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← Back to GamesSep 22, 2018Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Virginia by 3

Home Win Probability

Virginia 54%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 22, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
00303
VirginiaVirginia
0671427

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-013-320-327-3
VirginiaLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRPUNT36ydMISS861ydPUNT934ydPUNT618ydTO58ydFG622ydDOWNS1038ydFG857ydPUNT32ydEND34ydTO611ydFG40ydTD767ydTO837ydTD862ydPUNT40ydPUNT421ydUncategorized10ydTD425ydDOWNS1054ydEND844yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Virginia
StatisticLouisvilleVirginia
Passing16-2817-26
Pass Yards148197
Rush Yards66204
Total Yards214401
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-119-16
Penalties6-523-29
Possession26:0533:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Jawon Pass
10/19, 113 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Malik Cunningham
10 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Dez Fitzpatrick
5 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Virginia
passing
Bryce Perkins
17/24, 197 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Bryce Perkins
14 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Joe Reed
2 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Charles Snowden
1.5 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dae Williams run for no gain to the Lvile 25

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Dae Williams run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 45 yds , Chuck Davis returns for no gain to the Virg 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tanner Cowley for 6 yds to the Virg 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.68

Bryce Perkins pass complete to De'Vante Cross for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Khane Pass) to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.46

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Tavares Kelly for 25 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 8

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.87

Bryce Perkins sacked by Tabarius Peterson and Dee Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+32 yds

A.J. Mejia 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Lvile 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the Lvile 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 48

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.11

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 48

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the Virg 45

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Jeremy Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 46

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 39 yds, downed at the Virg 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Virg 7

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Virg 15

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Virg 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Virg 26

2nd & 5Penalty-9 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal block (-9 Yards) to the Virg 17

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois

3rd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Perkins run for 8 yds to the Virg 25

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 41 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 4 yds to the Lvile 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.48

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 8 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marcus Riley for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 46

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return-23 ydsPPA -1.40

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Charles Snowden return for 23 yds to the Lvile 32

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Lvile 25

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Lvile 14

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 5 yds to the Lvile 10

4th & 2Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.97

Hunter Pearson 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Trey Smith run for 11 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Trey Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 6 yds to the Lvile 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.12

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 6 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trey Smith run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Trey Smith for 6 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Virg 41

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeremy Smith run for 5 yds to the Virg 36

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Dae Williams run for no gain to the Virg 36

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.30

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Evan Butts for 10 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Bryce Perkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Hasise Dubois pass incomplete to Bryce Perkins

3rd & 2Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.89

Brennan Armstrong run for 34 yds to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Lvile 8

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Hasise Dubois, broken up by Cornelius Sturghill

4th & 5Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.92

Hunter Pearson 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Lvile 37

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Lvile 38

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Lvile 39

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

Mason King punt for 40 yds , Chuck Davis returns for 4 yds to the Virg 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 29

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 8 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.55

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 10 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Hasise Dubois) to the Virg 27

1st & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for no gain to the Virg 27

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Virg 30

3rd & 17Pass Interception Return-34 ydsPPA +0.21

Bryce Perkins pass intercepted Rodjay Burns return for 34 yds to the Virg 3

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd to the Virg 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Virg 2

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Trey Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 ydsPPA -1.08

Blanton Creque 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 36

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.82

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Evan Butts for 14 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.37

Bryce Perkins run for 36 yds to the Lvile 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 10 yds to the Lvile 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Chris Sharp for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Pearson KICK)

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Trey Smith run for 11 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 18 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Trey Smith run for 1 yd to the Virg 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jawon Pass pass complete to Trey Smith for 2 yds to the Virg 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 15 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Micky Crum

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (Lukayus McNeil) to the Virg 38

2nd & 20Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -1.97

Jawon Pass pass intercepted Bryce Hall return for 19 yds to the Virg 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith, broken up by Charles Snowden

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 11 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bryce Perkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -2.53

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Lamont Atkins for 1 yd to the Virg 47 VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Ellis) to the Virg 43

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 6 yds to the Virg 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.87

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 11 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 42

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 44

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.90

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 44 yds for a TD (Hunter Pearson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan Davis) to the Lvile 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.00

Jawon Pass pass complete to Trey Smith for 17 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jawon Pass pass complete to Jeremy Smith for 3 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith, broken up by Charles Snowden

4th & 15Punt+6 yds

Mason King punt for 52 yds , Chuck Davis returns for 6 yds to the Virg 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 13 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 45

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Virg 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus VIRGINIA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt+9 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 37 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 9 yds to the Lvile 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, broken up by Juan Thornhill

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 21

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Lvile 18

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Jordan Ellis run for 10 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Bryce Perkins run for 8 yds for a TD (Hunter Pearson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Jawon Pass pass complete to Devante Peete for 11 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 11 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Jawon Pass pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 9 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 9 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 18 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith, broken up by Darrius Bratton

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Trey Smith) to the Virg 40

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Trey Smith) to the Virg 45

4th & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Trey Smith

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Virg 49

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Jordan Ellis run for 11 yds to the Lvile 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tavares Kelly run for 8 yds to the Lvile 14

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
22 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play