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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2018Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 26.2

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 92%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 7, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
0001414
BuffaloBuffalo
211314048

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-027-034-041-048-048-748-14
BuffaloKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSBUFKSTD271ydPUNT33ydTD952ydPUNT6-1ydTD749ydPUNT926ydTD951ydPUNT34ydTO1060ydPUNT32ydTD535ydPUNT3-10ydDOWNS730ydPUNT3-3ydTD762ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydPUNT31ydTD539ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS41ydTD1567ydPUNT34ydTD752ydUncategorized38ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS49ydEND316yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and Buffalo
StatisticKent StateBuffalo
Passing14-289-21
Pass Yards83120
Rush Yards100358
Total Yards183478
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-186-15
Penalties4-353-20
Possession24:3535:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
Dustin Crum
8/15, 56 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dustin Crum
10 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kavious Price
3 REC, 25 YDS
Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
7/16, 111 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jaret Patterson
18 CAR, 187 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Charlie Jones
2 REC, 43 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the Buff 36

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.12

Jaret Patterson run for 64 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 24

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Woody Barrett run for 4 yds to the KntSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Woody Barrett pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 24 yds, downed at the Buff 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.13

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 16 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34

2nd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.87

Jaret Patterson run for 23 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 8

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 3

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.62

Tyree Jackson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the KntSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SGUN], BARRETT, WOODY pass incomplete to DIXON, ANTWAN, PENALTY KENT holding (WASHINGTON, M.) 10 yards to the KENT28, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Woody Barrett run for no gain to the KntSt 28

2nd & 20Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.25

Antwan Dixon run for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 20

3rd & 28Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 4 yds to the KntSt 24

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 25 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for no gain to the KntSt 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the KntSt 47

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.48

Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Charlie Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the KntSt 33

4th & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +4.20

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 31 yds to the KntSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 5 yds to the KntSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 4 yds to the KntSt 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Rankin run for no gain to the KntSt 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.73

Woody Barrett pass complete to Adam Dulka for 11 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Adam Dulka

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 1 yd to the Buff 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Dustin Crum punt for no gain, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 12 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.43

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 27 yds to the KntSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the KntSt 12

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the KntSt 9

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 5

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.96

Kevin Marks run for 5 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jo-El Shaw run for 8 yds to the KntSt 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Woody Barrett pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Woody Barrett run for 1 yd to the KntSt 44

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY KENT false start (MONNIN, NATHAN) 5 yards to the KENT39, NO PLAY.

4th & 6Punt+29 yds

Derek Adams punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 38 , K.J. Osborn returns for 29 yds to the Buff 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 41

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 43

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyree Jackson run for 2 yds to the Buff 45

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.52

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the BUFFALO 48 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (KJ Sherald) to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the KntSt 30

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kevin Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 31

3rd & 8Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.31

Jaret Patterson run for 27 yds to the KntSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 2

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.93

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 2 Jaret Patterson fumbled, recovered by KntSt Cepeda Phillips

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Woody Barrett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon KENT ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the KntSt 4

4th & 8Punt+16 yds

Derek Adams punt for 47 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 16 yds to the KntSt 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the KntSt 28

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the KntSt 24

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 21

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.29

Jaret Patterson run for 21 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Woody Barrett pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 2 yds to the KntSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan

3rd & 8Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.72

Woody Barrett sacked by Justin Brandon for a loss of 12 yards to the KntSt 25

4th & 20Punt+15 yds

Derek Adams punt for 47 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 15 yds to the Buff 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Rodney Scott III

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Kevin Marks run for 12 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Rodney Scott III for 11 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 30

4th & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -2.36

Tyree Jackson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 27

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Antwan Dixon

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jo-El Shaw run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.40

Woody Barrett sacked by Justin Brandon for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 40 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for no gain to the Buff 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Buff 40

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.21

Emmanuel Reed run for 16 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Theo Anderson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 39

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (Kayode Awosika) to the KntSt 38

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 11 yds to the KntSt 27

2nd & 4Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.21

Emmanuel Reed run for 24 yds to the KntSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the KntSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoy

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 28 yds, downed at the Buff 47

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Theo Anderson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 47

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (NUNN, Antonio) 5 yards to the UB48, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Theo Anderson run for 1 yd to the Buff 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Dustin Crum pass complete to Lon'kevious McFadden for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Jo-El Shaw run for 2 yds to the KntSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Lon'kevious McFadden

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 18 yds, downed at the KntSt 39

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Johnathan Hawkins run for 15 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the KntSt 21

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the KntSt 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 7 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Theo Anderson run for 11 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 22

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Dustin Crum run for no gain to the KntSt 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 12 yds, downed at the KntSt 34

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SGUN], ANDERSON, Theo rush for 4 yards to the KENT30 (HICKS, DALTON), PENALTY UB holding (FUZAK, Jake) 10 yards to the KENT44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Theo Anderson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 40

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Theo Anderson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre

4th & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -1.29

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 2 yds to the KntSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 5 yds to the KntSt 38

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.30

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 9 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dustin Crum pass complete to Lon'kevious McFadden for 5 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the Buff 40

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 32

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.57

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 11 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY KENT false start (PRICE, KAVIOUS) 5 yards to the UB23, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the Buff 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Dustin Crum pass complete to Raekwon James for 13 yds to the Buff 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the Buff 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the Buff 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Dustin Crum run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kyle Vantrease run for 4 yds to the Buff 21

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Theo Anderson run for no gain to the Buff 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Rodney Scott III

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 31 yds, downed at the KntSt 48

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Dustin Crum run for 19 yds to the Buff 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Dustin Crum pass complete to Raekwon James for 3 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dustin Crum run for no gain to the Buff 30

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.23

Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Dustin Crum run for 7 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Myles Washington, broken up by Kadofi Wright

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.73

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Dominic Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 30

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the Buff 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Trey Harrell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Dustin Crum pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Jo-El Shaw run for 9 yds to the Buff 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.38

Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the Buff 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the Buff 47

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dylan McDuffie run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.66

Dylan McDuffie run for no gain to the KntSt 44

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Jo-El Shaw run for 9 yds to the Buff 47

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.08

Jo-El Shaw run for 7 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jo-El Shaw run for no gain to the Buff 40

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
22%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
31%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
35%
17 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play