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← Back to GamesSep 22, 2018Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 2.3

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 43%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 22, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
7210735
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
71417038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-714-1421-2121-2828-2838-2838-35
North CarolinaPittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPITNCPUNT813ydTD770ydTD1175ydTD875ydPUNT35ydTO434ydTD864ydTD675ydTD685ydPUNT32ydTD656ydPUNT33ydEND1-1ydPUNT37ydPUNT614ydTD756ydPUNT3-12ydTD537ydTO00ydFG724ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT412ydPUNT620ydMISS964ydTD879ydEND727yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and North Carolina
StatisticPittsburghNorth Carolina
Passing19-3322-31
Pass Yards174313
Rush Yards228173
Total Yards402486
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-167-15
Penalties5-455-45
Possession30:3629:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Kenny Pickett
19/33, 174 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Darrin Hall
6 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Taysir Mack
2 REC, 76 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Nathan Elliott
22/31, 313 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Antonio Williams
16 CAR, 114 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dazz Newsome
6 REC, 110 YDS
defense
Cole Holcomb
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 3 yds to the Pitt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 8 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 8 yds to the Pitt 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 8 yds to the NCaro 45

2nd & 2Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.73

Kenny Pickett sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 14 yards to the Pitt 41

3rd & 16Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 38

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 13 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.85

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for 10 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the Pitt 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Antonio Williams for 3 yds to the Pitt 37

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.66

Antonio Williams run for 37 yds for a TD (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Qadree Ollison run for 28 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kenny Pickett run for 8 yds to the NCaro 39

4th & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.18

Kenny Pickett run for 9 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the NCaro 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to George Aston

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 6 yds to the NCaro 21

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.79

Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Qadree Ollison run for 13 yds to the NCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Kenny Pickett run for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 18 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 5 yds to the NCaro 48

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Michael Carter run for no gain to the NCaro 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.99

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 37 yds to the Pitt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Jordon Brown run for 9 yds to the Pitt 6

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.57

Antonio Williams run for 5 yds to the Pitt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Antonio Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dyami Brown for 13 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the NCaro 44

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Anthony Ratliff-Williams run for 7 yds to the Pitt 49

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -2.20

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 9 yds Anthony Ratliff-Williams fumbled, forced by Dane Jackson, recovered by Pitt Cam Bright

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.91

Mychale Salahuddin run for 23 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the NCaro 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 9 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the NCaro 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 14 yds to the NCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 11 yds to the NCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Antonio Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.29

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 16 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Antonio Williams run for 14 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the Pitt 46

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, personal foul (Amir Watts) to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for 31 yds for a TD (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to George Aston

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Mychale Salahuddin run for 9 yds to the Pitt 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 6 yds to the Pitt 35

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +6.03

Darrin Hall run for 65 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordon Brown run for no gain to the NCaro 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Jordon Brown for 1 yd to the NCaro 27

4th & 8Punt+12 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 44 , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for 12 yds to the Pitt 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Maurice Ffrench run for 2 yds to the Pitt 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 5 yds to the NCaro 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 5 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.20

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 42 yds to the NCaro 2 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd to the NCaro 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams, broken up by Jazzee Stocker

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Thomas Jackson for 7 yds to the NCaro 28

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 45 yds , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for 9 yds to the Pitt 36

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Antonio Williams run for 8 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Antonio Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 34

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Nathan Elliott run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 32

4th & 3Punt+60 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 50 yds PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive holding (Rashad Weaver) to the Pitt 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 8

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Kenny Pickett run for 9 yds to the Pitt 17

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.44

Darrin Hall run for 3 yds to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Darrin Hall

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mychale Salahuddin run for 2 yds to the Pitt 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 34 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for no gain to the NCaro 44

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 43

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the NCaro 48

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, offside defense (Dewayne Hendrix) to the Pitt 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Antonio Williams run for 3 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 9 yds to the Pitt 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.14

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 15 yds to the Pitt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Garrett Walston for 19 yds to the Pitt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordon Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes

3rd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.25

Kenny Pickett sacked by Cole Holcomb for a loss of 13 yards to the Pitt 9

4th & 22Punt+2 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 37 , Dazz Newsome returns for 2 yds to the Pitt 37

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.21

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NCaro Antonio Williams

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

3rd & 17Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.52

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 21 yds to the Pitt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Antonio Williams run for 4 yds to the Pitt 19

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.70

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dyami Brown for 19 yds for a TD (Freeman Jones KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jordon Brown run for 8 yds to the Pitt 35

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Jordon Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.34

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Thomas Jackson for 14 yds to the Pitt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Antonio Williams run for 4 yds to the Pitt 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.26

Freeman Jones 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception-12 ydsPPA -0.60

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Kenny Pickett for a loss of 12 yards to the Pitt 13

3rd & 22Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.07

Kenny Pickett run for 11 yds to the Pitt 24

4th & 11Punt+43 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the UNC 43 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Johnathon Sutton) to the NCaro 33

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Michael Carter run for 11 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the NCaro 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 15 , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for 6 yds to the Pitt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 4 yds to the Pitt 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 21

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.80

Kenny Pickett run for 15 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds to the Pitt 44

2nd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.80

Kenny Pickett sacked by Jalen Dalton for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 35

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Cole Holcomb PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

4th & 11Punt-4 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 46 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 15

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Antonio Williams run for 18 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Nathan Elliott run for 1 yd to the NCaro 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Jake Bargas for 7 yds to the NCaro 41 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Anthony Ratliff-Williams) to the NCaro 31

2nd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Michael Carter run for 16 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.04

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 47 yds to the Pitt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Michael Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 8

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Carter, M rush up middle for 1 yard to the UP7 (Wheeler, R.;Idowu, O.), PENALTY NC illegal formation 5 yards to the UP13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the Pitt 11

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.35

Nathan Elliott sacked by Patrick Jones II for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 21

4th & 21Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Freeman Jones 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.44

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 34 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 9 yds to the NCaro 36

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Qadree Ollison run for 10 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Kenny Pickett run for 10 yds to the NCaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Maurice Ffrench for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Nathan Elliott run for 3 yds to the NCaro 40

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.51

Anthony Ratliff-Williams run for 12 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Antonio Williams run for 2 yds to the Pitt 46

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.44

Antonio Williams run for 15 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 32

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 37

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 38

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
37%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
15 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play