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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2018Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 20.3

Home Win Probability

Louisville 90%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
770317
LouisvilleLouisville
0331420

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-143-146-1413-1720-17
LouisvilleWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKLOUWKPUNT37ydTO727ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT421ydTO10ydTD1680ydDOWNS47ydTD231ydPUNT827ydPUNT35ydPUNT40ydPUNT633ydFG1281ydEND211ydPUNT518ydFG861ydMISS1460ydTD731ydFG1468ydTD875ydDOWNS818ydPUNT3-2ydMISS336yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Louisville
StatisticWestern KentuckyLouisville
Passing25-3810-21
Pass Yards26088
Rush Yards168204
Total Yards428292
Turnovers11
3rd Down9-172-11
Penalties8-695-40
Possession35:2424:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Davis Shanley
22/33, 240 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
D'Andre Ferby
16 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Quin Jernighan
4 REC, 66 YDS
defense
Ben Holt
1.5 TFL
Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
10/18, 88 YDS
rushing
Malik Cunningham
21 CAR, 129 YDS
receiving
Jaylen Smith
3 REC, 38 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Colin Wilson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jawon Pass pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jawon Pass run for 4 yds to the Lvile 32

4th & 3Punt+10 yds

Mason King punt for 39 yds , Roger Cray returns for 10 yds to the WKent 42 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Roger Cray) to the WKent 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 13 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Joshua Samuel run for 6 yds to the WKent 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Steven Duncan run for 3 yds to the Lvile 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.93

Steven Duncan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive offside (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 4 yds to the Lvile 44

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA -2.07

Steven Duncan pass intercepted C.J. Avery return for 25 yds to the WKent 44

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.97

Colin Wilson run for no gain to the WKent 45 Colin Wilson fumbled, forced by Ben Holt,

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Jeremy Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 47

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jawon Pass pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 11

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.83

Garland LaFrance run for 16 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Garland LaFrance run for 2 yds to the WKent 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Steven Duncan pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 3 yds to the WKent 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Steven Duncan pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+36 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 44 yds for a 1ST down , Rodjay Burns returns for 36 yds to the LOUISVILLE 32 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WKent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.30

Jawon Pass pass intercepted DeAngelo Malone return for no gain to the WKent 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Davis Shanley run for 1 yd to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.49

D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 32 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyle Fourtenbary) to the WKent 22

1st & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Davis Shanley pass complete to Gino Appleberry Jr. for 12 yds to the WKent 34

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Gino Appleberry Jr. run for no gain to the WKent 34

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.98

Davis Shanley run for 7 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Garland LaFrance run for 4 yds to the WKent 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.82

Davis Shanley pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 19 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Davis Shanley run for 7 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the Lvile 19

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.16

D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the Lvile 11

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Lvile 9

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 9 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Jawon Pass sacked by Ben Holt for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 19

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Lvile 24

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Lvile 32

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.02

Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.38

Davis Shanley pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 28 yds to the Lvile 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Davis Shanley run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Lvile 24

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Dae Williams run for 5 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Marcus Riley run for 9 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Malik Cunningham run for 13 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Lukayus McNeil) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jeremy Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 46

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Devante Peete

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, broken up by Devon Key

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Joshua Samuel run for 3 yds to the WKent 14

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to D'Andre Ferby

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Lvile 47

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.68

Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the LOUISVILLE 49 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (Dez Fitzpatrick) to the Lvile 41

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 47 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Mason King punt for 43 yds , Roger Cray returns for 13 yds to the WKent 23

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.16

D'Andre Ferby run for 14 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 11 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Davis Shanley run for 1 yd to the WKent 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Davis Shanley pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 4 yds to the Lvile 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Davis Shanley pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 49

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

RINELLA, Alex punt 32 yards to the LOU17, fair catch by Burns, Rod., PENALTY LOU roughing the kicker 5 yards to the LOU44, NO PLAY.

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 13

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jaylen Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 12

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Devante Peete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.83

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 31 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.28

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 17 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the WKent 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.22

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Devante Peete for 9 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Devante Peete for 8 yds to the WKent 17

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Dez Fitzpatrick) to the WKent 22

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith, broken up by Devon Key

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the WKent 6

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -1.02

Blanton Creque 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Davis Shanley run for 8 yds to the WKent 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Davis Shanley pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 3 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Garland LaFrance run for 4 yds to the WKent 12

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Davis Shanley pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 7 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 5 yds to the WKent 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 2 yds to the WKent 26

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alex Rinella punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 33

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Dae Williams run for 16 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.11

Dae Williams run for 21 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 8 yds to the WKent 22

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.25

Malik Cunningham run for 16 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the WKent 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.87

Blanton Creque 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Davis Shanley pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 2 yds to the WKent 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Tyler Witt) to the WKent 32

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Mik'Quan Deane

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.88

Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 17 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

D'Andre Ferby run for 9 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 1Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Davis Shanley sacked by C.J. Avery and Robert Hicks for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan, broken up by Cornelius Sturghill

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.61

Davis Shanley pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 31 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Garland LaFrance run for 8 yds to the Lvile 1

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Davis Shanley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 5

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.51

Davis Shanley sacked by G.G. Robinson for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 15

4th & 15Blocked Field Goal+32 yds

Ryan Nuss 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jared Goldwire Rodjay Burns return for no gain to the WKent 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dae Williams run for 5 yds to the WKent 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dae Williams for no gain to the WKent 26

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.95

Malik Cunningham run for 17 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.61

Dae Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 14

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the WKent 11

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds to the WKent 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Dae Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Kyle Fourtenbary

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 9 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Davis Shanley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Davis Shanley pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 7 yds to the WKent 44

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Kyle Fourtenbary) to the WKent 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.78

Davis Shanley pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 12 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Joshua Samuel run for 17 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the Lvile 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Mik'Quan Deane, broken up by TreSean Smith

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Davis Shanley pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 3 yds to the Lvile 18

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.49

Ryan Nuss 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 16 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.36

Malik Cunningham run for 17 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the WKent 37

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Hassan Hall run for 10 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Drell Greene) to the WKent 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Dae Williams run for 11 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dae Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 7 yds to the WKent 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Marquez Trigg run for 2 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Joshua Samuel run for 11 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Davis Shanley run for 5 yds to the Lvile 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.63

Davis Shanley sacked by Jarrett Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 45

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 47

3rd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.03

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 42 yds for a 1ST down , Roger Cray returns for no gain to the WKent 43 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Davis Shanley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.62

Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 36 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Ryan Nuss 51 yd FG MISSED

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
32 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
47%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
54%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play