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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2018Week 3
TroyTroy
24
-Final
19
NebraskaNebraska

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 6.2

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 31%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TroyTroy
3140724
NebraskaNebraska
076619

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-107-1710-1713-1713-2419-24
NebraskaTroy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TRONEBTRONEBTRONEBTRONEBNEBTRONEBTRONEBTRONEBNEBTRONEBTRONEBTRONEBTRONEBTROPUNT38ydPUNT57ydFG643ydTO531ydTO33ydTO637ydPUNT37ydTD33ydMISS1057ydTD580ydTD565ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydEND3-12ydPUNT724ydFG42ydDOWNS738ydFG1147ydPUNT6-4ydPUNT614ydTD1062ydTD1175ydPUNT3-2ydTO20ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Troy and Nebraska
StatisticTroyNebraska
Passing14-2119-27
Pass Yards110177
Rush Yards143187
Total Yards253364
Turnovers23
3rd Down4-125-15
Penalties10-9510-77
Possession27:0632:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Troy
passing
Kaleb Barker
14/21, 110 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
B.J. Smith
11 CAR, 70 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Damion Willis
1 REC, 39 YDS
defense
Tron Folsom
1 TFL, 1 PD
Nebraska
passing
Andrew Bunch
19/27, 177 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Maurice Washington
14 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Stanley Morgan Jr.
5 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Deondre Douglas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 11

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the Troy 14

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 7 yds to the Troy 21

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 79 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 5 yds to the Neb 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the Neb 34

2nd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.19

Andrew Bunch sacked by Tyler Murray for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 24

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the Neb 27

4th & 15Punt+36 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the NEBRASKA 32 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Troy 37

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Kaleb Barker sacked by Luke Gifford for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 33

2nd & 14Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.94

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 39 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kaleb Barker run for 5 yds to the Neb 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Damion Willis, broken up by Aaron Williams

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sidney Davis for 3 yds to the Neb 20

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Sumpter 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Neb 25

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Devine Ozigbo run for 11 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Andrew Bunch run for 11 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Andrew Bunch pass complete to JD Spielman for no gain to the Neb 47

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -1.75

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Jack Stoll for 9 yds Jack Stoll fumbled, forced by Cedarius Rookard, recovered by Troy Hunter Reese

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 5 yds to the Troy 49

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 47

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kaleb Barker pass intercepted Lamar Jackson return for no gain to the Neb 7

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.73

Maurice Washington run for 29 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Neb 37

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 32

2nd & 14Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.59

Maurice Washington run for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 24

3rd & 22Penalty+15 yds

TROY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Maurice Washington run for 8 yds to the Neb 47

2nd & 2Sack-3 ydsPPA -2.07

Andrew Bunch sacked by Tron Folsom for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 44

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return-6 ydsPPA -1.10

Andrew Bunch pass intercepted Tyler Murray return for 6 yds to the Troy 46

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Neb 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Neb 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for no gain to the Neb 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.45

Devine Ozigbo run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 2

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Devine Ozigbo run for 7 yds to the Neb 9

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 10

4th & 7Punt+58 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 48 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for 58 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Andrew Bunch pass complete to JD Spielman for 16 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Andrew Bunch pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Greg Bell run for 11 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Marcus Jones

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Greg Bell run for 8 yds to the Troy 26

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 6 yds to the Troy 13

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the Troy 10

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.51

Greg Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 11

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Troy 16

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Barret Pickering 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sawyer Smith run for no gain to the Troy 20

2nd & 10Rush+57 ydsPPA +4.28

Sawyer Smith run for 57 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, delay of game (Sawyer Smith) to the Neb 28

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Sawyer Smith run for no gain to the Neb 28 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Mohamed Barry) to the Neb 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (Tyrin Ferguson) to the Neb 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 9

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

B.J. Smith run for 9 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Maurice Washington for no gain to the Neb 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.39

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 33 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.35

Maurice Washington run for 21 yds to the Troy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Maurice Washington run for 2 yds to the Troy 9

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Barret Pickering KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 24

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.46

Kaleb Barker sacked by Freedom Akinmoladun for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 17

3rd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.04

B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the Troy 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 46 yds, downed at the Neb 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Andrew Bunch pass complete to JD Spielman for 2 yds to the Neb 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Tron Folsom

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey, broken up by Marcus Jones

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 51 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for 8 yds to the Troy 25

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 23

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.39

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 16 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Troy Kaleb Barker

3rd & 19Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.04

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 13

0th & 19End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Greg Bell run for 14 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the Neb 41

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

JD Spielman run for 1 yd to the Neb 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.29

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 9 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.93

