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← Back to GamesSep 8, 2018Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 30%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 8, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
007714
MinnesotaMinnesota
7301121

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-013-721-14
MinnesotaFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSFSMINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSMINFSMINPUNT615ydPUNT621ydTD1480ydTO28ydPUNT31ydPUNT933ydPUNT511ydPUNT624ydFG955ydEND23ydPUNT521ydPUNT39ydPUNT416ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydPUNT31ydTO415ydTD417ydFG1048ydTD575ydTD1074ydTO971ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Minnesota
StatisticFresno StateMinnesota
Passing24-3416-26
Pass Yards212175
Rush Yards87132
Total Yards299307
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-145-15
Penalties4-403-30
Possession23:1936:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Marcus McMaryion
23/32, 205 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Mims
10 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
KeeSean Johnson
6 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jeffrey Allison
1 TFL, 1 PD
Minnesota
passing
Zack Annexstad
16/26, 175 YDS
rushing
Bryce Williams
25 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Rashod Bateman
5 REC, 78 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rodney Smith for 11 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 34 yds, downed at the FrsSt 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dejonte O'Neal run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 8 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Dejonte O'Neal run for 9 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 12 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 3 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.14

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 9 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Phillip Howard for 7 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 15 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Seth Green run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Seth Green run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 10

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Annexstad, Zack pass complete to Johnson, Tyler for no gain to the FS10 (ALLISON, J.), PENALTY FS holding (WRIGHT, Andrew) 5 yards to the FS5, NO PLAY.

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Seth Green run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 4

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.54

Seth Green run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Seth Green run for no gain to the FrsSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Seth Green run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmit Carpenter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.57

Marcus McMaryion pass intercepted Terell Smith return for no gain to the FrsSt 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Michiah Quick for 11 yds to the FrsSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 3 yds to the FrsSt 39

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.84

Marcus McMaryion run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MCMARYION, M. pass incomplete to JOHNSON, KeeSea (Huff, Jacob), PENALTY FS pass interference (JORDAN, Jamire) 15 yards to the FS31, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 9 yds to the FrsSt 40

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Marcus McMaryion run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 44 yds, downed at the Minn 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 14 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryce Williams run for no gain to the Minn 26

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Annexstad, Zack pass incomplete, PENALTY MINN holding (Schlueter, Sam) 10 yards to the MINN16, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

3rd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 20

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 52 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Dejonte O'Neal run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34 Dejonte O'Neal fumbled, forced by Antonio Shenault,

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.09

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 10 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 5 yds to the Minn 49

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the Minn 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 10

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 3 yds to the Minn 8

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 10

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.44

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 18 yds to the Minn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 25 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Bryce Williams run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Jonathan Femi-Cole

4th & 35Field Goal Good+53 ydsPPA +3.16

Emmit Carpenter 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 11

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 10

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 5 yds to the FrsSt 20

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.11

Dejonte O'Neal run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 5 yds to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Dejonte O'Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jordan Mims

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Antoine Winfield Jr. at the Minn 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete, broken up by Juju Hughes

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Jonathan Femi-Cole run for 8 yds to the Minn 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 33 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.51

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 21 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Chris Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 40

2nd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 42

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 30 yds, downed at the Minn 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bryce Williams run for 5 yds to the Minn 17

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Seth Green run for 1 yd to the Minn 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 42 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Justin Allen for 1 yd to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 49

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Josh Hokit run for no gain to the FrsSt 49

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Antoine Winfield Jr. at the Minn 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zack Annexstad run for 5 yds to the Minn 22

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 25

3rd & 2Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.63

Zack Annexstad sacked by Jasad Haynes and George Helmuth for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 19

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jacob Herbers punt for 44 yds, fair catch by KeeSean Johnson at the FrsSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 1 yd to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Jacob Huff

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 60 yds, downed at the Minn 2

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Bryce Williams run for 10 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 16

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 17

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA +0.08

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for no gain Tyler Johnson fumbled, forced by Anthoula Kelly, recovered by FrsSt Patrick Belony

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Josh Hokit for 5 yds to the Minn 12

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the Minn 11

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Josh Hokit for 10 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 1 yd for a TD (Asa Fuller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 17 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 14 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 2 yds to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Zack Annexstad run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Seth Green run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 40

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.90

Seth Green run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Seth Green run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 34

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Bryce Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 32

4th & 5Field Goal Good+50 ydsPPA +0.71

Emmit Carpenter 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson, broken up by Terell Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.82

Jordan Mims run for 22 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.47

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 45 yds for a TD MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Asa Fuller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete to Tyler Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.28

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 17 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Phillip Howard for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.97

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 13 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Bryce Williams run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Bryce Williams run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Bryce Williams run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Seth Green run for 3 yds for a TD (Seth Green pass to Ko Kieft for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

MCMARYION, M. pass incomplete, PENALTY MINN personal foul (Coughlin, C) 15 yards to the FS44, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Justin Allen for 7 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 7 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.72

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 25 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 20

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jared Rice for 9 yds to the Minn 11

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd to the Minn 10

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.41

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Justin Allen for 6 yds to the Minn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -5.31

Josh Hokit pass intercepted, touchback. Antoine Winfield Jr. return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 18

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.23

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 16

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
39%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play