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← Back to GamesOct 25, 2018Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 13.9

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 79%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 25, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
14921751
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
7107024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-1410-1710-2017-3724-4424-51
Western MichiganToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLPUNT49ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydTD443ydTD475ydTD978ydPUNT619ydFG1163ydFG1567ydFG856ydTD487ydFG335ydTD361ydTO111ydTD337ydPUNT3-5ydTD439ydTD1084ydPUNT511ydPUNT418ydPUNT4-2ydDOWNS644ydTD661ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT34ydPUNT416ydEND410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Western Michigan
StatisticToledoWestern Michigan
Passing18-3225-32
Pass Yards247307
Rush Yards268125
Total Yards515432
Turnovers01
3rd Down2-94-14
Penalties7-568-76
Possession27:3632:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Mitchell Guadagni
10/18, 140 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Bryant Koback
10 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cody Thompson
6 REC, 63 YDS, 3 TD
defense
Western Michigan
passing
Kaleb Eleby
23/28, 293 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jamauri Bogan
10 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jayden Reed
6 REC, 103 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 6 yds to the WMich 35 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, HL (-10 Yards) to the WMich 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jon Wassink pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Jon Wassink run for 9 yds to the WMich 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the Toled 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the Toled 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 14

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jon Wassink pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 8 yds to the WMich 20

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 23 yds, downed at the WMich 43

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.70

Art Thompkins run for 21 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 10 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 2 yds to the WMich 10

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.70

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Cody Thompson for 10 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 33

3rd & 2Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.60

Jamauri Bogan run for 42 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 25 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Mitchell Guadagni run for 6 yds to the Toled 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.78

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 32 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Bryant Koback run for no gain to the WMich 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Drew Rosi for 16 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Bryant Koback run for 10 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Mitchell Guadagni run for 11 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the WMich 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 2 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the WMich 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 45

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Diontae Johnson at the Toled 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the Toled 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 24 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the WMich 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Drew Rosi, broken up by Justin Tranquill

4th & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.54

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Cody Thompson for 8 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.25

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 16 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the WMich 13

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Mitchell Guadagni run for 5 yds to the WMich 8

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.86

Jameson Vest 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the WMich 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 4 yds to the WMich 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Brown run for no gain to the WMich 34

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.04

Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the WMich 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds to the WMich 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kaleb Eleby run for 5 yds to the Toled 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.79

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Drake Harris for 12 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Toled 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.61

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 20 yds to the Toled 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the Toled 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaleb Eleby run for no gain to the Toled 4

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.60

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Richard Olekanma and Tyler Taafe for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Gavin Peddie 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

3rd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.51

Mitchell Guadagni run for 28 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 20 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Art Thompkins run for 9 yds to the WMich 6

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

GUADAGNI, M. rush for 5 yards to the WMU1 (MOMENT, CORVIN), PENALTY TOLEDO illegal formation 5 yards to the WMU11, NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.69

Jameson Vest 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.50

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 9 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 9 yds to the WMich 38

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.44

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 62 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Bryant Koback run for 20 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Mitchell Guadagni run for no gain to the WMich 43

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

PETERS, Eli pass incomplete to THOMPSON, Cody (CURTIS, ANTON), PENALTY WMU roughing passer 15 yards to the WMU28, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA -1.24

Jameson Vest 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 16 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Shakif Seymour run for 11 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Eli Peters pass complete to Reggie Gilliam for 34 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -0.99

LeVante Bellamy run for 11 yds to the WMich 37 LeVante Bellamy fumbled, recovered by Toled Jamal Hines

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.45

Art Thompkins run for 18 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the WMich 18

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 18 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 30

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.48

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Nate Childress for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 22

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt, downed at the WMich 39

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Bryant Koback run for 14 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PETERS, Eli pass incomplete to JOHNSON,Jon'Vea (DOWELS, JUWAN), PENALTY WMU pass interference (DOWELS, JUWAN) 15 yards to the WMU10, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the WMich 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson, broken up by Juwan Dowels

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Bryant Koback run for 3 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the WMich 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Chase Brown for 4 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 21 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 6 yds to the Toled 47

2nd & 4Penalty+11 yds

ELEBY, KALEB pass incomplete to HALL, JAYLEN (HOLLMAN, Kadar), PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (HOLLMAN, Kadar) 11 yards to the TOLEDO36, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Drake Harris for 11 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Drake Harris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.69

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Chase Brown for 22 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Toled 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the Toled 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the Toled 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.01

Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 13 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, personal foul (Drew Rosi) to the Toled 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Diontae Johnson) to the Toled 17

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Shakif Seymour run for 11 yds to the Toled 28

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the Toled 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Cody Thompson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 50 yds, downed at the WMich 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Drake Harris for 19 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 6 yds to the WMich 47

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.58

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Tuzar Skipper and Reggie Howard for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Diontae Johnson at the Toled 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.62

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 3 yds to the Toled 30 TOLEDO Penalty, illegal block (Cody Thompson) to the Toled 20

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Drew Rosi, broken up by Najee Clayton

3rd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the Toled 25

4th & 12Punt+58 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 48 yds, downed at the WESTMICH 27 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, HL (10 Yards) to the WMich 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.92

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 31 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 4 yds to the Toled 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 4 yds to the Toled 40

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.91

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 1 yd to the Toled 39

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.22

Bryant Koback run for 40 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the WMich 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.96

Eli Peters pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 14 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Drew Rosi) to the WMich 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the WMich 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Eli Peters pass complete to Cody Thompson for 8 yds for a TD (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Terrance Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 7 yds to the WMich 32

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.48

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Tuzar Skipper for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 25

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Diontae Johnson at the Toled 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nevone McCrimmon run for 3 yds to the Toled 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 1 yd to the Toled 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Eli Peters pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+48 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WESTMICH 9 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, HL (4 Yards) to the WMich 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds to the WMich 10

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

ELEBY, KALEB pass intercepted by PETERS, Eli at the WMU20, PETERS, Eli return to the WMU20, PENALTY TOLEDO offside 5 yards to the WMU15, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jayden Reed for no gain to the WMich 15

2nd & 10Penalty-7 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jayden Reed) to the WMich 8

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson

3rd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Chase Brown run for 13 yds to the WMich 21

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 43

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Ronnie Jones run for 8 yds to the WMich 49

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ronnie Jones run for 5 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Ronnie Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 46

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Ronnie Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 47

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
27 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play