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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2018Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 10.1

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 24%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
16150738
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
7100017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-60-97-1610-2317-3117-38
South AlabamaTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROSATROSATROSATROSATROSATROSASASATROSATROSATROSATROSATROTD570ydPUNT3-12ydFG1135ydTD571ydTD274ydPUNT518ydTD598ydFG1248ydTD467ydTD775ydTO625ydTO37ydTO10ydTO314ydPUNT38ydPUNT825ydPUNT729ydMISS1374ydPUNT33ydTO1262ydTD222ydPUNT518ydUncategorized435yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and South Alabama
StatisticTroySouth Alabama
Passing9-1618-30
Pass Yards158275
Rush Yards252110
Total Yards410385
Turnovers23
3rd Down5-135-14
Penalties7-677-91
Possession25:3234:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Sawyer Smith
9/16, 158 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
B.J. Smith
22 CAR, 170 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Damion Willis
5 REC, 132 YDS, 2 TD
defense
South Alabama
passing
Evan Orth
18/29, 275 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Tra Minter
23 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Jamarius Way
6 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Bull Barge
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 31

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 34

3rd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.13

Sawyer Smith run for 5 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 49

1st & 15Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.58

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 45 yds to the SAlab 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 22

3rd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.15

Evan Orth sacked by Hunter Reese for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 13

4th & 22Punt+42 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 27 yds, downed at the Troy 40 TROY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Troy 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.43

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 49

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the SAlab 46

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.09

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the SAlab 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Richard Hallman for 5 yds to the SAlab 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.17

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Tray Eafford for 10 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the SAlab 24

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sawyer Smith run for 4 yds to the SAlab 20

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyler Sumpter 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.87

Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 38 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Evan Orth run for 2 yds to the Troy 31

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

TROY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Troy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Deonta Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 19

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the Troy 16

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.28

Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for 16 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.59

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 30 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 44 yds for a TD TROY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 8 (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 9 yds to the SAlab 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Evan Orth pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Evan Orth pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 53 yds , Marcus Jones returns for no gain to the Troy 43 TROY Penalty, Illegal Block (2 Yards) to the Troy 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 5

2nd & 7Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.94

B.J. Smith run for 56 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the SAlab 36

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.30

B.J. Smith run for 36 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Tra Minter run for 22 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.77

Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 11 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Evan Orth pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kawaan Baker run for 1 yd to the Troy 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.09

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 9 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the Troy 26

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Evan Orth run for 5 yds to the Troy 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Evan Orth pass complete to Maurice Mayo for no gain to the Troy 16

3rd & 5Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.54

Evan Orth sacked by Will Sunderland and Tron Folsom for a loss of 11 yards to the Troy 27

4th & 16Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +1.52

Gavin Patterson 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+61 ydsPPA +3.38

Deondre Douglas run for 61 yds to the SAlab 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Sawyer Smith run for 1 yd to the SAlab 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the SAlab 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 3 yds for a TD (Sidney Davis pass to Sawyer Smith for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.83

Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for 26 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Maurice Mayo run for 7 yds to the Troy 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.59

Evan Orth run for 2 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the Troy 31

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.04

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 31 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Sidney Davis run for 8 yds to the Troy 31

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 32

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.80

Sawyer Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for no gain to the Troy 48

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -1.65

Sawyer Smith pass intercepted Sterrling Fisher return for 4 yds to the SOUTHALA 48 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SAlab 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Evan Orth pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 9 yds to the SAlab 37

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.00

Tra Minter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 35

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-60 ydsPPA -4.28

Evan Orth pass intercepted Cedarius Rookard return for 60 yds to the SAlab 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kawaan Baker run for 8 yds to the SAlab 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Evan Orth run for 6 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.14

Evan Orth pass intercepted Marcus Jones return for no gain to the Troy 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 28

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 1 yd to the Troy 29

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

B.J. Smith run for 8 yds to the Troy 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Evan Orth pass complete to Malik Stanley for 9 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cephus Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Evan Orth pass complete to Khameron Taylor for 16 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the Troy 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Evan Orth run for 1 yd to the Troy 41

3rd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.58

Evan Orth sacked by Will Choloh Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 49

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the Troy 20

3rd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.17

Sawyer Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 15

4th & 15Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the Troy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TROY Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Troy 15

1st & 25Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.80

B.J. Smith run for 28 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 3 yds to the Troy 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sawyer Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 48 yds, downed at the SAlab 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 4

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.85

Tra Minter run for 17 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 5 yds to the SAlab 26

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 29

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.27

Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kawaan Baker run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Tywun Walters run for 10 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Tywun Walters run for 7 yds to the Troy 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for 18 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the Troy 25

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the Troy 23

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Maurice Mayo run for no gain to the Troy 23

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Gavin Patterson 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 28

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 26

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tra Minter at the SAlab 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Kawaan Baker run for 2 yds to the SAlab 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 12 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 14 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tra Minter run for no gain to the Troy 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 11 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jamarius Way run for 1 yd to the Troy 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Evan Orth pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Evan Orth pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.97

Evan Orth pass complete to Malik Stanley for 16 yds to the Troy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tra Minter run for 6 yds to the Troy 14

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Evan Orth pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return-98 ydsPPA +0.11

Evan Orth pass intercepted Terence Dunlap return for 88 yds to the SAlab 0 TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the SAlab 22

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (11 Yards) to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 10 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Sawyer Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Evan Orth pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Evan Orth pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.66

Evan Orth sacked by Will Choloh Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 42

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Cephus Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 43

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cephus Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Corliss Waitman punt for 43 yds, downed at the Troy 14

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.88

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the Troy 14 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 37

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.11

B.J. Smith run for 12 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
44%
18 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
33 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
15 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play