 16Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.87

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 41 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.89

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 40 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 7 yds to the GeoSo 10

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 4 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

B.J. Smith run for 6 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Logan Wright

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Shai Werts pass complete to Obe Fortune for 7 yds to the GeoSo 29

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 46 yds , Terence Dunlap returns for no gain to the Troy 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sawyer Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the Troy 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Sidney Davis

3rd & 9Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +4.07

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 41 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Damion Willis, broken up by Joshua Moon

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Luke Whittemore, broken up by Kindle Vildor

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Tyler Sumpter 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for no gain to the Troy 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Sawyer Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Daniel Crowell for 3 yds to the Troy 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.91

Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 22

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.20

Shai Werts sacked by Antione Barker for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 19

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Terence Dunlap at the Troy 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.96

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DK Billingsley run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.30

B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 28

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Sawyer Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 25

4th & 3Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Sumpter 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shai Werts pass complete to Davarius Bargnare for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Wesley Fields run for no gain to the GeoSo 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 6 yds to the GeoSo 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 30 yds, downed at the Troy 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.79

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 21 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Smith, Sawyer pass incomplete to Willis, Damion, PENALTY GS pass interference (M. Brinson) 15 yards to the GS28, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.40

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 29 yds for a TD (Sidney Davis pass to Damion Willis for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Davarius Bargnare

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Magill Bauerle punt for 36 yds , Terence Dunlap returns for no gain to the Troy 31 TROY Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Troy 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 15 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

B.J. Smith run for 11 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.50

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 18 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.39

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 21 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

B.J. Smith run for 10 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.24

Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 44 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the Troy 22

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.45

Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the Troy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Shai Werts run for 18 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for 7 yds to the Troy 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 39

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.95

B.J. Smith run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

DK Billingsley run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 48

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

DK Billingsley run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 42

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 41

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Logan Hunt) to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Sidney Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.03

B.J. Smith run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the GeoSo 13

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Sawyer Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 19

3rd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

DK Billingsley run for no gain to the GeoSo 19

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Tyler Sumpter 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Shai Werts pass complete to Monteo Garrett for 6 yds to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Shai Werts sacked by Antione Barker for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 25

2nd & 15Penalty-12 yds

S. Werts pass incomplete to O. Fortune, QB hurry by Barker, Antione, PENALTY GS personal foul (J. Culbreth) 12 yards to the GS13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 27Penalty+15 yds

TROY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Obe Fortune, broken up by Blace Brown

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.97

Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 8 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Shai Werts pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Mark Michaud

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39

4th & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.43

Shai Werts pass complete to Davarius Bargnare for 14 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Ellis Richardson

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.89

Shai Werts sacked by Hunter Reese for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 48

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Shai Werts pass complete to Davarius Bargnare for 8 yds to the Troy 44

4th & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Shai Werts run for no gain to the Troy 44

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TROY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Justin Whisenhunt) to the Troy 29

1st & 25Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.26

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 28

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
40%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
22 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays