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← Back to GamesSep 15, 2018Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 25.3

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 92%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 15, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Murray State
030710
KentuckyKentucky
710171448

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-017-020-327-334-341-348-348-10
KentuckyMurray State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENMSKENMSKENMSKENMSMSKENMSKENMSKENMSKENMSKENMSKENTD891ydPUNT928ydPUNT833ydPUNT55ydFG716ydDOWNS839ydTD1464ydFG864ydPUNT3-2ydFG1656ydPUNT32ydTD772ydPUNT3-3ydTD356ydDOWNS855ydTD480ydTO741ydTD855ydTD975ydUncategorized00yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Murray State and Kentucky
StatisticMurray StateKentucky
Passing20-4124-31
Pass Yards180283
Rush Yards122245
Total Yards302528
Turnovers10
3rd Down9-166-12
Penalties8-607-67
Possession24:0535:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Murray State
passing
Drew Anderson
15/32, 118 YDS
rushing
Rodney Castille
8 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Malik Honeycutt
4 REC, 76 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Terry Wilson
19/25, 163 YDS
rushing
Terry Wilson
13 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lynn Bowden Jr.
8 REC, 89 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 13 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 5 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Terry Wilson run for 9 yds to the Kent 43

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Terry Wilson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the MurrS 42

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.00

Terry Wilson run for 42 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

D.J. Penick run for 1 yd to the MurrS 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Drew Anderson pass complete to Tyre Gray for 6 yds to the MurrS 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Drew Anderson pass complete to D.J. Penick for 5 yds to the MurrS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

D.J. Penick run for 5 yds to the MurrS 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Drew Anderson pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 1 yd to the MurrS 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.75

Drew Anderson pass complete to Tyre Gray for 4 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Drew Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Drew Anderson pass complete to Armani Hayes for 6 yds to the Kent 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Drew Anderson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Steve Dawson punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 2

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY MUR offside defense (PRESLEY, K.J.) 5 yards to the UK7, NO PLAY.

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.44

Asim Rose run for 13 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 7 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 8 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Terry Wilson pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Terry Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 43

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps

3rd & 13Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass complete to David Bouvier for 26 yards to the MUR31 (WARREN, TJ), PENALTY UK holding (E.J. Price) 10 yards to the UK33, NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 1 yd to the Kent 34

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MurrS 12 , Rodney Castille returns for no gain to the MurrS 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Drew Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Rodney Castille run for 12 yds to the MurrS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.02

Drew Anderson pass complete to Rodney Castille for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 19

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Rodney Castille run for 3 yds to the MurrS 22

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Drew Anderson pass incomplete

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 17

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Steve Dawson punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MurrS 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the MurrS 36

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the MurrS 30

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Benny Snell Jr. run for 17 yds to the MurrS 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the MurrS 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.36

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the MurrS 21

3rd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the MurrS 20

4th & 17Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.96

Miles Butler 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew Anderson pass complete to Sylvaughn Turner for 4 yds to the MurrS 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

D.J. Penick run for 7 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

[SHOT], ANDERSON, Drew pass incomplete to MOSS, Jonathan, PENALTY UK pass interference (Mike Edwards) 2 yards to the MUR38, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre Gray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Drew Anderson pass complete to Rodney Castille for 8 yds to the MurrS 46

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

[SHOT], ANDERSON, Drew pass incomplete to HAYES, Armani, PENALTY UK pass interference (Chris Westry) 15 yards to the UK39, 1ST DOWN MUR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Sylvaughn Turner

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre Gray

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Drew Anderson pass complete to D.J. Penick for 3 yds to the Kent 36

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.65

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre Gray, broken up by Darius West

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], Benny Snell rush for 1 yard to the UK37 (WILLIAMS, Quin), PENALTY UK holding (Luke Fortner) 10 yards to the UK26, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 3 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.34

Terry Wilson sacked by Kenney Wooten for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 20 Terry Wilson fumbled, , return for 0 yards

3rd & 26Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.13

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 25 yds to the Kent 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.06

Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY MUR offside defense (WOOTEN, Kenney) 5 yards to the MUR47, NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 5 yds to the MurrS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Benny Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the MurrS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 5 yds to the MurrS 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the MurrS 23

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the MurrS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the MurrS 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 7 yds to the MurrS 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the MurrS 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Drew Anderson pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 12 yds to the MurrS 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Rodney Castille run for 4 yds to the MurrS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Malik Honeycutt

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Drew Anderson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.72

Drew Anderson pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 26 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.96

Drew Anderson pass complete to Corey Newble for 30 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY MUR false start (CARTER, Cam) 5 yards to the UK11, NO PLAY.

