Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 1, 2018Week 1
Boise StateBoise State
56
-Final
20
TroyTroy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 2.6

Home Win Probability

Troy 53%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boise StateBoise State
142171456
TroyTroy
707620

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-77-217-287-3514-4220-4220-56
TroyBoise State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROBSTROTROBSTROBSTROBSTROBSTROBSTROBSTROTROBSTROBSTROBSTROTROBSTROBSPUNT35ydTD653ydPUNT3-13ydTD552ydPUNT3-5ydDOWNS616ydTD463ydTO412ydTD537ydPUNT34ydTD779ydPUNT4-1ydTD667ydMISS1162ydPUNT617ydTD416ydTD1177ydPUNT731ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-10ydTD560ydMISS619ydTD1-16ydDOWNS821ydTD248ydTO860ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boise State and Troy
StatisticBoise StateTroy
Passing20-2824-34
Pass Yards305255
Rush Yards111124
Total Yards416379
Turnovers14
3rd Down9-154-15
Penalties4-273-25
Possession22:5334:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boise State
passing
Brett Rypien
20/28, 305 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Alexander Mattison
14 CAR, 56 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Sean Modster
7 REC, 167 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Troy
passing
Kaleb Barker
20/29, 211 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jabir Daughtry-Frye
7 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deondre Douglas
7 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Damion Willis

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the Troy 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 5 yds to the Troy 23

4th & 5Punt+7 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 37 yds , Avery Williams returns for 7 yds to the BoiSt 47

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.45

Brett Rypien sacked by Hunter Reese for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 40

2nd & 17Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.40

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 16 yds to the Troy 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 9 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 7 yds to the Troy 28

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.04

Alexander Mattison run for 8 yds to the Troy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 20 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Traveon Samuel run for 2 yds to the Troy 28

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.83

TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Troy

3rd & 16Penalty-10 yds

Barker, Kaleb deep pass complete to Willis, Damion for 35 yards to the BSU45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TROY pass interference (Willis, Damion) 10 yards to the TROY10, NO PLAY.

3rd & 26Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Richard Hallman for 3 yds to the Troy 13

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 35 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the Troy 48 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Troy Tyler Murray

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Kaleb Barker run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.57

Sawyer Smith pass complete to B.J. Smith for 15 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 5 yds to the BoiSt 23

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 23 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 22

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.26

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean Modster

4th & 15Punt+4 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 37 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for 4 yds to the Troy 24 TROY Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Troy 37

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

Barker, Kaleb sideline pass incomplete to Whittemore, L., PENALTY BSU pass interference 7 yards to the TROY44, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Kaleb Barker sacked by Desmond Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to B.J. Smith

3rd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Kaleb Barker run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 37

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.34

Sawyer Smith run for no gain to the BoiSt 37

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Alexander Mattison run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 7 yds to the Troy 46

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

MATTISON, Alex rush up middle for 6 yards to the TROY40 (Tyus, Melvin), PENALTY BSU holding (QUEVEDO, Eric) 10 yards to the BSU44, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Brett Rypien pass complete to Robert Mahone for 3 yds to the BoiSt 47

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +6.21

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 53 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 5 yds to the Troy 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 2 yds to the Troy 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 5 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.95

Kaleb Barker pass intercepted Tony Lashley return for no gain to the Troy 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.40

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 15 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brett Rypien pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Brett Rypien run for 8 yds to the Troy 14

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 7 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Sawyer Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sawyer Smith pass complete to B.J. Smith for no gain to the Troy 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 50 yds , Avery Williams returns for no gain to the BoiSt 21 Avery Williams fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Avery Williams

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.43

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 46 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 10 yds to the Troy 25

3rd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.60

Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 16 yds to the Troy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Robert Mahone run for 6 yds to the Troy 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Robert Mahone run for no gain to the Troy 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for 3 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 11 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the Troy 39

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.59

Kaleb Barker sacked by Durrant Miles for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 31

3rd & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.22

Kaleb Barker sacked by Kayode Rufai and Jabari Watson for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 24

4th & 22Punt+42 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 33 , Avery Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 33

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Robert Mahone

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 8 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -2.00

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Brett Rypien

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 2 yds to the BoiSt 46

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +6.45

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 54 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamarius Henderson run for 3 yds to the Troy 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 6 yds to the Troy 32

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.63

Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 30 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaleb Barker run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Richard Hallman for 4 yds to the BoiSt 30

4th & 5Penalty0 yds

Barker, Kaleb rush right for 3 yards to the BSU27 (WEAVER, Curtis;MAEVA, Tyson), PENALTY TROY holding off-setting, PENALTY BSU face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.

4th & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.96

Kaleb Barker pass complete to B.J. Smith for 15 yds to the BoiSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Damion Willis, broken up by Avery Williams

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Tyler Sumpter 32 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to John Hightower, broken up by Tyler Murray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Brett Rypien run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 38

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brett Rypien run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to John Hightower, broken up by Marcus Jones

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Quinn Skillin punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 1 yd to the Troy 40

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.07

Kaleb Barker run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Barker, Kaleb middle pass complete to Letton, Sam for 12 yards to the BSU36 (HORTON, Tyler), PENALTY TROY ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TROY47, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Kaleb Barker run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 46

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+55 ydsPPA -2.71

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd B.J. Smith fumbled, forced by Kekoa Nawahine, recovered by BoiSt Tyler Horton , return for 55 yds, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Damion Willis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.29

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sidney Davis for 19 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jamarius Henderson run for 1 yd to the Troy 43

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 3 yds to the Troy 46

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.62

Kaleb Barker run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 2 yds to the BoiSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.17

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 25 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

B.J. Smith run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

B.J. Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Alexander Mattison run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the BoiSt 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. Richardson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Brett Rypien pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 11 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Brett Rypien pass complete to Robert Mahone for 6 yds to the Troy 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the Troy 49

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brett Rypien run for 3 yds to the Troy 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Quinn Skillin punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaleb Barker run for 1 yd to the Troy 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 5 yds to the Troy 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Traveon Samuel

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 36 yds, downed at the BoiSt 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Eric Quevedo) to the BoiSt 33

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 6 yds to the BoiSt 39

2nd & 9Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.44

Khalil Shakir run for a loss of 11 yards to the BoiSt 28

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Robert Mahone

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Quinn Skillin punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the Troy 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 20 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 37

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jamarius Henderson run for no gain to the BoiSt 37

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jamarius Henderson run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 33

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.55

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 33 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.10

Alexander Mattison run for 14 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the Troy 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Garrett Larson) to the Troy 32

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the Troy 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean Modster, broken up by Marcus Jones

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Haden Hoggarth 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Kaleb Barker sacked by Durrant Miles for a loss of 16 yards Kaleb Barker fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Tyler Horton , return for 0 yards , return for 11 yds, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 5 yds to the Troy 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 8 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jamarius Henderson run for 5 yds to the Troy 45

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Jamarius Henderson run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 42

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Tray Eafford, broken up by Jalen Walker

4th & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.92

Kaleb Barker sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 9 yards to the Troy 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.82

Chase Cord run for 44 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 11 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 2 yds to the Troy 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 16 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jamarius Henderson run for no gain to the BoiSt 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Sawyer Smith pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 13 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Traveon Samuel run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Traveon Samuel run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 25

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -3.97

B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 15 B.J. Smith fumbled, forced by Tyreque Jones, recovered by BoiSt Jalen Walker

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 14

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.19

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 13

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.07

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 12

Situational Analysis

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
44%
16 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play