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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2018Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 20.6

Home Win Probability

Alabama 91%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
007714
AlabamaAlabama
141416751

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-034-744-751-751-14
AlabamaLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALALOUALALOUALALOUALALOUALALOUALALOUALALOULOUALALOUALALOUALALOUALALOULOUALALOUALATD765ydPUNT420ydTO863ydPUNT3-1ydTD655ydTO849ydTD675ydPUNT631ydPUNT519ydPUNT420ydPUNT633ydPUNT3-6ydTD325ydEND1-2ydPUNT610ydTD463ydTD1075ydTD00ydPUNT3-4ydFG637ydPUNT626ydMISS1370ydTD10ydDOWNS532ydPUNT39ydTD552ydEND310yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Alabama
StatisticLouisvilleAlabama
Passing20-3917-26
Pass Yards252297
Rush Yards16222
Total Yards268519
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-1410-15
Penalties11-9310-111
Possession28:5131:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Jawon Pass
20/39, 252 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Trey Smith
4 CAR, 11 YDS
receiving
Seth Dawkins
3 REC, 68 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Tua Tagovailoa
12/16, 227 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damien Harris
7 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
DeVonta Smith
4 REC, 99 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 38

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.43

Tua Tagovailoa sacked by G.G. Robinson for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.89

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Damien Harris for 14 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 7 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.93

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 28 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tua Tagovailoa run for 8 yds to the Lvile 11

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jawon Pass pass complete to Micky Crum for 13 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jawon Pass pass complete to Micky Crum for 5 yds to the Lvile 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Lvile 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Trey Smith

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Josh Jacobs run for 6 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Josh Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Alab 28

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.31

Tua Tagovailoa run for 7 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Josh Jacobs

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.72

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 26 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+18 ydsPPA -3.77

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 18 yds DeVonta Smith fumbled, forced by Cornelius Sturghill, recovered by Lvile Dorian Etheridge

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dae Williams run for 4 yds to the Lvile 21

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 16

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Chatarius Atwell

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 45

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.61

Damien Harris run for 32 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 6 yds to the Lvile 17

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Lvile 14

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Tua Tagovailoa run for 9 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Xavier McKinney) to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Trey Smith run for 7 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.21

Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Jawon Pass run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 48

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jawon Pass pass complete to Trey Smith for 4 yds to the Alab 48

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Jawon Pass run for 11 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 13 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Alab 29

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA -3.66

Jawon Pass pass intercepted Deionte Thompson return for 25 yds to the Alab 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 11 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.14

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 49 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Tua Tagovailoa run for 8 yds to the Lvile 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Lvile 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Substitution Infraction ( Yards) to the Lvile 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Najee Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jawon Pass pass complete to Kemari Averett for 2 yds to the Lvile 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.47

Jawon Pass pass complete to Trey Smith for 27 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 18 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Colin Wilson) to the Alab 44

1st & 15Rush-11 ydsPPA -2.82

TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Lvile 45

2nd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Kemari Averett

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Chatarius Atwell

4th & 26Punt+12 yds

Mason King punt for 45 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 12 yds to the Alab 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Josh Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 9 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Josh Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Irv Smith Jr.

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 22 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Dae Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 40

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Devante Peete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 40 yds, downed at the Alab 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 25

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Ross Pierschbacher) to the Alab 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.11

Jalen Hurts pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 27 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Damien Harris

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Lvile 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 32 yds, downed at the Lvile 15

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Jawon Pass pass complete to Cole Bentley for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 8

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Trey Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 9

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins

4th & 16Punt+31 yds

Mason King punt for 47 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 31 yds to the Lvile 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for no gain to the Lvile 25

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.76

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 25 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Dae Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Trey Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.82

Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 19 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jawon Pass pass complete to Micky Crum for 6 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cole Bentley) to the Lvile 42

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dae Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 41

3rd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.44

Jawon Pass sacked by Xavier McKinney and Anfernee Jennings for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 35

4th & 21Punt+16 yds

Mason King punt for 44 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 16 yds to the Alab 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.47

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 32 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Josh Jacobs run for 9 yds to the Lvile 18

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Josh Jacobs run for 18 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-12 Yards) to the Lvile 13

1st & 22Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dae Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 9

2nd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Keion Wakefield

3rd & 26Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.19

Jawon Pass run for 11 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Anfernee Jennings) to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jawon Pass run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 34

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Quinnen Williams) to the Lvile 39

2nd & 6Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.67

Jawon Pass run for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 32

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

4th & 13Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Christian Miller) to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.04

Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 47 yds to the Alab 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 11

1st & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Micky Crum

2nd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jawon Pass pass complete to Dae Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 12

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.23

Jawon Pass pass complete to Kemari Averett for 12 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

3rd & 31Kickoff Return Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +5.92

Evan O'Hara kickoff for 57 yds , Josh Jacobs return for 77 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Alab 20

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Joseph Bulovas kickoff for 56 yds , Rodjay Burns return for no gain to the Lvile 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Dae Williams run for 2 yds to the Lvile 26

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Jawon Pass sacked by Dylan Moses for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 23

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jawon Pass sacked by Isaiah Buggs for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 20

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.64

Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Russ Yeast) to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Lvile 22

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Najee Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 24

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Lvile 21

4th & 3Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA -0.40

Austin Jones 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jawon Pass pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Lvile 9

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.40

Jawon Pass pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 8 yds to the Lvile 17 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Saivion Smith) to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Dae Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

4th & 10Punt+21 yds

Mason King punt for 58 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 21 yds to the ALABAMA 47 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Joshua McMillon) to the Alab 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 6 yds to the Alab 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.66

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 17 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 47

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.28

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 11 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 22

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 20

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 10 yds to the Lvile 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Mac Jones run for 1 yd to the Lvile 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Miller Forristall

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 9

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Austin Jones 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown-45 ydsPPA -7.61

Jawon Pass pass intercepted for a TD Shyheim Carter return for 45 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 yds

Jawon Pass pass complete to Devante Peete for 15 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (LaBryan Ray) to the Alab 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Colin Wilson run for 6 yds to the Alab 5

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Colin Wilson run for no gain to the Alab 5

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.99

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Colin Wilson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Alab 8

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Alab 9

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 14

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Skyler DeLong punt for 38 yds, downed at the Lvile 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.17

Jawon Pass pass complete to Kemari Averett for 8 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.72

Jawon Pass pass complete to Chatarius Atwell for 30 yds to the Alab 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 8

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.62

Jawon Pass pass complete to Kemari Averett for 8 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ronnie Clark run for 4 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ronnie Clark run for 4 yds to the Alab 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Ronnie Clark run for 2 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
0%
4 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
8 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
28 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
40%
10 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play