Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 3, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 2.3

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 57%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 3, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Incarnate Word
00000
Fresno StateFresno State
171732066

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-017-020-034-052-066-0
Fresno StateIncarnate Word

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSIWFSIWFSIWFSIWFSIWFSIWFSIWFSIWFSIWIWFSIWFSIWFSIWFSIWFSIWPUNT39ydTO829ydTD643ydPUNT38ydFG44ydPUNT34ydTD484ydPUNT33ydPUNT515ydPUNT32ydFG742ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT31ydPUNT36ydTD584ydPUNT39ydTD1074ydEND1-2ydSAF415ydTD461ydSAF3-19ydTD558ydTO10ydTD424ydPUNT32ydTD664ydMISS1472ydDOWNS1380ydEND34yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Incarnate Word and Fresno State
StatisticIncarnate WordFresno State
Passing15-3123-37
Pass Yards155414
Rush Yards-30199
Total Yards125613
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-1610-16
Penalties7-503-15
Possession27:2232:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Incarnate Word
passing
Taylor Laird
9/20, 90 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Keyondrick Philio
7 CAR, 11 YDS
receiving
Daryl Brooks
2 REC, 45 YDS
defense
Fresno State
passing
Chason Virgil
16/29, 246 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ronnie Rivers
9 CAR, 60 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
KeeSean Johnson
7 REC, 120 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Chason Virgil pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 7 yds to the FrsSt 33

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Dejonte O'Neal run for no gain to the FrsSt 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 53 yds , Zaire Andre returns for no gain to the InWrd 14

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.62

Desmond Hite run for a loss of 5 yards to the InWrd 9

2nd & 15Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.81

Taylor Laird pass complete to Daryl Brooks for 34 yds to the InWrd 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Desmond Hite run for no gain to the InWrd 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Taylor Laird pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.12

Taylor Laird pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 14 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Desmond Hite run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Desmond Hite run for no gain to the FrsSt 47

3rd & 14Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.15

Taylor Laird sacked by Emeka Ndoh for a loss of 10 yards to the InWrd 43 Taylor Laird fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Emeka Ndoh , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 45

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the InWrd 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.80

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 29 yds to the InWrd 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the InWrd 10

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.63

Ronnie Rivers run for 9 yds to the InWrd 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

INCARNATEW Penalty, ( Yards) to the InWrd 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Hokit run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Taylor Laird pass complete to Cam Johnson for 2 yds to the InWrd 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Cam Johnson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Taylor Laird pass complete to Desmond Hite for 6 yds to the InWrd 16

4th & 2Punt+44 yds

Joe Zema punt for 45 yds , Dejonte O'Neal returns for 44 yds to the InWrd 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the InWrd 14

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the InWrd 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.60

Jimmy Camacho 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sean Brophy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Desmond Hite run for 8 yds to the InWrd 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Desmond Hite run for 1 yd to the InWrd 34 INCARNATEW Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declined

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

INCARNATEW Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joe Zema punt for 55 yds , Dejonte O'Neal returns for no gain to the FrsSt 16 Dejonte O'Neal fumbled,

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.49

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 24 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 35

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.94

Josh Hokit pass complete to Jared Rice for 65 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taylor Laird pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Desmond Hite run for 3 yds to the InWrd 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Daryl Brooks

4th & 7Punt-4 yds

Joe Zema punt for 43 yds , Dejonte O'Neal returns for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 25 Dejonte O'Neal fumbled, recovered by FrsSt Jaron Bryant

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Ronnie Rivers run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jared Rice

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+34 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Zaire Andre at the FRESNOST 21 FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Desmond Hite

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Desmond Hite run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 23

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Taylor Laird pass complete to Desmond Hite for 5 yds to the InWrd 28

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Joe Zema punt for 49 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 6 yds to the FrsSt 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.70

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jordan Mims for 21 yds to the InWrd 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Dejonte O'Neal run for 16 yds to the InWrd 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 4 yds to the InWrd 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Ronnie Rivers

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.55

Jimmy Camacho 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Zaire Andre

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Taylor Laird pass complete to Desmond Hite for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 24

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Taylor Laird pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Joe Zema punt for 75 yds, downed at the FrsSt 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+11 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 66 yds , Zaire Andre returns for 11 yds to the InWrd 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Taylor Laird pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 9 yds to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.34

