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← Back to GamesNov 8, 2018Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Illinois by 6.9

Home Win Probability

Northern Illinois 64%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 8, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
360615
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
71014738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-310-310-917-924-931-931-1538-15
Northern IllinoisToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NITOLNITOLNITOLNITOLNITOLNITOLTOLNITOLNITOLNITOLNITOLNITOLNITOLDOWNS719ydFG936ydTO328ydMISS733ydPUNT618ydPUNT3-9ydTD546ydPUNT734ydFG1262ydTD975ydPUNT3-2ydTD38ydDOWNS835ydEND19ydPUNT534ydTD1182ydPUNT738ydTO726ydPUNT3-8ydTD469ydDOWNS839ydPUNT414ydTD1380ydTD144ydUncategorized961yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Northern Illinois
StatisticToledoNorthern Illinois
Passing26-4713-19
Pass Yards264131
Rush Yards167296
Total Yards431427
Turnovers02
3rd Down11-245-12
Penalties6-305-58
Possession34:5725:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Eli Peters
26/47, 264 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Art Thompkins
12 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Cody Thompson
8 REC, 110 YDS
defense
Northern Illinois
passing
Marcus Childers
13/19, 131 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tre Harbison
21 CAR, 139 YDS
receiving
Corey Lersch
2 REC, 35 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 7 yds to the NoIll 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the NoIll 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tre Harbison run for no gain to the NoIll 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the NoIll 40

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.89

Art Thompkins run for 19 yds to the NoIll 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 22

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the NoIll 19

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 9 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 2 yds to the NoIll 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Jameson Vest 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcus Jones run for 5 yds to the NoIll 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+23 ydsPPA -0.26

Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 23 yds Jauan Wesley fumbled, forced by Jordan Fisher, recovered by Toled Justin Clark

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 4 yds to the NoIll 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 4 yds to the NoIll 44

3rd & 2Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.79

Eli Peters run for 32 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 3 yds to the NoIll 9

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.00

Eli Peters pass complete to Shakif Seymour for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 19

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Eli Peters pass incomplete

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Jameson Vest 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Marcus Childers pass complete to Tre Harbison for 4 yds to the NoIll 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Marcus Jones run for 3 yds to the NoIll 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.00

Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 3 yds to the NoIll 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Marcus Jones run for 6 yds to the NoIll 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Marcus Childers pass complete to Corey Lersch for 2 yds to the NoIll 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 46 yds, downed at the Toled 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryant Koback

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.15

Eli Peters sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 9 yards to the Toled 7 Eli Peters fumbled, recovered by Toled Brock Ruble , return for 0 yards

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the Toled 46

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Marcus Childers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the Toled 33

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.28

Marcus Childers pass complete to Corey Lersch for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Art Thompkins run for 15 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the NoIll 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 11 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 41

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 6 yds to the NoIll 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Eli Peters pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 28 yds, downed at the NoIll 7

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the NoIll 4

1st & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Marcus Childers run for 9 yds to the NoIll 13 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoIll 3

1st & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the NoIll 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 10 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Tre Harbison run for 9 yds to the NoIll 28

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.89

Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 15 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 48

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 12 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the Toled 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 31

4th & 7Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +0.86

Andrew Gantz 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 10 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Bryant Koback run for 20 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the NoIll 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the NoIll 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Eli Peters pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 15 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the NoIll 23

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Eli Peters pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 23 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 4 yds to the NoIll 33

3rd & 2Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.03

Marcus Childers sacked by Saeed Holt for a loss of 10 yards to the NoIll 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Diontae Johnson at the Toled 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Eli Peters pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 9 yds to the Toled 39

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.39

Bryant Koback run for no gain to the Toled 39

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 38

4th & 2Blocked Punt+27 yds

Bailey Flint punt blocked by Sutton Smith, Sutton Smith return for 27 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the Toled 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Toled 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 11 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 13 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Eli Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Art Thompkins run for 6 yds to the NoIll 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Marcus Jones run for 9 yds to the NoIll 49

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.94

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 18 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the Toled 31

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.41

Eli Peters sacked by Kyle Pugh for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 39

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the Toled 44

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the NoIll 25

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Marcus Childers run for 9 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Tre Harbison run for 20 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the Toled 41

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Marcus Jones run for 8 yds to the Toled 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the Toled 30

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Marcus Childers run for 10 yds to the Toled 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Marcus Jones run for 17 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Marcus Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Marcus Childers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.44

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 19 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.55

Eli Peters pass complete to Drew Rosi for 11 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Toled 47

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 9 yds to the NoIll 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Drew Rosi

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 37 yds, downed at the NoIll 7

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Marcus Childers run for 12 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the NoIll 20

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 9 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Spencer Tears run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 33

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus Childers pass intercepted Zachary Ford return for no gain to the Toled 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.81

Eli Peters sacked by Jack Heflin for a loss of 9 yards to the Toled 32

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 37 yds, downed at the NoIll 31

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.60

Tre Harbison run for 33 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Tre Harbison run for 8 yds to the Toled 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.23

Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Marcus Childers run for 23 yds for a TD, (Andrew Gantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Eli Peters pass complete to Art Thompkins for 9 yds to the Toled 20

4th & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Eli Peters pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 9 yds to the Toled 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Toled 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Eli Peters sacked by Jack Heflin and Weston Kramer for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 9 yds to the NoIll 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 13 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Tre Harbison run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 41

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the Toled 36

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Marcus Childers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 37

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 21

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Berg) to the Toled 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Eli Peters pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 13 yds to the Toled 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Eli Peters pass complete to Bryant Koback for 4 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Eli Peters run for 3 yds to the Toled 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 8 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Bryant Koback run for no gain to the Toled 48

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Eli Peters sacked by Jack Heflin for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 46

3rd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.21

Bryant Koback run for 13 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.19

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 35 yds to the NoIll 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Eli Peters pass complete to Drew Rosi for 5 yds to the NoIll 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Marcus Jones run for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dillon Thomas) to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Ronnie Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 38

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Ronnie Jones run for 8 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Eli Peters run for 7 yds to the NoIll 47

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Eli Peters run for 2 yds to the NoIll 45

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Eli Peters pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.75

Ronnie Jones run for 21 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Ronnie Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 27

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Eli Peters run for 12 yds to the NoIll 15

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Ronnie Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 18

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
31 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
27%
11 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
56%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
67%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play