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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2017Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 6.1

Home Win Probability

Toledo 68%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 24, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
037010
ToledoToledo
31414637

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-324-1034-1037-10
ToledoWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLWMTOLPUNT825ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT38ydFG956ydPUNT414ydTD591ydPUNT3-5ydTO3-5ydFG632ydTD961ydPUNT537ydEND426ydPUNT1220ydTD463ydTD1174ydTD774ydTO20ydFG62ydPUNT317ydFG1046ydTO958ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Toledo
StatisticWestern MichiganToledo
Passing13-2919-29
Pass Yards180300
Rush Yards95155
Total Yards275455
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-147-14
Penalties4-536-50
Possession25:5234:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Reece Goddard
13/29, 180 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jarvion Franklin
15 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Tyron Arnett
6 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
19/29, 300 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Terry Swanson
21 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jon'Vea Johnson
4 REC, 96 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Toled 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the Toled 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.89

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 14 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.62

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 10 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 4

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Caleb Bailey, broken up by Trevon Mathis

4th & 6Punt+5 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 54 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 5 yds to the Toled 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 3 yds to the Toled 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bailey Flint punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 32

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 32

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 32

4th & 2Punt+8 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 48 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 8 yds to the Toled 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the WMich 48

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.54

Shakif Seymour run for 14 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 9 yds to the WMich 25

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 8 yds to the WMich 14

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.69

Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 16

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.60

Jameson Vest 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 13 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Ra'Sean Davie run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 29

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ra'Sean Davie run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 27

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Reece Goddard run for 4 yds to the WMich 31

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 64 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 4 yds to the Toled 9

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 64 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 4 yds to the Toled 9

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.67

Terry Swanson run for 27 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

SWANSON, Terry rush for 4 yards to the TOLEDO40 (FAYAD, Ali), PENALTY TOLEDO holding (WEISS, Brant) 10 yards to the TOLEDO26, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 12 yds to the Toled 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.06

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 49 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Terry Swanson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Reece Goddard sacked by Richard Olekanma for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 19

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Reece Goddard run for 1 yd to the WMich 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Reece Goddard pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt-6 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 44 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 30 Danzel McKinley-Lewis fumbled, recovered by Toled Danzel McKinley-Lewis

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.45

Logan Woodside sacked by Antonio Balabani for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 23

2nd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 2 yds to the Toled 25

3rd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.24

Logan Woodside pass intercepted Obbie Jackson return for no gain to the Toled 39

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Leo Ekwoge run for 8 yds to the Toled 31

2nd & 2Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.30

Reece Goddard run for 26 yds to the Toled 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Leo Ekwoge run for 3 yds to the Toled 10

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Leo Ekwoge run for no gain to the Toled 10

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Reece Goddard run for 3 yds to the Toled 7

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.94

Josh Grant 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the Toled 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.01

Logan Woodside pass complete to Drew Rosi for 15 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the WMich 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 11 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson, broken up by Asantay Brown

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Shakif Seymour run for 8 yds to the WMich 19

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Shakif Seymour run for 8 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Shakif Seymour run for 10 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.90

Reece Goddard pass complete to Anton Curtis for 27 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Reece Goddard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Reece Goddard pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 7 yds to the Toled 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Anton Curtis

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Terry Swanson run for 18 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 41

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the Toled 46

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Reece Goddard pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 9 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-16 ydsPPA -1.83

D'Wayne Eskridge run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 29 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block (-13 Yards) to the WMich 16

1st & 26Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.16

Reece Goddard pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 18 yds to the WMich 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Donnie Ernsberger

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

GODDARD, Reece sacked for loss of 4 yards to the WMU30 (WOODLEY,Ja'Wuan), fumble by GODDARD, Reece recovered by WMU GODDARD, Reece at WMU30, PENALTY TOLEDO offside 5 yards to the WMU39, NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the Toled 49

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.64

Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Donnie Ernsberger, broken up by Trevon Mathis

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

GODDARD, Reece pass complete to SANDERS, Luke for 4 yards to the TOLEDO43 (HOLLMAN, Kadar), PENALTY WMU pass interference (ERNSBERGER, Don) 15 yards to the WMU38, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Donnie Ernsberger

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 yds

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Leo Ekwoge TOLEDO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the WMich 38

4th & 25Punt+19 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 44 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 19 yds to the Toled 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.95

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 27 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Andre Turner) to the WMich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 20 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Reece Goddard pass complete to Anton Curtis for 7 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 35

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.89

Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Reece Goddard pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 12 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Reece Goddard pass complete to Anton Curtis for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.46

Reece Goddard pass complete to Anton Curtis for 15 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Donnie Ernsberger

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Anton Curtis

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Tyron Arnett, broken up by Ka'dar Hollman

4th & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.23

Reece Goddard pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 13 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Reece Goddard pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 26 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Toled 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Logan Woodside pass complete to Darryl Richards for 6 yds to the Toled 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.80

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 40 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the WMich 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the WMich 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 9 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 13 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Tyron Arnett

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -0.74

Reece Goddard pass intercepted Kahlil Robinson return for 20 yds to the WMich 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Reggie Gilliam

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Logan Woodside run for 10 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the WMich 13

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

THOMPKINS, Art rush for 2 yards to the WMU11 (SPILLANE, Rob;MATICH, Nick), PENALTY TOLEDO holding (JEPPESEN, Nate) 10 yards to the WMU23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, delay of game (Logan Woodside) to the WMich 28

2nd & 23Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the WMich 23

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

4th & 18Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +1.36

Jameson Vest 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GODDARD, Reece pass incomplete to ARNETT, Tyron, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (TEACHEY, Josh) 15 yards to the WMU27, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Tyron Arnett

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Reece Goddard run for 2 yds to the WMich 29

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Reece Goddard run for no gain to the WMich 29

4th & 8Punt+35 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Danzel McKinley-Lewis at the Toled 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 39

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the Toled 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.37

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 26 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the WMich 29

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the WMich 27

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Terry Swanson run for 6 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Terry Swanson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 23

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the WMich 22

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 4 yds to the WMich 18

4th & 7Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.24

Jameson Vest 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Reece Goddard run for 8 yds to the WMich 35

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 36

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.12

Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Reece Goddard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Reece Goddard pass complete to Anton Curtis for 15 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Reece Goddard pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 20 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Reece Goddard pass incomplete to Tyron Arnett, broken up by Justin Clark

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Reece Goddard run for 1 yd to the Toled 15

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.82

Reece Goddard pass intercepted, touchback. Ka'dar Hollman return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the Toled 21

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.44

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 17

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
22%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
54%
13 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play