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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2017Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 10.8

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 20%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 16, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
1410281466
Bowling GreenBowling Green
7147937

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-77-1414-2121-2421-3128-4531-5231-66
Bowling GreenToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTOLBGTD774ydTD775ydPUNT32ydTD1295ydDOWNS826ydDOWNS4-10ydTD124ydTD467ydPUNT616ydDOWNS620ydTD335ydFG1067ydEND1-2ydTD455ydPUNT3-1ydTD145ydTD578ydTD1472ydPUNT3-6ydTD141ydFG960ydTD288ydDOWNS47ydMISS44ydTO10ydTD638ydTD1072yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Bowling Green
StatisticToledoBowling Green
Passing14-2018-31
Pass Yards248309
Rush Yards38982
Total Yards637391
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-95-12
Penalties8-749-102
Possession34:0325:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Logan Woodside
13/18, 232 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Terry Swanson
23 CAR, 192 YDS
receiving
Diontae Johnson
3 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Bowling Green
passing
Jarret Doege
17/30, 270 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Josh Cleveland
12 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Teo Redding
3 REC, 78 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.56

Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 40

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 39

3rd & 13Penalty+9 yds

DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete to MILLER, Scott, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference 9 yards to the BGSU48, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BOWLGREEN 47 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 43

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 15Penalty+15 yds

DOEGE, Jarret pass incomplete to PHOUTHAVONG, D., PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference 15 yards to the TOLEDO42, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the BwGrn 43

1st & 25Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +6.30

Jarret Doege pass complete to Teo Redding for 57 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Terry Swanson run for 18 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Terry Swanson run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.85

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Terry Swanson run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Terry Swanson run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 8

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Diontae Johnson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Shakif Seymour 3 Yd Run (Jameson Vest Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

CLAIR, Andrew rush for no gain to the BGSU35 (WOODLEY,Ja'Wuan), PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the BGSU25, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 23

3rd & 22Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Andrew Clair run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the Toled 9

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Terry Swanson run for 8 yds to the Toled 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Logan Woodside pass complete to Drew Rosi for 15 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 11 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Terry Swanson run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.03

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 24 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Desmond Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 16

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Logan Woodside pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 11 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 14 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the Toled 41

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Jarret Doege run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.89

Jarret Doege pass complete to Leonard Skattebo for 11 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jarret Doege pass complete to Teo Redding for 4 yds to the Toled 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Teo Redding

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.31

Jarret Doege sacked by Marquise Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 34

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Toled 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Logan Woodside pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Woodside pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus Milton

4th & 7Rush-13 ydsPPA +0.02

Michael Julian run for a loss of 13 yards to the Toled 24

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 24 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WOODSIDE, Logan pass intercepted by JEFFERIES, Cam at the TOLEDO22, JEFFERIES, Cam return to the BGSU32 (KASSEM, Sami), PENALTY BGSU pass interference 15 yards to the TOLEDO48, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.04

Terry Swanson run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Terry Swanson run for 19 yds to the BwGrn 22 Terry Swanson fumbled, forced by Brandon Harris, for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 15

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BwGrn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Shakif Seymour run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 5 yds to the BwGrn 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 8 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Toled 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the Toled 20

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Terry Swanson run for 6 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the Toled 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the Toled 35

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

SWANSON, Terry rush for no gain to the TOLEDO35 (BANKS, Aaron;HARRIS, Brandon), PENALTY TOLEDO holding 10 yards to the TOLEDO25, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 10 yds to the Toled 35

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Toled 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Jarret Doege pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 12 yds to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Andrew Clair run for 6 yds to the Toled 17

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Jarret Doege pass complete to Teo Redding for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Terry Swanson run for 25 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.06

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 14 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the BwGrn 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.51

Logan Woodside pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 19 yds to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 8

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 1 yd to the BwGrn 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.84

Jameson Vest 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Terry Swanson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Terry Swanson run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 23

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.69

Shakif Seymour run for 23 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Teo Redding, broken up by Trevon Mathis

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Jarret Doege sacked by Willie Ross Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 24

4th & 11Punt+16 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 37 yds , Liam Allen returns for 16 yds to the BwGrn 45

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 45 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.51

Jarret Doege pass complete to Andrew Clair for 29 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Teo Redding

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Toled 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 20 yds to the Toled 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 27 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the Toled 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.75

Logan Woodside pass complete to Darryl Richards for 23 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Art Thompkins run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.75

Logan Woodside pass complete to Art Thompkins for 5 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae Johnson

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 25

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.32

Logan Woodside pass complete to Jordan Fisher for 13 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 8

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Woodside run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 5

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.43

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 7

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Teo Redding

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarret Doege sacked by Olasunkanmi Adeniyi for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 19

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 41

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.79

Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 41 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 7 yds to the BwGrn 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the Toled 45

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Josh Cleveland run for 21 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.99

Jarret Doege pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 20 yds to the Toled 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the Toled 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Teo Redding

3rd & 2Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.73

Jarret Doege sacked by Willie Ross Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the Toled 15

4th & 15Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA +0.28

Jake Suder 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY BGSU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY TOLEDO unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+88 ydsPPA +7.11

Art Thompkins run for 88 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jarret Doege pass complete to Donovan Wilson for 5 yds to the BwGrn 27

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.09

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller, broken up by Justin Clark

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Art Thompkins run for no gain to the BwGrn 27

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Michael Julian pass incomplete to Darryl Richards

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Jameson Vest 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jarret Doege pass intercepted Sam Womack return for no gain to the BwGrn 38

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Mitchell Guadagni run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brad Smith run for no gain to the BwGrn 27

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Brad Smith run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Mitchell Guadagni pass complete to Liam Allen for 16 yds to the BwGrn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brad Smith run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Brad Smith run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Donovan Wilson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.17

Grant Loy pass complete to Deric Phouthavong for 39 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Grant Loy run for 5 yds to the Toled 32

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the Toled 28

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.30

Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the Toled 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Terence Stephens Jr. run for 11 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Terence Stephens Jr. run for 6 yds to the Toled 10

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Terence Stephens Jr. run for 5 yds to the Toled 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the Toled 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Grant Loy run for 2 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
62%
37 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
48%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays