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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2018Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 6.9

Home Win Probability

Pittsburgh 30%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
77162151
PittsburghPittsburgh
60006

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842566-76-146-236-376-446-51
PittsburghPenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPSPITPUNT36ydTD363ydTD1075ydMISS618ydTO942ydPUNT768ydMISS779ydTO311ydDOWNS624ydTO48ydTO4-3ydTD335ydEND18ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydTD840ydSAF1-8ydPUNT34ydPUNT38ydTO610ydTD3-1ydPUNT3-1ydTD564ydPUNT50ydTD1261ydTO430ydTD134ydDOWNS723ydUncategorized12ydUncategorized224yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Pittsburgh
StatisticPenn StatePittsburgh
Passing15-319-18
Pass Yards17955
Rush Yards211259
Total Yards390314
Turnovers23
3rd Down4-124-15
Penalties4-4514-116
Possession25:3834:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Trace McSorley
14/30, 145 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Miles Sanders
16 CAR, 118 YDS
receiving
Brandon Polk
2 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Pittsburgh
passing
Kenny Pickett
9/18, 55 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Qadree Ollison
21 CAR, 119 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 25

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-Louis

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 32 yds, downed at the PnSt 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.00

Trace McSorley pass complete to Jonathan Holland for 22 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Damar Hamlin) to the Pitt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

KJ Hamler run for 32 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Shocky Jacques-Louis run for 38 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice Ffrench

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Kenny Pickett run for 9 yds to the PnSt 28

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.30

Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the PnSt 27

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Kenny Pickett run for 8 yds to the PnSt 19

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Qadree Ollison run for 6 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the PnSt 11

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

George Aston run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 13

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.17

Qadree Ollison run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Trace McSorley pass complete to Danny Dalton for 9 yds to the Pitt 41

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Miles Sanders run for 7 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Danny Dalton

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Miles Sanders run for 7 yds to the Pitt 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan Johnson

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Jake Pinegar 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 28

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 33

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Delay of Game (Kenny Pickett) to the Pitt 28

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.07

Kenny Pickett run for 10 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Qadree Ollison for no gain to the Pitt 38

3rd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.42

Kenny Pickett run for 5 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Shareef Miller) to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds to the PnSt 34

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Amani Oruwariye return for no gain to the PnSt 1

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.82

Miles Sanders run for 41 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Brandon Polk) to the PnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mark Allen for 7 yds to the PnSt 39

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the PnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.49

Trace McSorley pass complete to Brandon Polk for 11 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.63

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 37

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Miles Sanders run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 27 yds, downed at the Pitt 4

1st & 10Rush+63 ydsPPA +4.04

Qadree Ollison run for 63 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the PnSt 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 6 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Shocky Jacques-Louis run for 1 yd to the PnSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the PnSt 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Qadree Ollison for 3 yds to the PnSt 17

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Alex Kessman 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ricky Slade run for 4 yds to the PnSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ricky Slade run for 4 yds to the PnSt 28

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Ricky Slade run for 3 yds to the PnSt 31 Ricky Slade fumbled, forced by Quintin Wirginis, recovered by Pitt Rashad Weaver

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Qadree Ollison run for 9 yds to the PnSt 22

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.38

Qadree Ollison run for 11 yds to the PnSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 12

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Qadree Ollison run for 4 yds to the PnSt 8

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the PnSt 4

4th & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -4.06

Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.39

Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 11 yds to the PnSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Trace McSorley pass complete to Danny Dalton for 8 yds to the PnSt 26

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Mark Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 23

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.40

Trace McSorley sacked by Quintin Wirginis for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 15

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 47 yds , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for no gain to the Pitt 38 Rafael Araujo-Lopes fumbled, recovered by Pitt Rafael Araujo-Lopes