Andrew Bunch sacked by Hunter Reese for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 41

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey

3rd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Greg Bell for 6 yds to the Neb 47

4th & 14Punt+44 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 8 Cedarius Rookard fumbled, recovered by Neb Cam Taylor

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Troy 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Troy 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Barret Pickering 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 13 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 3 yds to the Troy 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.08

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 17 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Tray Eafford

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the Neb 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sidney Davis for 5 yds to the Neb 37

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.80

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Sam Letton, broken up by Tre Neal

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.66

Maurice Washington run for 20 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Andrew Bunch pass complete to JD Spielman for 1 yard to the TROY41 (Murray, Tyler), PENALTY NEB illegal block (Andre Hunt) 10 yards to the NEB48, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.41

Maurice Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 44

2nd & 24Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Andrew Bunch run for no gain to the Neb 46 Andrew Bunch fumbled, recovered by Neb Andrew Bunch , return for 2 yds to the Neb 46 Andrew Bunch fumbled, recovered by Neb Matt Farniok

3rd & 22Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.49

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Maurice Washington for 5 yds to the NEBRASKA 49 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, illegal helmet contact (15 Yards) to the Troy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Maurice Washington run for 1 yd to the Troy 33

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.81

Maurice Washington run for 12 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Andrew Bunch run for 3 yds to the Troy 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Andrew Bunch pass complete to JD Spielman for 8 yds to the Troy 10 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Troy 20

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Maurice Washington run for 3 yds to the Troy 17

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Andrew Bunch run for 2 yds to the Troy 15

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.65

Barret Pickering 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

B.J. Smith run for 7 yds to the Troy 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 2 yds to the Troy 34

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 13 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, false start (B.J. Smith) to the Troy 42

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.76

Kaleb Barker sacked by Carlos Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 34

2nd & 23Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, delay of game (Kaleb Barker) to the Troy 29

2nd & 28Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Jabir Daughtry-Frye for 6 yds to the Troy 35

3rd & 22Pass Reception-14 ydsPPA -0.17

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 1 yd to the Troy 36 TROY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Troy 21

4th & 36Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 55 yds, downed at the Neb 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 8 yds to the Neb 32

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.52

Greg Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 29

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.44

Andrew Bunch run for 5 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the Neb 38

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the Neb 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the Neb 43

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, delay of game (Caleb Lightbourn) to the Neb 38

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 24 yds, downed at the Troy 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 1 yd to the Troy 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Sam Letton

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.93

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sidney Davis for 13 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kaleb Barker run for 1 yd to the Neb 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Tray Eafford, broken up by Lamar Jackson

3rd & 9Penalty+8 yds

Barker, Kaleb pass incomplete to Douglas, D., PENALTY NEB pass interference (Aaron Williams) 8 yards to the NEB39, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM run for no gain to the Neb 39 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Troy Kaleb Barker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kaleb Barker pass complete to Tray Eafford for 1 yd to the Neb 38

3rd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.11

Kaleb Barker run for 17 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Kaleb Barker run for 5 yds to the Neb 16 TROY Penalty, Offensive holding (Sidney Davis) to the Neb 26

1st & 15Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.06

B.J. Smith run for 26 yds for a TD (Tyler Sumpter KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Andrew Bunch run for no gain to the Neb 27 Andrew Bunch fumbled, forced by Marcus Webb, recovered by Neb Maurice Washington , return for 2 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Maurice Washington run for 5 yds to the Neb 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Maurice Washington run for 4 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Andrew Bunch run for 5 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tron Folsom) to the Troy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Maurice Washington run for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 48

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Maurice Washington for 9 yds to the Troy 39

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Devine Ozigbo rush over left tackle for 7 yards to the TROY32, PENALTY NEB holding (Brenden Jaimes) 10 yards to the TROY49, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 7 yds to the Troy 42

4th & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.43

Andrew Bunch pass complete to Kurt Rafdal for 26 yds to the Troy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Devine Ozigbo run for 8 yds to the Troy 8

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Troy 7

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.52

Andrew Bunch pass complete to JD Spielman for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

B.J. Smith run for no gain to the Troy 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kaleb Barker pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 28

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Sumpter, Tyler punt 57 yards to the NEB15, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TROY illegal formation (Murray, Tyler) 5 yards to the TROY23, NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tyjon Lindsey at the Neb 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Andrew Bunch pass incomplete to Greg Bell

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -0.35

Andrew Bunch pass intercepted Will Sunderland return for 4 yds to the Neb 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

B.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the Neb 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for 1 yd to the Neb 27

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.54

Sawyer Smith run for 3 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 26

Situational Analysis

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
21 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
46%
13 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play