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← Back to GamesSep 8, 2018Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 19.8

Home Win Probability

NC State 90%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 8, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
70007
NC StateNC State
101071441

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-710-717-720-727-741-7
NC StateGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSNSGSNSGSNSGSNSGSNSNSGSNSGSNSGSNSGSNSGSNSGSTD675ydTD757ydPUNT519ydFG989ydPUNT627ydTD1080ydPUNT610ydPUNT825ydMISS853ydFG563ydDOWNS940ydDOWNS518ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-1ydTD872ydMISS1058ydTO640ydDOWNS1032ydTD455ydTO24ydTD312ydEND651yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and NC State
StatisticGeorgia StateNC State
Passing19-3432-39
Pass Yards242426
Rush Yards107115
Total Yards349541
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-134-9
Penalties5-486-52
Possession29:2830:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Dan Ellington
15/28, 194 YDS
rushing
Destin Coates
6 CAR, 43 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devin Gentry
5 REC, 83 YDS
defense
NC State
passing
Ryan Finley
31/38, 370 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brady Bodine
5 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kelvin Harmon
8 REC, 129 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 15 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds to the GeoSt 45

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.27

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 46 yds to the NCSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Destin Coates run for 8 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.53

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 23 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 14 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 25

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the GeoSt 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Victor Heyward

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive holding (Cedric Stone) to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nakia Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 5 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Tra Barnett run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 47

2nd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.87

Dan Ellington sacked by Alim McNeill and Isaiah Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 53 yds, downed at the NCSt 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 6

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 15 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +3.67

Thayer Thomas pass complete to Trent Pennix for 56 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 10

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

C.J. Riley run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 7

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Cedric Stone

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.89

Christopher Dunn 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Destin Coates run for no gain to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the GeoSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Seth Paige run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the NCSt 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Trent Pennix run for 6 yds to the NCSt 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Trent Pennix

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.85

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 39 yds to the NCSTATE 31 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ryan Finley pass complete to Dylan Parham for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the GeoSt 24

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 23

4th & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.16

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 20 yds to the GeoSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Nick McCloud

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Dan Ellington pass complete to Taz Bateman for 14 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Taz Bateman run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Nick McCloud

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.82

Dan Ellington sacked by Alim McNeill for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 35

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 65 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Ryan Finley pass complete to Trent Pennix for 9 yds to the NCSt 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Trent Pennix run for 2 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.47

Trent Pennix run for 4 yds to the NCSt 35 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 25

1st & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 15 yds to the NCSt 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 6 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45

4th & 1Penalty-10 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NCSt 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart, broken up by Chris Ingram

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.19

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 20 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Demarcus Kirk run for 11 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Dan Ellington run for 17 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 3 yds to the NCSt 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Taz Bateman run for 2 yds to the NCSt 27

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Brandon Wright 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 5 yds to the NCSt 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.90

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 34 yds to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ryan Finley run for no gain to the GeoSt 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.09

Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 24 yds to the GeoSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -1.49

Christopher Dunn 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the NCSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 5 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nakia Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCSt 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Jerome Smith

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.94

Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 17 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 36

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +1.15

Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 8 yds Terry Thomas fumbled, forced by Jaylon Jones, recovered by NCSt

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -2.72

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 35

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Dan Ellington run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Taz Bateman run for 4 yds to the NCSt 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 5 yds to the NCSt 41

4th & 1Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.95

Penny Hart run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCSt 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ryan Finley pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan Strachan

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Nakia Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

4th & 9Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Taz Bateman at the GeoSt 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Penny Hart

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Dan Ellington sacked by Germaine Pratt for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 13

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin Gentry

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 59 yds, downed at the NCSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 12 yds to the NCSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Ryan Finley pass complete to Dylan Parham for 12 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 5 yds to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.92

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 20 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 11 yds to the GeoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the GeoSt 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ryan Finley pass complete to Trent Pennix for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 7 yds to the GeoSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.40

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 34 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Destin Coates run for 1 yd to the NCSt 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Dan Ellington pass complete to Christian Owens for 6 yds to the NCSt 24

3rd & 3Penalty+12 yds

NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Jarius Morehead) to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Dan Ellington pass complete to Destin Coates for 7 yds to the NCSt 5

2nd & 3Penalty-15 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Penny Hart) to the NCSt 20

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the NCSt 17

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

4th & 15Blocked Field Goal+34 yds

Brandon Wright 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eurndraus Bryant

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 44

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Trent Pennix run for 1 yd to the NCSt 45

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +2.29

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 14 yds Stephen Louis fumbled, forced by Chris Bacon, recovered by NCSt C.J. Riley for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.45

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 16 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brady Bodine run for no gain to the GeoSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-23 ydsPPA -3.95

Ryan Finley pass intercepted Quavian White return for 23 yds to the GeoSt 24

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 24 Tra Barnett fumbled, forced by Tanner Ingle, recovered by GeoSt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 16 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Demarcus Kirk run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dan Ellington run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dan Ellington pass complete to Penny Hart for 4 yds to the GeoSt 49

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Taz Bateman run for 2 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin Gentry

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Hunter Atkinson) to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the GeoSt 41

3rd & 20Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.23

Destin Coates run for 15 yds to the NCSt 44

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Jonathan Ifedi

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Trent Pennix run for 3 yds to the NCSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Ryan Finley pass complete to N/A for 9 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brady Bodine run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.46

Brady Bodine run for 39 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Seth Paige run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA +0.14

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Diondre Champaigne for 11 yds Diondre Champaigne fumbled, forced by Brock Miller, recovered by NCSt Maurice Trowell , return for 17 yds to the GeoSt 12

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, false start (Damien Darden) to the GeoSt 17

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Brady Bodine run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 14

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Bodine run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 10

3rd & 8Penalty+8 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Quavian White) to the GeoSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Matthew McKay run for 2 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 15 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Diondre Champaigne, broken up by Brock Miller

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Aaron Winchester pass incomplete to Diondre Champaigne, broken up by Maurice Trowell

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.95

Destin Coates run for 12 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Seth Paige for 6 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.68

Aaron Winchester pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 18 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
28 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
50%
30 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play