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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2018Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Virginia by 9.8

Home Win Probability

Virginia 70%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
707923
VirginiaVirginia
730313

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-710-710-1413-1413-23
VirginiaPittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITVIRPITPUNT810ydTD884ydTD157ydPUNT45ydTO549ydPUNT510ydPUNT934ydPUNT717ydDOWNS645ydUncategorized00ydPUNT68ydPUNT68ydTD1584ydFG1051ydTD175ydPUNT3-6ydFG617ydDOWNS4-7ydDOWNS43yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and Virginia
StatisticPittsburghVirginia
Passing7-1417-24
Pass Yards61205
Rush Yards25744
Total Yards318249
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-135-12
Penalties7-7210-81
Possession32:3426:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Kenny Pickett
7/14, 61 YDS
rushing
Darrin Hall
19 CAR, 229 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Aaron Mathews
1 REC, 31 YDS
defense
Virginia
passing
Bryce Perkins
17/24, 205 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan Ellis
10 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Terrell Jana
3 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.51

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 27

1st & 15Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.76

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 21

2nd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 23

3rd & 19Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.85

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 20 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 33

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 28

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Tavares Kelly

3rd & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 31

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 16

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 11

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 10

2nd & 16Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.63

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Aaron Mathews for 31 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

V'Lique Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 39

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

V'Lique Carter run for 7 yds to the Virg 41

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.13

Darrin Hall run for 41 yds for a TD VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the Virg 2 (Alex Kessman KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 42 yds for a TD (Brian Delaney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Virg 44 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Virg 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Will Gragg for 3 yds to the Virg 36

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 41

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.97

Kenny Pickett sacked by Matt Gahm for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 49

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.20

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 40 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 45

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 6 yds to the Pitt 39

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 38

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 34 Jordan Ellis fumbled, recovered by Virg Evan Butts

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -2.22

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Evan Butts for 3 yds Evan Butts fumbled, recovered by Pitt Dane Jackson

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 21

1st & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Darrin Hall run for 13 yds to the Pitt 34

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Darrin Hall run for 10 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to George Aston

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Kenny Pickett pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 1 yd to the Pitt 45

3rd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 41

4th & 13Punt+4 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 47 yds , Chuck Davis returns for 4 yds to the Virg 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 21

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 23

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.05

Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 5 yds to the Virg 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 36

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.77

Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -2.77

Bryce Perkins sacked by Shane Roy and Dewayne Hendrix for a loss of 15 yards to the Virg 28

2nd & 25Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 9 yds to the Virg 37

3rd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 49 yds, downed at the Pitt 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd to the Pitt 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 6 yds to the Pitt 8

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Pitt 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 5 yds to the Pitt 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 47 yds , Tavares Kelly returns for 8 yds to the Virg 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.64

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 11 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.51

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 18 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Bryce Perkins sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 24

3rd & 13Penalty+12 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -1.47

Brian Delaney 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Maurice Ffrench run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 23

3rd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.97

Kenny Pickett run for 12 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 25

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 29

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the Pitt 33

4th & 12Punt+7 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 42 yds , Tavares Kelly returns for 7 yds to the Virg 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 5 yds to the Virg 37

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 45

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 40

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Chris Sharp

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 17

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kenny Pickett sacked by Bryce Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 15 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Jimmy Morrissey , return for 0 yards

3rd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 12 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Pitt 29

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Pitt 36

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Qadree Ollison run for 12 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Virg 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Darrin Hall run for 9 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the Virg 30

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Virg 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.48

Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 4 yds to the Virg 20

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.50

Darrin Hall run for 18 yds to the Virg 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Darrin Hall run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 5 yds to the Virg 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.85

Jordan Ellis run for 22 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly for 4 yds to the Pitt 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 14 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Bryce Perkins sacked by Dewayne Hendrix for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 3 yds to the Pitt 22

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 24

4th & 12Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.77

Brian Delaney 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Darrin Hall run for 75 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 20

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Chris Sharp for no gain to the Virg 20

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Bryce Perkins run for 8 yds to the Virg 28

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryce Perkins sacked by Dewayne Hendrix for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 33 yds, downed at the Pitt 48

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Virg 45

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Darrin Hall run for 6 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Virg 38

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Virg 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-Louis

4th & 6Field Goal Good+53 ydsPPA +1.13

Alex Kessman 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 5 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 31

3rd & 1Sack-16 ydsPPA -1.10

Bryce Perkins sacked by Elijah Zeise for a loss of 16 yards to the Virg 15

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.38

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

1st & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Virg 29

2nd & 24Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Darrin Hall run for 20 yds to the Virg 9

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 11

4th & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.69

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 12

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
16 plays
25%
4 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
17 plays
25%
4 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays