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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2018Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 15.9

Home Win Probability

NC State 85%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
707721
NC StateNC State
3177835

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-717-727-727-1435-1435-21
NC StateVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSVIRNSVIRNSVIRNSVIRNSVIRNSVIRNSVIRNSVIRNSVIRVIRNSFG758ydPUNT57ydPUNT610ydTD867ydTD1375ydPUNT31ydPUNT718ydPUNT630ydTD980ydTO25ydFG622ydPUNT35ydTD1076ydTD982ydPUNT524ydDOWNS861ydTD879ydTD1175ydTO943ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and NC State
StatisticVirginiaNC State
Passing20-3522-32
Pass Yards258257
Rush Yards93176
Total Yards351433
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-138-13
Penalties6-627-80
Possession27:4632:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Bryce Perkins
20/35, 258 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Olamide Zaccheaus
2 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Olamide Zaccheaus
9 REC, 109 YDS, 2 TD
defense
NC State
passing
Ryan Finley
22/32, 257 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Ricky Person Jr.
14 CAR, 108 YDS
receiving
Kelvin Harmon
6 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 3 yds to the NCSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 10 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.29

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 39 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the Virg 22

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the Virg 17

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.55

Christopher Dunn 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.97

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 7 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 28

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 41 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for no gain to the NCSt 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Bryce Hall

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.62

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 13 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

C.J. Riley run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 41

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Juan Thornhill

4th & 13Punt+14 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds , Chuck Davis returns for 14 yds to the Virg 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 7 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.75

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 37

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Virg 32

3rd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.53

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 23 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 5 yds to the NCSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the NCSt 36

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.59

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 35 yds for a TD (Hunter Pearson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brady Bodine run for 6 yds to the NCSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 3 yds to the NCSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Brady Bodine run for 2 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 9 yds to the NCSt 45

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady Bodine run for 2 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. Riley, broken up by Bryce Hall

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 8 yds to the Virg 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 6 yds to the Virg 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.41

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 17 yds to the Virg 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Virg 29

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 34

1st & 25Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 11 yds to the Virg 16

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.10

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 16 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Virg 38

1st & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 14 yds to the NCSt 48

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus, broken up by Chris Ingram

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 5 yds to the NCSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 16 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen Louis

2nd & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.48

Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 46 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (Kelvin Harmon) to the NCSt 36

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the NCSt 38

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie, broken up by Juan Thornhill

4th & 15Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 45 yds , Tavares Kelly returns for no gain to the Virg 17

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 14 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.23

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 14 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Ricky Person Jr. run for 12 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Ricky Person Jr. run for 16 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.31

Ricky Person Jr. run for 27 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Brady Bodine run for 2 yds to the Virg 23

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Brady Bodine run for 7 yds to the Virg 16

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the Virg 16

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA +0.61

Ryan Finley run for 1 yd to the Virg 15 Ryan Finley fumbled, recovered by NCSt Ryan Finley for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the Virg 14

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.81

Ryan Finley pass complete to Cary Angeline for 14 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.16

Bryce Perkins pass intercepted Nick McCloud return for no gain to the Virg 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 5 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 6 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ryan Finley run for 4 yds to the Virg 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 7 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA -1.28

Christopher Dunn 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.92

Bryce Perkins sacked by James Smith-Williams for a loss of 11 yards to the Virg 14

3rd & 17Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Bryce Perkins run for 12 yds to the Virg 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the NCSt 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.20

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 29 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the Virg 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the Virg 43

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Bryce Hall) to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the Virg 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 14 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the Virg 7

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.15

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the Virg 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 24

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus, broken up by Isaiah Moore

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 11 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 36

2nd & 9Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 25 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.94

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly for 32 yds to the NCSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the NCSt 6

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 9 yds for a TD (Hunter Pearson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 9 yds to the NCSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.06

Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the Virg 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.63

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 49

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

4th & 12Punt+7 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds , Chuck Davis returns for 7 yds to the Virg 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 14 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 8 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly for 17 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 16 yds to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the NCSt 21

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the NCSt 21

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.31

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Tavares Kelly

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 24

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 12 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 8 yds to the NCSt 46

2nd & 2Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.91

Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 37

3rd & 11Penalty+12 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Darrius Bratton) to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the Virg 44

2nd & 3Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.27

Ricky Person Jr. run for 38 yds to the Virg 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-10 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (Terronne Prescod) to the Virg 16

1st & 16Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.88

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 16 yds for a TD (Ryan Finley pass to Emeka Emezie for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryce Perkins run for 2 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.92

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 11 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, roughing passer (Louis Acceus) to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly for 8 yds to the NCSt 39

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryce Perkins run for 11 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 5 yds to the NCSt 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the NCSt 19

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Jordan Ellis, broken up by Larrell Murchison

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.98

Bryce Perkins sacked by Larrell Murchison for a loss of 9 yards to the NCSt 20

2nd & 19Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.67

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 13 yds to the NCSt 7

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.84

Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds for a TD (Hunter Pearson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.03

Bryce Perkins run for 20 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.77

Bryce Perkins sacked by Larrell Murchison for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 37

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the NCSt 34

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Jake Fieler) to the NCSt 39

3rd & 19Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Bryce Perkins sacked by Larrell Murchison for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 42

4th & 22Penalty+15 yds

NC STATE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Deonte Holden) to the NCSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus, broken up by Jarius Morehead

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus, broken up by Stephen Griffin

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Tanner Ingle) to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 5 yds to the NCSt 7

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return-1 ydsPPA -4.54

Bryce Perkins pass intercepted Dexter Wright return for 1 yd to the NCSt 4

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.34

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 2

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

TEAM run for no gain to the NCSt 2

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
9 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
29 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
46%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play