1st & 11Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -1.41

Gabriel Vicente 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

D.J. Penick run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to D.J. Penick, broken up by Jordan Jones

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre Gray, broken up by Davonte Robinson

4th & 12Punt+2 yds

Steve Dawson punt for 55 yds , David Bouvier returns for 2 yds to the Kent 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 4 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 33

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.59

Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Dorian Baker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 13 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the MurrS 49

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], Terry Wilson rush for 4 yards to the MUR45, PENALTY UK holding (E.J. Price) 10 yards to the UK41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps

3rd & 17Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.87

Terry Wilson run for 21 yds to the MurrS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the MurrS 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 5 yds to the MurrS 29

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Terry Wilson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 12 yds Dorian Baker fumbled, forced by Marquez Sanford, for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 21

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the MurrS 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., broken up by Dior Johnson

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.20

Miles Butler 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rodney Castille run for 2 yds to the MurrS 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rodney Castille run for no gain to the MurrS 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Rodney Castille, broken up by Jordan Jones

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Steve Dawson punt for 45 yds, downed at the Kent 28

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Asim Rose run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 25

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Asim Rose

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

[SHOT], Terry Wilson sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UK20 (CATIS, Kendrick), PENALTY MUR personal foul (CATIS, Kendrick) 15 yards to the UK40, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Terry Wilson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 6 yds to the Kent 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.54

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 24 yds to the MurrS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.30

Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 20 yds to the MurrS 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the MurrS 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Asim Rose run for 3 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Sylvaughn Turner, broken up by DeAndre Square

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY MUR false start 5 yards to the MUR20, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.17

D.J. Penick run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Drew Anderson pass complete to Sylvaughn Turner for 3 yds to the MurrS 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Steve Dawson punt for 34 yds, downed at the Kent 44

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Sihiem King run for 11 yds to the MurrS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the MurrS 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+49 yds

Benny Snell Jr. pass complete to Terry Wilson for a loss of 6 yards lat. to Zy'Aire Hughes for 49 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew Anderson sacked by Marquan McCall for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 30 Drew Anderson fumbled, recovered by MurrS Jensen Feggins , return for 0 yards , return for 4 yds to the MurrS 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Drew Anderson pass complete to Tyre Gray for 4 yds to the MurrS 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Drew Anderson pass complete to Armani Hayes for 11 yds to the MurrS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.64

Rodney Castille run for 34 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Rodney Castille run for 1 yd to the Kent 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Tyre Gray

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to D.J. Penick

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.91

Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Malik Honeycutt, broken up by Kordell Looney

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the Kent 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.70

Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 15 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.39

Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 40 yds to the MurrS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 23 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Shuler Bentley pass complete to Armani Hayes for 15 yds to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Shuler Bentley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.47

D.J. Penick run for 16 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Shuler Bentley pass complete to Armani Hayes for 3 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Shuler Bentley pass complete to Jonathan Moss for 3 yds to the Kent 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Shuler Bentley pass complete to Cameron Garrett for 4 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-18 ydsPPA -4.06

Shuler Bentley pass intercepted Jamin Davis return for 18 yds to the Kent 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gunnar Hoak pass incomplete to Sihiem King

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Sihiem King run for 9 yds to the MurrS 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Sihiem King run for no gain to the MurrS 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Sihiem King run for 2 yds to the MurrS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 16 yds to the MurrS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Gunnar Hoak pass complete to Akeem Hayes for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 29

2nd & 11Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.19

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 27 yds to the MurrS 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Danny Clark run for 2 yds for a TD (Miles Butler KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

[SHOT], PENALTY UK offside defense (Davoan Hawkins) 5 yards to the MUR30, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.32

Preston Rice pass incomplete to DeQuan Dallas

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nolan Nichols run for 2 yds to the MurrS 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Preston Rice run for 4 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nolan Nichols run for 4 yds to the MurrS 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Preston Rice pass incomplete to Nolan Nichols, broken up by Jamin Davis

3rd & 6Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.64

Preston Rice pass complete to Malik Honeycutt for 37 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Nolan Nichols run for 1 yd to the Kent 22

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

D.J. Penick run for 1 yd to the Kent 21

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.37

Preston Rice run for 21 yds for a TD Timeout MURRAY ST, clock 00:30 (Gabriel Vicente KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Adrian Middleton run for no gain to the Kent 35

Situational Analysis

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
18%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play