Desmond Hite run for no gain to the FrsSt 48

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Desmond Hite run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joe Zema punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Chason Virgil pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 3 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.92

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 20 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Dejonte O'Neal run for 17 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.72

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 40 yds to the InWrd 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Josh Hokit run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Desmond Hite run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Cam Johnson

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Taylor Laird pass complete to Desmond Hite for 11 yds to the InWrd 34

4th & 1Punt+13 yds

Joe Zema punt for 53 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 13 yds to the FrsSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Chason Virgil pass complete to Derrion Grim for 8 yds to the FrsSt 34

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Dejonte O'Neal run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Dejonte O'Neal run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.49

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 34 yds to the InWrd 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Josh Hokit run for 7 yds to the InWrd 21

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Da'Mari Scott

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.55

Chason Virgil pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 12 yds to the InWrd 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 7 yds to the InWrd 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Chason Virgil pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 2 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Taylor Laird pass complete to Jezel Parra for 13 yds to the InWrd 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Desmond Hite run for 2 yds to the InWrd 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Taylor Laird pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Taylor Laird pass incomplete

1st & 80Penalty-5 yds

INCARNATEW Penalty, offside defense (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chason Virgil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Chason Virgil pass complete to Justin Allen for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.87

Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 25 yds to the InWrd 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Ronnie Rivers run for 30 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Desmond Hite run for 1 yd to the InWrd 20

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Taylor Laird run for 4 yds to the InWrd 24

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

INCARNATEW Penalty, false start (Jeremy Jones) to the InWrd 19

3rd & 10Penalty-9 yds

Laird, Taylor pass complete to McCollum, B. for 10 yards to the UIW29, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UIW pass interference (McCollum, B.) 9 yards to the UIW10, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Safety-10 ydsPPA -1.63

Emeka Ndoh Safety

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.77

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 5 yds to the InWrd 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for 6 yds to the InWrd 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the InWrd 39

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

McMARYION sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UIW46 (McCoy, Tim;Montgomery, D.), PENALTY UIW face mask (McCoy, Tim) 15 yards to the UIW24, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 24 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.61

Taylor Laird pass intercepted Chris Coleman return for no gain to the InWrd 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the InWrd 21

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan Mims run for 6 yds to the InWrd 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the InWrd 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jordan Mims run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Desmond Hite run for no gain to the InWrd 13

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Desmond Hite run for 2 yds to the InWrd 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Desmond Hite

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joe Zema punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Saevion Johnson run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 42

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.01

Marcus McMaryion run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Saevion Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Saevion Johnson for 8 yds to the InWrd 45

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.73

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Justin Allen for 45 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

K Philio run for 11 yds to the InWrd 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Sean Brophy pass complete to Breylann McCollum for 9 yds to the InWrd 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Sean Brophy pass complete to Daryl Brooks for 11 yds to the FrsSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Malik Harris, broken up by Tainoa Foster

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.48

K Philio run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 46

3rd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.04

Sean Brophy pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 16 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

K Philio run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Sean Brophy pass complete to Phillip Higgins for 1 yd to the FrsSt 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Sean Brophy pass complete to Breylann McCollum for 12 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Sean Brophy pass complete to Jezel Parra for 16 yds to the FrsSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

K Philio run for no gain to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Daryl Brooks

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sean Brophy pass incomplete to Jamari Gilbert

4th & 3Blocked Field Goal+30 yds

Jose Perez 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Chris Coleman N/A return for 20 yds to the FrsSt 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Deonte Perry run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Deonte Perry run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Deonte Perry run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Derrion Grim

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Saevion Johnson for 15 yds to the InWrd 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Saevion Johnson run for 11 yds to the InWrd 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Deonte Perry run for 6 yds to the InWrd 21

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Deonte Perry run for 3 yds to the InWrd 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.14

Deonte Perry run for 2 yds to the InWrd 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Saevion Johnson run for no gain to the InWrd 16

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Saevion Johnson run for 3 yds to the InWrd 13

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Deonte Perry run for 6 yds to the InWrd 7

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.10

Deonte Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 8

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.45

K Philio run for a loss of 4 yards to the InWrd 4

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

K Philio run for 4 yds to the InWrd 8

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

K Philio run for 4 yds to the InWrd 12

Situational Analysis

Incarnate Word

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
23%
22 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
10%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
4th

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
47%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays