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← Back to GamesOct 4, 2018Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 18.8

Home Win Probability

Troy 87%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 4, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
0331420
TroyTroy
14901437

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-023-023-323-630-630-1237-20
TroyGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSTROGSGSTROGSTROGSTROGSGSTROTROGSTROTD479ydTO865ydTD790ydPUNT610ydTD1284ydPUNT32ydDOWNS567ydSAF1-1ydPUNT32ydPUNT621ydPUNT38ydFG1049ydEND1-3ydUncategorized00ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydFG1469ydUncategorized828ydTO359ydTD961ydUncategorized00ydTD1075ydUncategorized00ydTD375ydTD960ydUncategorized414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Troy
StatisticGeorgia StateTroy
Passing20-3619-25
Pass Yards272217
Rush Yards115337
Total Yards387554
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-1310-15
Penalties2-5112-80
Possession59:0630:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Dan Ellington
20/36, 272 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dan Ellington
19 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Penny Hart
6 REC, 128 YDS
defense
Ed Curney
0.5 TFL
Troy
passing
Kaleb Barker
9/10, 136 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
B.J. Smith
17 CAR, 140 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Damion Willis
4 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+75 ydsPPA +4.64

Kaleb Barker run for 75 yds to the GeoSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 8 yds to the GeoSt 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Dan Ellington pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the Troy 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the Troy 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.98

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for no gain to the Troy 32

4th & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+22 ydsPPA -2.16

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 22 yds Cornelius McCoy fumbled, forced by Tyler Murray, recovered by Troy Melvin Tyus

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the Troy 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sidney Davis for 5 yds to the Troy 18

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.61

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 5 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Kaleb Barker run for 12 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

B.J. Smith run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 50 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.32

Seth Paige run for no gain to the GeoSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Seth Paige run for no gain to the GeoSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Seth Paige run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 38

4th & 10Punt-3 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 46 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Richard Hallman for 5 yds to the Troy 21

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

Smith, Sawyer pass complete to Daughtry-Frye, Jabir for no gain to the TROY21, PENALTY TROY holding (#) 10 yards to the TROY11, NO PLAY, PENALTY GEORGIAST personal foul (Applin, DeAndre) 0 yards to the TROY21, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.26

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sidney Davis for 14 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 7 yds to the Troy 42

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.31

B.J. Smith run for 8 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 35

2nd & 22Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.17

Kaleb Barker run for 14 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.18

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 28 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 10 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Damion Willis

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 12

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.09

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 41 yds, downed at the Troy 32

1st & 10Rush+63 ydsPPA +3.64

Sawyer Smith run for 63 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Zacc Weldon for 3 yds to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sawyer Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 1

1st & 10Safety-1 ydsPPA -2.01

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 46

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Sawyer Smith run for no gain to the Troy 46

4th & 8Punt+16 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 42 yds , Penny Hart returns for 16 yds to the GeoSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 11 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Demarcus Kirk run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.53

Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.32

Sawyer Smith sacked by Dontae Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 10

3rd & 16Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.25

B.J. Smith run for 14 yds to the Troy 24

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 8 yds to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Seth Paige run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.61

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 20 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Seth Paige run for 12 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the Troy 14

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 15

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.65

Brandon Wright 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 2 yds to the Troy 37

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Demarcus Kirk run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26

4th & 9Punt+21 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 52 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for 21 yds to the Troy 43

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Sawyer Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 42

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 12 yds to the GeoSt 32 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Dan Ellington run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Dan Ellington pass complete to Camrin Knight for 15 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Dan Ellington run for 7 yds to the Troy 38

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the Troy 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 13 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Dan Ellington run for 10 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Seth Paige run for 9 yds to the Troy 6

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.26

Seth Paige run for 2 yds to the Troy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.05

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 9

3rd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.36

Brandon Wright 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.57

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Deondre Douglas for no gain to the Troy 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.05

Sawyer Smith pass complete to B.J. Smith for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Tray Eafford for 7 yds to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Tray Eafford for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Deondre Douglas for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 38

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.26

Sawyer Smith pass intercepted Tyler Gore return for no gain to the GeoSt 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.31

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 51 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the Troy 45

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.95

Seth Paige run for 5 yds to the Troy 39 Seth Paige fumbled, forced by KJ Robertson, recovered by Troy Marcus Jones

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Tray Eafford for 6 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.70

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Damion Willis

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Tray Eafford for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +5.52

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Damion Willis for 41 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.29

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 46 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the Troy 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 7 yds to the Troy 21

4th & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 6 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 16

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the Troy 14

4th & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.73

Dan Ellington run for 13 yds to the Troy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

No play data available
1st & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 20

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 22

3rd & 13Rushing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +7.24

B.J. Smith run for 78 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 6 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.87

Dan Ellington pass complete to Seth Paige for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 5 yds to the Troy 35

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Seth Paige run for 9 yds to the Troy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devin Gentry run for 5 yds to the Troy 21

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.64

Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 21 yds for a TD (Dan Ellington pass to Christian Owens for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

DK Billingsley run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.10

DK Billingsley run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 33

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
61%
23 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
20 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play