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← Back to GamesNov 15, 2018Week 12
BuffaloBuffalo
17
-Final
52
OhioOhio
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 1

Home Win Probability

Ohio 55%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 15, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
730717
OhioOhio
141714752

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-724-731-738-1045-1052-17
OhioBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIOHIBUFOHIBUFOHITD775ydTD1275ydTO30ydTD766ydPUNT31ydTD466ydTO34ydFG622ydTO616ydTD1396ydEND646ydTD1075ydPUNT32ydTD547ydPUNT31ydTO552ydPUNT35ydTD991ydTD770ydTO36ydUncategorized1257yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Ohio
StatisticBuffaloOhio
Passing10-2317-27
Pass Yards120209
Rush Yards157437
Total Yards277646
Turnovers51
3rd Down3-912-16
Penalties3-204-55
Possession16:1843:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
9/21, 116 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Tyree Jackson
3 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Johnson
6 REC, 95 YDS
defense
Ohio
passing
Nathan Rourke
17/26, 209 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
A.J. Ouellette
26 CAR, 196 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Papi White
8 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 8 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

3rd & 2Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 48 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the Ohio 10

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the Ohio 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Tyree Jackson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

A.J. Ouellette run for 12 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.81

A.J. Ouellette run for 22 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Buff 32

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.43

A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.28

Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Buff 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Cameron Odom

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Buff 5

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Buff 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Maleek Irons run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Buff 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 5 yds to the Buff 20

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyree Jackson pass intercepted Kylan Nelson return for no gain to the Ohio 34

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.36

A.J. Ouellette run for 31 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

A.J. Ouellette run for 13 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Buff 21

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Buff 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Connor Brown for 5 yds to the Buff 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Buff 2

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Kevin Marks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to George Rushing

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ohio 34

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Maleek Irons run for 11 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.11

Nathan Rourke sacked by Taylor Riggins for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 40

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Maleek Irons

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +6.87

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerome Buckner for 60 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kevin Marks for 1 yd to the Buff 25

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-12 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyree Jackson pass intercepted Jarren Hampton return for 12 yds to the Buff 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Maleek Irons run for 4 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.25

Nathan Rourke run for 11 yds to the Buff 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Maleek Irons run for 5 yds to the Buff 7

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Maleek Irons run for 2 yds to the Buff 5

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.04

Louie Zervos 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kevin Marks run for 8 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Kevin Marks run for 14 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Theo Anderson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -3.06

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 11 yards to the Buff 41 Jaret Patterson fumbled, recovered by Buff Jaret Patterson

2nd & 21Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+55 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyree Jackson run for 55 yds to the Ohio 4 Tyree Jackson fumbled, recovered by Ohio Javon Hagan

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.29

A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 15

2nd & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.71

Nathan Rourke run for 42 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Isiah Cox

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 12 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Buff 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 8 yds to the Buff 22

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.24

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 5 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Buff 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Buff 8

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.53

A.J. Ouellette run for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Tyree Jackson run for 11 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 9 yds to the Ohio 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

3rd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 12 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA -1.34

Adam Mitcheson 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 17 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 18 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Buff 21

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Nathan Rourke run for 9 yds to the Buff 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Buff 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Buff 8

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.86

A.J. Ouellette 8 Yd pass from Nathan Rourke (Louie Zervos Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

4th & 8Punt+18 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 38 yds , DL Knock returns for 18 yds to the Buff 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 3 yds to the Buff 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Papi White

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.19

Maleek Irons run for 12 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 5 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.79

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 27 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Buff 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 47 yds , Kylan Nelson returns for no gain to the Ohio 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 6 yds to the Ohio 33

2nd & 4Rush+42 ydsPPA +2.88

Maleek Irons run for 42 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Maleek Irons run for 1 yd to the Buff 24

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Buff 21

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-33 ydsPPA -3.78

Nathan Rourke pass intercepted Khalil Hodge return for 33 yds to the Buff 49 Khalil Hodge fumbled, recovered by Ohio Nathan Rourke

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Buff 46

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Buff 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Nathan Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the Buff 9

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Kevin Marks run for 7 yds to the Buff 16

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 12 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.55

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 13 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Javon Hagan) to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Ohio 36

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

OHIO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Fox) to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 8 yds to the Ohio 13

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.69

Kevin Marks run for 13 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 9 yds Papi White fumbled, recovered by Ohio

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.73

A.J. Ouellette run for 14 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nathan Rourke pass complete to Papi White for 2 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Buff 43

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 47

3rd & 16Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.83

A.J. Ouellette run for 22 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 33

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.73

A.J. Ouellette run for 33 yds for a TD (Louie Zervos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dominic Johnson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 4 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.39

Dominic Johnson pass intercepted Tariq Drake return for no gain to the Ohio 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

David Burroughs run for 7 yds to the Ohio 45

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

David Burroughs run for 1 yd to the Ohio 46

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.60

Quinton Maxwell run for 6 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Camryn Snow

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Buff 46

3rd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.52

Quinton Maxwell run for 14 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jake Neatherton run for 6 yds to the Buff 26

2nd & 4Rush-12 ydsPPA -2.71

Quinton Maxwell run for 3 yds to the Buff 23 OHIO Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Buff 38

2nd & 16Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.99

Quinton Maxwell run for 22 yds to the Buff 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Buff 14

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jake Neatherton run for 6 yds to the Buff 8

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.73

Jake Neatherton run for 3 yds to the Buff 5 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
20 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
35 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
65%
17 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays