Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 1, 2018Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

James Madison by 1.7

Home Win Probability

NC State 47%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
James MadisonJames Madison
703313
NC StateNC State
0170724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-710-717-717-1017-1324-13
NC StateJames Madison

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20JMNSJMNSJMNSJMNSJMNSJMNSJMNSJMNSJMPUNT629ydTO1260ydTD868ydFG1169ydPUNT512ydTD538ydTO1366ydTD1290ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-12ydFG739ydMISS1147ydPUNT834ydPUNT932ydFG1574ydTD1184ydEND759yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing James Madison and NC State
StatisticJames MadisonNC State
Passing24-3029-43
Pass Yards202309
Rush Yards16383
Total Yards365392
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-1311-16
Penalties5-255-50
Possession31:4228:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

James Madison
passing
Ben Dinucci
23/27, 197 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ben Dinucci
14 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Riley Stapleton
9 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense
NC State
passing
Ryan Finley
29/43, 309 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Reggie Gallaspy II
17 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jakobi Meyers
14 REC, 161 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ben DiNucci run for 5 yds to the JMads 31

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Cardon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 30

3rd & 6Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.26

Ben DiNucci run for 24 yds to the NCSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Cardon Johnson run for 4 yds to the NCSt 42

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

JMU Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the NCSt 42

2nd & 6Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Ben DiNucci run for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 49

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ben DiNucci run for 4 yds to the NCSt 45

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harry O'Kelly punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.58

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 14 yds to the NCSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 13 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 34

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.93

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 14 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 13 yds to the JMads 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the JMads 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 17 yds to the JMads 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 2 yds to the JMads 16

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the JMads 26

2nd & 18Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -3.21

Ryan Finley pass complete to Tyler Baker-Williams for a loss of 5 yards Tyler Baker-Williams fumbled, forced by Dimitri Holloway, recovered by JMads Mike Greene

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Riley Stapleton for 5 yds to the JMads 37

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Marcus Marshall run for 6 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Kyndel Dean for 13 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marcus Marshall run for 4 yds to the NCSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.93

Ben DiNucci run for 7 yds to the NCSt 33 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Kishawn Miller) to the NCSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Marcus Marshall run for 6 yds to the NCSt 12

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Mack Cullen for 7 yds to the NCSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Riley Stapleton for 5 yds for a TD, (Ethan Ratke KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for no gain to the NCSt 24

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.46

Ryan Finley sacked by Ron'Dell Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 20

3rd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.72

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 22 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the NCSt 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.38

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 23 yds to the JMads 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the JMads 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 17 yds to the JMads 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the JMads 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the JMads 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.79

Christopher Dunn 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Mack Cullen for 8 yds to the JMads 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the JMads 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the JMads 33

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the JMads 28

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Trai Sharp run for 5 yds to the JMads 33

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Josh Sims for 2 yds to the JMads 35

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Ben DiNucci run for 2 yds to the JMads 37

4th & 11Punt+40 yds

Harry O'Kelly punt for 41 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 40 yds to the JMads 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 11 yds to the JMads 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the JMads 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.55

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 10 yds to the JMads 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. Riley

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 16 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Trai Sharp run for 1 yd to the JMads 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Riley Stapleton for 7 yds to the JMads 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Ben DiNucci pass complete to David Eldridge for 3 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the JMads 30

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Clayton Cheatham for 10 yds to the JMads 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Josh Sims for 5 yds to the JMads 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.34

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Riley Stapleton for 6 yds to the NCSTATE 49 for a 1ST down NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Nick McCloud) to the NCSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Trai Sharp for no gain to the NCSt 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.97

Ben DiNucci pass complete to David Eldridge for 13 yds to the NCSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Trai Sharp run for 3 yds to the NCSt 18

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Ben DiNucci run for 8 yds to the NCSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.59

Ben DiNucci sacked by Ibrahim Kante for a loss of 5 yards to the NCSt 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Ben DiNucci pass complete to David Eldridge for 9 yds to the NCSt 6

3rd & 6Sack+20 yds

Ben DiNucci sacked by Ibrahim Kante for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 31 Ben DiNucci fumbled, recovered by NCSt Eurndraus Bryant , return for 0 yards , return for 20 yds to the NCSt 31 Eurndraus Bryant fumbled, recovered by NCSt Isaiah Moore , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 27

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 7 yds to the NCSt 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.34

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 10 yds to the NCSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 12 yds to the JMads 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 7 yds to the JMads 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 4 yds to the JMads 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 8 yds to the JMads 25

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.38

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the JMads 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the JMads 14

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.71

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 14 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Cardon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, false start (Jakobi Meyers) to the NCSt 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Damien Darden

2nd & 15Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.23

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for a loss of 7 yards to the NCSt 13

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

4th & 22Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 29 yds, downed at the NCSt 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the NCSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the NCSt 36

3rd & 4Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.39

Ben DiNucci run for 24 yds to the NCSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Trai Sharp run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 15

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Trai Sharp run for 4 yds to the NCSt 11

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Riley Stapleton for 8 yds to the NCSt 3

4th & 1Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.18

Ethan Ratke 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jakobi Meyers run for 3 yds to the NCSt 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie, broken up by D'Angelo Amos

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 6 yds to the NCSt 37

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.73

Ryan Finley run for 1 yd to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 21 yds to the JMads 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the JMads 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the JMads 35

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

JMU Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Wesley McCormick) to the JMads 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the JMads 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. Riley

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Christopher Dunn 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Josh Sims, broken up by Tim Kidd-Glass

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Josh Sims for 13 yds to the JMads 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cardon Johnson run for 3 yds to the JMads 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to David Eldridge

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Ben DiNucci run for 11 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Cardon Johnson run for 2 yds to the NCSt 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Johnson pass complete to EJ Morgan for 5 yds to the NCSt 40

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Cole Johnson pass incomplete to Riley Stapleton, broken up by Alim McNeill

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Harry O'Kelly punt for 39 yds, downed at the NCSt 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 3

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 10 yds to the NCSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Ryan Finley run for 9 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Matt Terrell

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 8 yds to the NCSt 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 44 yds, fair catch by D'Angelo Amos at the JMads 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Marcus Marshall run for 8 yds to the JMads 31

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Marcus Marshall run for 4 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Josh Sims for 12 yds to the JMads 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Marcus Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 45

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ben DiNucci run for 4 yds to the JMads 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.55

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Riley Stapleton for 9 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the NCSt 41

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the NCSt 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.74

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Riley Stapleton for 8 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the NCSt 30

2nd & 9Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.60

Marcus Marshall run for 26 yds to the NCSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Cardon Johnson run for no gain to the NCSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Josh Sims

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Ben DiNucci run for 1 yd to the NCSt 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+19 ydsPPA -1.08

Ethan Ratke 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 18

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the NCSt 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.22

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 8 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 32

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.12

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 39 yds to the JMads 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Trent Pennix run for no gain to the JMads 29

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Trent Pennix run for 1 yd to the JMads 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.29

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 10 yds to the JMads 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 12 yds to the JMads 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Kyndel Dean for 2 yds to the JMads 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ben DiNucci run for 5 yds to the JMads 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Marcus Marshall for 12 yds to the JMads 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.56

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Riley Stapleton for 26 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Team pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Ben DiNucci pass complete to Riley Stapleton for 14 yds to the NCSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to David Eldridge

Situational Analysis

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
33%
27 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
73%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
31%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
35%
17 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
78%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play