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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2018Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 16.1

Home Win Probability

Louisville 17%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
142102156
LouisvilleLouisville
730010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-147-1410-2110-2810-3510-4210-4910-56
LouisvilleKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUPUNT3-3ydTD853ydPUNT526ydTD984ydTD175ydTD777ydFG960ydTD875ydPUNT39ydTD767ydEND13ydTO823ydPUNT410ydTO671ydPUNT35ydTD957ydPUNT3-1ydTD273ydDOWNS720ydTD445ydDOWNS851yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Louisville
StatisticKentuckyLouisville
Passing17-248-16
Pass Yards26179
Rush Yards343226
Total Yards604305
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-82-11
Penalties6-6312-134
Possession33:0226:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Terry Wilson
17/23, 261 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Asim Rose
10 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lynn Bowden Jr.
6 REC, 86 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
5/8, 64 YDS
rushing
Malik Cunningham
5 CAR, 89 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylen Smith
2 REC, 31 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jeremy Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 20

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 10

3rd & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Lvile 18

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 4 yds to the Lvile 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Terry Wilson run for 13 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Lvile 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 8 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

Lynn Bowden Jr. rush left for loss of 3 yards to the LOU21 (Avery, C.J.), PENALTY LOU personal foul (Etheridge, Dor.) 9 yards to the LOU9, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.48

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 20 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jeremy Smith run for 2 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jeremy Smith run for 7 yds to the Kent 45

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Jeremy Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 24

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Benny Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 43

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to David Bouvier

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 8 yds to the Lvile 32

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.56

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.35

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 27 yds to the Lvile 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Terry Wilson run for 3 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Malik Cunningham run for 75 yds for a TD (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 32 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 7 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 39

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 36

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 8 yds to the Lvile 24

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.34

Benny Snell Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Colin Wilson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Micky Crum for 9 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.28

Colin Wilson run for 32 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Malik Cunningham run for 16 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Micky Crum) to the Kent 21

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.05

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 16 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Kent 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Cunningham, Mal rush right for 5 yards to the UK0, clock 09:03, PENALTY LOU holding (Thomas, Ken.) 10 yards to the UK15, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Jeremy Smith

4th & 15Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA +0.28

Blanton Creque 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the Kent 23

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

Terry Wilson deep pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., PENALTY LOU pass interference (Character, Mar.) 15 yards to the UK38, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-11 ydsPPA -2.22

Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 42 KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Asim Rose) to the Kent 27

2nd & 21Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.93

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 32 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 44

2nd & 13Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Terry Wilson sacked by Derek Dorsey and Russ Yeast for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 45

3rd & 14Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.24

Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (P.J. Mbanasor) to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Benny Snell Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 28

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.35

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 28 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 8 yds to the Lvile 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 33 yds, fair catch by David Bouvier at the Kent 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 20 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., broken up by Chandler Jones

2nd & 10Penalty-8 yds

Asim Rose rush left for 4 yards to the LOU43, out-of-bounds (Peterson, Tab.), PENALTY UK holding (Drake Jackson) 8 yards to the UK45, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.40

Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 7 yds to the LOUISVILLE 48 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (Tabarius Peterson) to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Terry Wilson deep pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., PENALTY UK holding (Logan Stenberg) 10 yards to the LOU38, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 16 yds to the Lvile 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 9 yds to the Lvile 13

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.02

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 49

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.73

Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Cornelius Sturghill

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 31

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return-19 ydsPPA -2.67

Terry Wilson pass intercepted Cornelius Sturghill return for 19 yds to the Lvile 33

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.33

Jeremy Smith run for 29 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 41

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Linwood Foy) to the Kent 46

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.35

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 11 yds to the Kent 35

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Micky Crum) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 22Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.47

Sean McCormack sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 43

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 46 yds , David Bouvier returns for no gain to the Kent 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 16

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Asim Rose run for 8 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 26

2nd & 8Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.64

Terry Wilson run for 40 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 16 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -4.41

Lynn Bowden Jr. pass intercepted C.J. Avery return for 3 yds to the Lvile 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jeremy Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 4

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Sean McCormack pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 8 yds to the Lvile 12

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.39

Jeremy Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 8

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 49 yds, downed at the Kent 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 46

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Asim Rose run for 8 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Lvile 39

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Lvile 38

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.99

Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to C.J. Conrad

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lvile 32

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.19

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 32 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sean McCormack pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.04

Sean McCormack sacked by Chris Oats for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 29

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Sean McCormack run for 6 yds to the Lvile 35

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 38 yds, fair catch by David Bouvier at the Kent 27

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Asim Rose rush left for 9 yards to the UK36 (Hicks, Rob.;Robinson, G.G.), PENALTY UK holding (Naasir Watkins) 10 yards to the UK17, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 12Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.90

Asim Rose run for 75 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean McCormack pass complete to Hassan Hall for 4 yds to the Lvile 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Sean McCormack run for 4 yds to the Lvile 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Sean McCormack pass complete to Devante Peete for 3 yds to the Lvile 45

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Sean McCormack pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith, broken up by Tyrell Ajian

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Lvile 43

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the Lvile 37

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.80

Kavosiey Smoke run for 37 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the Lvile 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jeremy Smith run for 7 yds to the Lvile 32

3rd & 3Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.70

Jeremy Smith run for 40 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Hassan Hall run for 11 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Sean McCormack pass incomplete to Devante Peete, broken up by Jordan Griffin

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jeremy Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 19

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Sean McCormack pass incomplete to Devante Peete

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Lukayus McNeil) to the Kent 24

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.65

Sean McCormack pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
47%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
83%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
18 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays