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← Back to GamesOct 6, 2018Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 6.3

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 31%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 6, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
71071034
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
3014724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-73-143-1717-2417-3117-3424-34
Central MichiganBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFFG953ydTD757ydTO733ydPUNT32ydPUNT421ydPUNT33ydMISS822ydTD874ydPUNT30ydFG966ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT36ydEND24ydTO1163ydTD1080ydTD170ydTD775ydPUNT33ydTO3-3ydTD739ydTO33ydFG1048ydTO10ydPUNT31ydTD1055ydUncategorized210yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Central Michigan
StatisticBuffaloCentral Michigan
Passing10-2014-33
Pass Yards127172
Rush Yards307168
Total Yards434340
Turnovers14
3rd Down4-127-16
Penalties4-3810-60
Possession33:3925:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
10/20, 127 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kevin Marks
18 CAR, 167 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
K.J. Osborn
4 REC, 80 YDS
defense
Central Michigan
passing
Tommy Lazzaro
9/23, 117 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT
rushing
Tommy Lazzaro
18 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
JaCorey Sullivan
4 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Romello Ross run for 1 yd to the CMich 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Jonathan Ward for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 24

3rd & 11Penalty+21 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (21 Yards) to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Devon Spalding run for 11 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Tommy Lazzaro run for 9 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.18

Julian Hicks run for 12 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tommy Lazzaro run for 3 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the Buff 18

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 22

4th & 9Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.26

Ryan Tice 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.23

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 7 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 4Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.71

Kevin Marks run for 29 yds to the CMich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

K.J. Osborn run for 5 yds to the CMich 6

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 6 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.81

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Drayton Law for 28 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tommy Lazzaro run for no gain to the CMich 48

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.11

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Cameron Cole for 13 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (Drayton Law) to the Buff 45

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Cameron Cole

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.50

Tommy Lazzaro pass intercepted Brandon Williams return for no gain to the Buff 13

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Williams) to the Buff 6

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the Buff 12

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyree Jackson sacked by Mike Danna for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 10 Tyree Jackson fumbled, recovered by Buff Tyree Jackson , return for 0 yards

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

FINEGAN, Evan punt 54 yards to the CMU36, WARD, Jonathan return to the UB45 (MOLINICH, Jake), PENALTY CMU offside (STURKEY, R.) 5 yards to the UB15, NO PLAY.

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 51 yds, downed at the CMich 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.57

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Devon Spalding for 17 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Tommy Lazzaro run for 6 yds to the Buff 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Tommy Lazzaro sacked by Myles Nicholas for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 44 yds, downed at the Buff 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyree Jackson run for 2 yds to the Buff 3

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Buff 4

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 40 yds , Jonathan Ward returns for 7 yds to the Buff 11 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Buff 47

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Tommy Lazzaro run for 13 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the Buff 32

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Tommy Lazzaro run for 7 yds to the Buff 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Devon Spalding run for 2 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Buff 28

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds to the Buff 25

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Jonathan Ward

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Cameron Cole

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Ryan Tice 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jaret Patterson for 10 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 40

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Jaret Patterson run for 8 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the CMich 47

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Jaret Patterson run for 11 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to RUSHING, George, PENALTY CMU pass interference (REED, Devonni) 15 yards to the CMU21, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the CMich 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Tyree Jackson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Lazzaro run for no gain to the CMich 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Julian Hicks

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 56 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 6 yds to the Buff 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler Mabry

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.43

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 27 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 49

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jaret Patterson for no gain to the CMich 49

2nd & 15Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.99

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 39 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the CMich 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.60

Adam Mitcheson 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tommy Lazzaro run for 3 yds to the CMich 32

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tommy Lazzaro run for no gain to the CMich 32

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 27

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Jack Sheldon punt for 43 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 8 yds to the Buff 38

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Buff 47

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.18

Kevin Marks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Charlie Jones

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Julian Hicks

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 25

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Buff 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 20 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 4 yds to the CMich 43

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.73

Kevin Marks run for 7 yds to the CMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the CMich 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 5 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

K.J. Osborn run for 1 yd to the CMich 24

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 9 yds K.J. Osborn fumbled, forced by Alex Briones, recovered by Buff K.J. Osborn for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.44

Tyree Jackson pass intercepted, touchback. Sean Bunting return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.54

Tommy Lazzaro run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Jonathan Ward

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Devon Spalding run for 8 yds to the Buff 42

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Tommy Lazzaro run for 5 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 2 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Lazzaro run for 4 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.97

Tommy Lazzaro run for 13 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kobe Lewis run for 6 yds to the Buff 12

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Cameron Cole for 2 yds to the Buff 10

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Romello Ross run for 10 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Kevin Marks run for 70 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tommy Lazzaro run for 8 yds to the CMich 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Devon Spalding for 9 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kobe Lewis run for 6 yds to the CMich 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Tommy Lazzaro run for 1 yd to the CMich 44

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

LAZZARO, Tommy pass incomplete, PENALTY UB offside 5 yards to the CMU49, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.20

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 25 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tommy Lazzaro run for 3 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.87

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 23 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 69 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Devon Spalding run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 18

2nd & 12Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Tommy Lazzaro sacked by Eddie Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 17

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.29

Tommy Lazzaro pass intercepted Cameron Lewis return for no gain to the CMich 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the CMich 37

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the CMich 36

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the CMich 30

4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Kevin Marks run for 11 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the CMich 17

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the CMich 14

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.93

Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Romello Ross run for 3 yds to the CMich 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Cameron Cole, broken up by Aapri Washington

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -0.04

Tommy Lazzaro pass intercepted Joey Banks return for 3 yds to the Buff 42

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the CMich 43

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the CMich 32

2nd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.09

Jaret Patterson run for 25 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the CMich 4

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyree Jackson sacked by Alex Briones for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 11

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the CMich 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.49

Adam Mitcheson 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.95

Tommy Lazzaro pass intercepted Aapri Washington return for no gain to the Buff 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the Buff 24

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Buff 26

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.24

Emmanuel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 25

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jamil Sabbagh at the CMich 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Tony Poljan pass complete to Devon Spalding for 6 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Julian Hicks

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.03

Tony Poljan pass complete to Devon Spalding for 11 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Kumehnnu Gwilly

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Devon Spalding

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.32

Tony Poljan pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 24 yds to the Buff 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tony Poljan pass complete to Julian Hicks for 5 yds to the Buff 9

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Kumehnnu Gwilly

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Julian Hicks

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.17

Tony Poljan pass complete to Julian Hicks for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

TEAM run for 11 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 46

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
78%
9 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
31%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play