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Gragg) to the Pitt 28

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 28

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 8 yds to the Pitt 36

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds to the Pitt 42

4th & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -0.19

Kirk Christodoulou run for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 35 Kirk Christodoulou fumbled, recovered by PnSt Jarvis Miller

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.12

Miles Sanders run for 21 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 14 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Qadree Ollison run for 8 yds to the Pitt 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Miles Sanders run for 8 yds to the PnSt 36

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Juwan Johnson) to the PnSt 21

2nd & 17Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.20

Mark Allen run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 15

3rd & 23Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.33

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 18 yds to the PnSt 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-Louis

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.28

Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 11

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Pitt 13

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 27 yds, downed at the Pitt 40

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Miles Sanders run for 9 yds to the Pitt 31

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.39

Miles Sanders run for 4 yds to the Pitt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan Johnson

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Trace McSorley pass complete to Jonathan Holland for 3 yds Jonathan Holland fumbled, forced by Dane Jackson, recovered by PnSt for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Roughing Passer (Patrick Jones II) to the Pitt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mark Allen run for no gain to the Pitt 11

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Miles Sanders run for 7 yds to the Pitt 4

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Trace McSorley run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Tyler Sear) to the Pitt 4

1st & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.20

Darrin Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 1

2nd & 17Safety0 ydsPPA -1.65

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Stefano Millin) to the Pitt 0 for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Miles Sanders run for 3 yds to the PnSt 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Gillikin punt for 51 yds , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for no gain to the Pitt 39 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block (5 Yards) to the Pitt 5

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.39

Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 1

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 4

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 9 yds to the Pitt 13

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 42 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Rashad Weaver) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Trace McSorley pass complete to Miles Sanders for 6 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Juwan Johnson

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Pitt 4

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Pitt 6

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kenny Pickett sacked by Yetur Gross-Matos and Jan Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 3

4th & 11Punt+39 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 36 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 39 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for 4 yds to the Pitt 24

2nd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.47

Kenny Pickett sacked by Shareef Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 16

3rd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Kenny Pickett pass complete to George Aston for 8 yds to the Pitt 24

4th & 11Punt+39 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 39 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 36

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Trace McSorley run for 20 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.73

Miles Sanders run for 20 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Trace McSorley run for 19 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.97

Miles Sanders run for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 11

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Trace McSorley pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Kenny Pickett run for 11 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.04

Kenny Pickett sacked by Shaka Toney for a loss of 11 yards to the Pitt 35

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 26 yds, downed at the PnSt 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Pat Freiermuth

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

McSorley, Trace pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the PENNST31 (Jones II, Patrick), PENALTY PITTSBURGH face mask (Jones II, Patrick) 15 yards to the PITTSBURGH46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PENNST.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to KJ Hamler

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.70

Trace McSorley pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 12 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Mark Allen run for 8 yds to the Pitt 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.21

Trace McSorley pass complete to KJ Hamler for 8 yds to the Pitt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Trace McSorley pass complete to Pat Freiermuth for 5 yds to the Pitt 13

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Mark Allen run for 10 yds to the Pitt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Mark Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Trace McSorley pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Mark Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Pitt 8

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Darrin Hall run for 8 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darrin Hall run for 5 yds to the Pitt 21

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -0.50

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 13 yds Shocky Jacques-Louis fumbled, forced by Jonathan Sutherland, recovered by PnSt Ayron Monroe

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Sean Clifford pass complete to Brandon Polk for 34 yds for a TD (Jake Pinegar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

A.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the Pitt 21

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

A.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

A.J. Davis run for 13 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-Louis

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Dontavius Butler-Jenkins for 4 yds to the Pitt 48

4th & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.57

Kenny Pickett sacked by Daniel Joseph for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 39

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -3.86

Ricky Slade run for 2 yds to the Pitt 43 Ricky Slade fumbled, forced by Rashad Weaver, recovered by Pitt Rashad Weaver , return for 6 yds to the Pitt 43

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.49

A.J. Davis run for 22 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the PnSt 33

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays