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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2018Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Richmond by 3.6

Home Win Probability

Virginia 38%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Richmond
1003013
VirginiaVirginia
14147742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-714-1028-1035-1042-13
VirginiaRichmond

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20RICVIRVIRRICVIRRICVIRRICVIRRICVIRRICVIRRICVIRRICVIRRICVIRRICVIRRICVIRRICPUNT39ydTD1043ydTD336ydFG650ydTD1068ydPUNT6-4ydTD349ydMISS664ydTD880ydPUNT517ydPUNT631ydEND16ydTD865ydPUNT820ydPUNT3-6ydFG617ydTD759ydTO430ydPUNT833ydTO20ydMISS623ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Richmond and Virginia
StatisticRichmondVirginia
Passing12-2914-26
Pass Yards191191
Rush Yards34301
Total Yards225492
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-109-15
Penalties5-694-24
Possession21:5838:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Richmond
passing
Kevin Johnson
11/28, 194 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Gordon Collins
4 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Tyler Wilkins
4 REC, 75 YDS
defense
Virginia
passing
Bryce Perkins
13/24, 185 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Ellis
20 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Olamide Zaccheaus
6 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kevin Johnson run for 1 yd to the Richm 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Kevin Johnson run for 8 yds to the Richm 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Micah Breckenridge punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 4 yds to the Virg 37

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.51

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 9 yds to the Richm 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryce Perkins run for 4 yds to the Richm 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 10 yds to the Richm 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Bryce Perkins run for 7 yds to the Richm 27

2nd & 3Interception Return Touchdown-72 ydsPPA -11.45

Bryce Perkins pass intercepted for a TD Dale Matthews Jr. return for 72 yds for a TD (Griffin Trau KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Tavares Kelly, broken up by Markus Vinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.67

Bryce Perkins run for 36 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 17 yds to the Richm 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.69

Gordon Collins run for 17 yds to the VIRGINIA 41 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Juan Thornhill) to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevin Johnson run for 5 yds to the Virg 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Deontez Thompson run for 2 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins

4th & 3Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA -0.13

Griffin Trau 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 15 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Richm 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Richm 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Richm 45

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Hasise Dubois) to the 50 yard line

1st & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Jordan Ellis run for 13 yds to the Richm 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Joe Reed, broken up by Trent Williams

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Richm 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.32

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Richm 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 7 yds to the Richm 22

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.44

Bryce Perkins run for 22 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kevin Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Richm 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.36

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Caleb Drake for 16 yds to the Richm 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

RICHMOND Penalty, Offensive holding (Deontez Thompson) to the Richm 29

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins, broken up by Juan Thornhill

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Deontez Thompson run for 1 yd to the Richm 30

3rd & 19Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevin Johnson sacked by Mandy Alonso for a loss of 9 yards to the Richm 21

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Micah Breckenridge punt for 28 yds, downed at the Richm 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Richm 44

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.57

Bryce Perkins run for 6 yds to the Richm 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 38 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Dejon Brissett for 8 yds to the Richm 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.63

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Cortrelle Simpson for 54 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Gordon Collins run for 2 yds to the Virg 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Griffin Trau 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for no gain to the Virg 25 to Joe Reed for 5 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jordan Ellis run for 8 yds to the Virg 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.60

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 33 yds to the Richm 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryce Perkins run for 5 yds to the Richm 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordan Ellis run for 4 yds to the Richm 16

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jordan Ellis run for 6 yds to the Richm 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jordan Ellis run for 10 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Dejon Brissett for 2 yds to the Richm 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 10 yds to the Richm 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kevin Johnson run for 5 yds to the Richm 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett

4th & 5Punt+35 yds

Micah Breckenridge punt for 35 yds , Chuck Davis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 22

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Olamide Zaccheaus run for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 17

2nd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Jordan Ellis run for 13 yds to the Virg 30

3rd & 2Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.22

Bryce Perkins run for 29 yds to the Richm 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.19

Bryce Perkins sacked by Maurice Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Richm 47

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyler Wilkins at the Richm 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Gordon Collins run for 6 yds to the Richm 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Virg 44

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Jordan Ellis run for 11 yds to the Richm 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Richm 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Evan Butts for 4 yds to the Richm 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.03

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 11 yds to the Richm 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to De'Vante Cross

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Bryce Perkins run for 10 yds to the Richm 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Jordan Ellis run for 21 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins, broken up by Brenton Nelson

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Deontez Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Richm 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Dejon Brissett for 12 yds to the Richm 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Gordon Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Richm 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Will Geraghty for 21 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

RICHMOND Penalty, Offensive holding (John Yarbrough) to the Richm 44

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Stephon Jacob

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Will Geraghty for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.87

Kevin Johnson sacked by Bryce Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the Richm 44 Kevin Johnson fumbled, recovered by Richm John Yarbrough , return for 0 yards

4th & 20Punt+1 yds

Micah Breckenridge punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 15 , Chuck Davis returns for 1 yd to the Virg 15

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Bryce Perkins sacked by Maurice Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 10

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

3rd & 15Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.04

Bryce Perkins sacked by Darius Reynolds for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 9

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 28 yds, downed at the Virg 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Tyler Wilkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 19 yds to the Virg 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett, broken up by Darrius Bratton

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Deontez Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 20

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett, broken up by Darrius Bratton

4th & 12Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.40

Griffin Trau 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Olamide Zaccheaus run for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 35

2nd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Terrell Jana for 10 yds to the Virg 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.93

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Joe Reed for 19 yds to the Richm 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan Ellis run for 12 yds to the Richm 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Ellis run for no gain to the Richm 24

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tavares Kelly run for 4 yds to the Richm 20

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.18

Bryce Perkins pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 20 yds for a TD (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kevin Johnson run for 1 yd to the Richm 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.19

Kevin Johnson pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 29 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Caleb Drake, broken up by Tim Harris

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.53

Kevin Johnson pass intercepted Joey Blount return for no gain to the Virg 17

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

RICHMOND Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Virg 22

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.48

PK Kier run for 6 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

PK Kier run for 4 yds to the Virg 32

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

PK Kier run for 9 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

PK Kier run for 7 yds to the Virg 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Lamont Atkins run for 5 yds to the Richm 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Bryce Perkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

PK Kier run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Bryce Perkins pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kevin Johnson pass incomplete to Dejon Brissett

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -0.06

Kevin Johnson pass intercepted Brenton Nelson return for 3 yds to the Richm 41

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Joe Reed run for 9 yds to the Richm 32

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.30

Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds to the Richm 24 for a 1ST down RICHMOND Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Terrell Jana

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

PK Kier run for 1 yd to the Richm 23

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Richm 18

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+35 yds

A.J. Mejia 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Joe Mancuso pass complete to Ben Maffe for a loss of 3 yards to the Richm 17

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Joe Mancuso run for 6 yds to the Richm 23

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Joe Mancuso run for 2 yds to the Richm 25

4th & 5Punt+40 yds

Micah Breckenridge punt for 40 yds , Chuck Davis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Evan Butts for 6 yds to the Virg 40

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Brennan Armstrong run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 38 Brennan Armstrong fumbled, recovered by Virg Brennan Armstrong

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jamari Peacock run for 2 yds to the Virg 40

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Virg 35

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tyler Wilkins at the Richm 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

TEAM run for no gain to the Richm 23

Situational Analysis

Richmond

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
19 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
53%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play