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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5
ArmyArmy
42
-Final
13
BuffaloBuffalo

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 6.8

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 63%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArmyArmy
71471442
BuffaloBuffalo
706013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-77-147-2113-2113-2813-3513-42
BuffaloArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFBUFARMARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMBUFARMTD481ydTO623ydDOWNS1122ydTD1174ydPUNT37ydTD1277ydTD1159ydPUNT39ydEND614ydPUNT3-5ydTD1287ydTD1075ydPUNT36ydTD1381ydDOWNS4-2ydTD331ydPUNT57ydEND530yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and Buffalo
StatisticArmyBuffalo
Passing4-510-24
Pass Yards91152
Rush Yards281103
Total Yards372255
Turnovers10
3rd Down9-142-11
Penalties7-737-78
Possession37:3422:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Kelvin Hopkins Jr.
4/5, 91 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kelvin Hopkins Jr.
19 CAR, 89 YDS
receiving
Camden Harrison
1 REC, 37 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
10/24, 152 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Emmanuel Reed
16 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
K.J. Osborn
4 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.31

Emmanuel Reed run for 7 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the Buff 47

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.26

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 53 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Kell Walker run for 13 yds to the Army 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Army 30

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Kell Walker run for 8 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Fred Cooper run for no gain to the Army 38

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jordan Asberry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 37

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass intercepted Brandon Williams return for no gain to the Army 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Charlie Jones

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the Army 45

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Emmanuel Reed run for 7 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Kenneth Brinson

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Army 37

4th & 9Penalty+15 yds

FINEGAN, Evan punt 37 yards to the ARMY0, touchback, PENALTY ARMY roughing the kicker (27) 15 yards to the ARMY22, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.83

Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the Army 16 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Army 26

1st & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Charlie Jones

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by Elijah Riley

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.80

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Connor Slomka run for 6 yds to the Army 32

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.71

Darnell Woolfolk run for 6 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 40

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 46

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.87

Connor Slomka run for 10 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Asberry run for 2 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jordan Asberry run for no gain to the Buff 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.49

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Calen Holt for 22 yds to the Buff 20 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Buff 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the Buff 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Calen Holt run for 5 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 14

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Buff 14

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 63 yds, downed at the Army 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 26

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Army 31

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.26

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.41

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 37 yds to the Buff 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Jordan Asberry run for 7 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Buff 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.14

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Calen Holt run for 1 yd to the Buff 15

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 7 yds to the Buff 8

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.73

Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Buff 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Buff 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.51

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 21 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 9 yds to the Army 37

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Emmanuel Reed run for 11 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Army 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 8 yds to the Army 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by Mike Reynolds

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Army 11

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Charlie Jones, broken up by Cole Christiansen

4th & 8Blocked Field Goal+80 yds

Adam Mitcheson 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Wunmi Oyetuga Elijah Riley return for 80 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah King run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 24

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Tyree Jackson pass complete to George Rushing for 6 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 5 yds to the Buff 35

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 57 yds, downed at the Army 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds to the Army 10

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 16

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Darnell Woolfolk run for 1 yd to the Army 17

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.77

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 24

2nd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. sacked by Chuck Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 22 ARMY Penalty, intentional grounding (Kelvin Hopkins Jr.) to the Army 22

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darnell Woolfolk run for 4 yds to the Army 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 31

3rd & 4Rush-11 ydsPPA -0.75

Kell Walker run for a loss of 11 yards to the Army 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nick Schrage punt for 67 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 5 yds to the Buff 22

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.68

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

[PSTL], JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to OSBORN, K.J., PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Gibson, James) 15 yards to the UB45, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 16 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Army 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.76

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 32 yds to the Army 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Army 1

2nd & 1Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyree Jackson pass complete to George Rushing for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 4

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.60

Emmanuel Reed run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 8

4th & 8Penalty+6 yds

[SGUN], JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to OSBORN, K.J., PENALTY ARMY pass interference (McClinton, J.) 6 yards to the ARMY2, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Army 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Mitcheson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Roy Baker) to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 10 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Darnell Woolfolk run for 3 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Buff 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Jordan Asberry for 25 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 25

2nd & 4Penalty-12 yds

Holt, Calen rush for 5 yards to the ARMY30 (COLLIER, Jordan;PATTERSON, Jame), PENALTY ARMY personal foul (58) 12 yards to the ARMY13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kjetil Cline for 7 yds to the Army 20

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.49

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 10 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 33

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.21

Darnell Woolfolk run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 8 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.36

Darnell Woolfolk run for 5 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan Collier) to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Connor Slomka run for 7 yds to the Buff 15

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Buff 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 9

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 7 yds to the Buff 2

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for no gain to the Buff 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Darnell Woolfolk run for 2 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 36

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (Tyler Mabry) to the Buff 31

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 31

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler Mabry

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Zach Potter run for no gain to the Buff 31

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Luke Langdon run for 4 yds to the Buff 27

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.52

Luke Langdon run for 27 yds for a TD (John Abercrombie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Johnathan Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Buff 31

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Johnathan Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Buff 40

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

[SGUN], HAWKINS, Johnat rush for no gain to the UB40, out-of-bounds (Lowery, J.), PENALTY UB personal foul (JACK-KURDYLA, T) 15 yards to the UB25, NO PLAY.

2nd & 23Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.14

Johnathan Hawkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 20

3rd & 28Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.08

Johnathan Hawkins run for 12 yds to the Buff 32

4th & 16Punt+33 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 33 yds, downed at the BUFFALO 35 ARMY Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Max Regan run for 6 yds to the Army 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.66

Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Zach Potter run for 6 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Max Regan run for 7 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Zach Potter run for 6 yds to the Buff 35

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
28 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
25%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays