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← Back to GamesSep 22, 2018Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia State by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Georgia State 58%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 22, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
31714034
Georgia StateGeorgia State
096015

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-33-103-139-2715-34
Georgia StateWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMGSWMTO1049ydFG1767ydFG1461ydPUNT518ydPUNT3-2ydTD961ydTO1-6ydFG4-2ydTD369ydTD887ydTO530ydTD582ydPUNT3-1ydTD171ydTD1075ydPUNT37ydPUNT419ydPUNT1563ydDOWNS739ydEND544yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Georgia State
StatisticWestern MichiganGeorgia State
Passing20-2519-29
Pass Yards234285
Rush Yards29458
Total Yards528343
Turnovers03
3rd Down5-133-9
Penalties5-502-25
Possession34:1725:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Jon Wassink
20/25, 234 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jamauri Bogan
15 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jayden Reed
7 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Georgia State
passing
Dan Ellington
19/29, 285 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Dan Ellington
18 CAR, 35 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Penny Hart
5 REC, 91 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Destin Coates run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.09

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 25 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 5 yds to the WMich 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.02

Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the WMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Tra Barnett run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 47

2nd & 13Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.43

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 26 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Dan Ellington sacked by Drake Spears for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 26 Dan Ellington fumbled, recovered by WMich Ralph Holley , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 12 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 40

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.01

LeVante Bellamy run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

LeVante Bellamy run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Drake Harris) to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 39

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.98

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 29

4th & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.21

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 15 yds to the GeoSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the GeoSt 11

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jon Wassink pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jon Wassink pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.18

LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 26

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.84

Gavin Peddie 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.51

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 20 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Seth Paige run for no gain to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 44

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.52

Dan Ellington run for 9 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Dan Ellington pass complete to Camrin Knight for 11 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Dan Ellington run for 9 yds to the WMich 27

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.42

Tra Barnett run for 4 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the WMich 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 2 yds to the WMich 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart

4th & 6Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.26

Barry Brown 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 8 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

WASSINK, JON pass complete to BORSKE, BRETT for 19 yards to the GSU39 (Lazarus, Remy), PENALTY WMU pass interference (BORSKE, BRETT) 15 yards to the WMU27, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake Harris

3rd & 19Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.58

Jon Wassink pass complete to Chase Brown for 13 yds to the WMich 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds, downed at the GeoSt 12

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 10

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 51 yds, downed at the WMich 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 9 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 10 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jon Wassink pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 1 yd to the GeoSt 17

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Jon Wassink pass complete to Brett Borske for 17 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Dan Ellington sacked by DeShawn Foster for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSt 19 Dan Ellington fumbled, recovered by WMich Alex Grace , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 18

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 21

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake Harris

4th & 12Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.49

Gavin Peddie 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 9 yds to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +1.73

Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 50 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Dan Ellington run for 10 yds for a TD (Barry Brown PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Jon Wassink pass complete to Drake Harris for 12 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 9 yds to the WMich 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Drake Harris

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 3 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jon Wassink pass complete to Chase Brown for 3 yds to the WMich 40

2nd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.18

Jon Wassink run for 18 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 18 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.35

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 15 yds to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Dan Ellington run for 15 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA -3.91

Dan Ellington pass intercepted A.J. Thomas return for 24 yds to the WMich 39

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.63

Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Remy Lazarus) to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 42

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.81

LeVante Bellamy run for 13 yds to the GeoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.38

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 40 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Destin Coates run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -0.32

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 13 yards to the GeoSt 7 Dan Ellington fumbled, forced by Ali Fayad, recovered by GeoSt Lucas Johnson

3rd & 26Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.08

Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 15 yds to the GeoSt 22

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 49 yds, downed at the WMich 29

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +5.78

Jamauri Bogan run for 71 yds for a TD (Gavin Peddie KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSt 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Demarcus Kirk run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Ellington, Dan rush for 6 yards to the GSU33 (GRACE, ALEX), PENALTY GSU holding (Johnson, Lucas) 10 yards to the GSU17, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Penalty0 yds

Ellington, Dan pass complete to Hart, Penny for 9 yards to the GSU26 (GINWRIGHT, D;BALABANI, A), PENALTY GSU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY WMU face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.50

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 23 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Seth Paige run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.02

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 23 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dan Ellington run for 4 yds to the WMich 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 13 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dan Ellington run for 6 yds to the WMich 10

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.17

Destin Coates run for 8 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by A.J. Thomas

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 27

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

BELLAMY, L rush for 17 yards to the WMU44 (Shaw, Michael), PENALTY WMU holding 10 yards to the WMU17, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Jon Wassink pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 9 yds to the WMich 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the WMich 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Penny Hart at the GeoSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 14 yds to the GeoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tra Barnett run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.69

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Destin Coates

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 56 yds, downed at the WMich 3

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 8

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 10

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.39

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the WMich 16

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 21

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.95

Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 3 yds to the WMich 31

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 36

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jayden Reed for 18 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 36

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the GeoSt 30

3rd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.80

LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 34

4th & 10Punt+29 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 34 yds for a touchback WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Dan Ellington run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 12 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the WMich 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.06

Dan Ellington sacked by Drake Spears for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 46

4th & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.08

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 10 yds to the WMich 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 41

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

BELLAMY, L rush for loss of 2 yards to the WMU39, PENALTY WMU illegal block (JURIGA, LUKE) 15 yards to the WMU26, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+58 ydsPPA +4.60

LeVante Bellamy run for 58 yds to the GeoSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 15

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 18

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 20

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
33%
27 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play