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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2017Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 4

Home Win Probability

Ball State 38%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 17, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
101314340
Ball StateBall State
0107724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-103-1610-2317-3024-3724-40
Ball StateBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFBSBUFFG1358ydPUNT511ydTD674ydTO312ydPUNT719ydPUNT31ydTD661ydFG1471ydTD460ydPUNT36ydTO10ydTD529ydEND1-2ydPUNT610ydTD470ydTD575ydMISS658ydPUNT624ydTD475ydTD675ydPUNT31ydDOWNS735ydFG1164ydDOWNS4-5ydEND47yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Ball State
StatisticBuffaloBall State
Passing16-2815-29
Pass Yards350143
Rush Yards215194
Total Yards565337
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-126-14
Penalties5-472-10
Possession30:3729:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
16/28, 350 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Emmanuel Reed
18 CAR, 123 YDS
receiving
Anthony Johnson
7 REC, 153 YDS, 4 TD
defense
Ball State
passing
Jack Milas
13/26, 127 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Caleb Huntley
26 CAR, 141 YDS
receiving
Justin Hall
8 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 17 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Emmanuel Reed run for 15 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 6 yds to the BalSt 35

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the BalSt 32

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (Emmanuel Reed) to the BalSt 37

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyree Jackson run for 5 yds to the BalSt 32

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.48

Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, offside defense (James Jennette III) to the BalSt 21

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the BalSt 17

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.11

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the BalSt 15

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

4th & 9Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.27

Adam Mitcheson 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Drew Plitt pass complete to Khalil Newton for 7 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 39

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.70

Drew Plitt sacked by Khalil Hodge for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 26 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by BalSt Curtis Blackwell , return for 0 yards

3rd & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Caleb Huntley run for 10 yds to the BalSt 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds, downed at the Buff 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.15

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 16 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Emmanuel Reed

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.21

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 13 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 23 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 21 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the BalSt 40

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Markice Hurt run for 3 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-28 ydsPPA -2.53

Drew Plitt pass intercepted Ryan Williamson return for 18 yds to the BALLST 39 BUFFALO Penalty, illegal block (Charles Harris) to the Buff 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 15 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn, broken up by David Rueth

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.10

Emmanuel Reed run for 15 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Ishmael Hargrove) to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for 12 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.56

Tyree Jackson sacked by Jacob White for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 48

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the BalSt 43

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Jamarl Eiland

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 48

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 19

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Jack Milas run for 2 yds to the BalSt 21

4th & 9Punt+3 yds

Morgan Hagee punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 39 , K.J. Osborn returns for 3 yds to the Buff 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson, broken up by Josh Miller

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 4 yds to the Buff 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.41

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 33 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Theo Anderson run for 13 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Theo Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 14

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Caleb Huntley run for 8 yds to the BalSt 34

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jack Milas run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the Buff 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.07

Caleb Huntley run for 12 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the Buff 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Brandon Williams

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Caleb Huntley run for 12 yds to the Buff 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the Buff 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the Buff 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Milas pass incomplete to David Moore, broken up by Tatum Slack

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Morgan Hagee 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Theo Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 36

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Theo Anderson run for 8 yds to the Buff 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.50

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 45 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Anthony Johnson 11 Yd pass from Tyree Jackson (Adam Mitcheson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Markice Hurt

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Khalil Newton

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 37 yds , Jamarl Eiland returns for 1 yd to the Buff 33

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Tyree Jackson pass intercepted Christian Albright return for 3 yds to the Buff 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Hall run for 2 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jack Milas pass complete to Khalil Newton for 4 yds to the Buff 23

3rd & 4Penalty+12 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the Buff 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Khalil Newton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Riley Miller

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.11

Nolan Givan 11 Yd pass from Jack Milas (Morgan Hagee Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, false start (Kyle Schrank) to the BalSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.88

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BalSt Jack Milas

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Morgan Hagee punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Theo Anderson run for 6 yds to the Buff 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Theo Anderson run for 3 yds to the Buff 39

3rd & 1Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.16

Theo Anderson run for 45 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

K.J. Osborn 16 Yd Run (Adam Mitcheson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +4.72

Malik Dunner 50 Yd Run (Morgan Hagee Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.88

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 57 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Emmanuel Reed

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Adam Mitcheson 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Jack Milas pass complete to Caleb Huntley for 10 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Malik Dunner

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the BalSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for 4 yds to the BalSt 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Morgan Hagee punt for 31 yds, downed at the Buff 25

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Emmanuel Reed run for 13 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the Buff 44

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.77

Anthony Johnson 56 Yd pass from Tyree Jackson (Adam Mitcheson Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the BalSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 7 yds to the BalSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Justin Hall 47 Yd pass from Jack Milas (Morgan Hagee Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 18

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the Buff 24

3rd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyree Jackson sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 18

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 49 yds, downed at the BalSt 33

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Caleb Huntley run for 13 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the Buff 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the Buff 32

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.80

Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the Buff 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Theo Anderson run for 3 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Theo Anderson run for 1 yd to the Buff 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 7 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Theo Anderson run for 5 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 5Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.76

Emmanuel Reed run for 34 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the BalSt 17

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Emmanuel Reed run for 11 yds to the BalSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Emmanuel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Theo Anderson run for 4 yds to the BalSt 3

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Theo Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Adam Mitcheson 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Nolan Givan, broken up by Devon Russell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Riley Miller

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Jack Milas pass incomplete to Malik Dunner

4th & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Milas sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 14

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Theo Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 15

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.46

Theo Anderson run for 12 yds to the BalSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 7

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
43%
30 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
58%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play