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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2017Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 1.3

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 54%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 21, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
070714
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
10014024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-010-717-724-724-14
Miami (OH)Buffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFBUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(BUFBUFM(FG560ydPUNT3-5ydTD561ydPUNT522ydMISS1656ydPUNT628ydPUNT31ydTD649ydPUNT39ydPUNT317ydPUNT34ydEND29ydTO210ydTD135ydPUNT32ydPUNT67ydPUNT57ydTD866ydTO537ydPUNT931ydDOWNS1458ydPUNT38ydTD853ydDOWNS4-11ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Miami (OH)
StatisticBuffaloMiami (OH)
Passing17-4113-20
Pass Yards202177
Rush Yards69172
Total Yards271349
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-177-17
Penalties5-509-102
Possession26:3933:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Kyle Vantrease
17/41, 202 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Emmanuel Reed
13 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Kamathi Holsey
3 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Billy Bahl
13/20, 177 YDS
rushing
Kenny Young
18 CAR, 125 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
James Gardner
3 REC, 79 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.68

Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 57 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the Buff 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Billy Bahl pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+37 ydsPPA -0.17

Samuel Sloman 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 4Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.75

Kyle Vantrease sacked by Brad Koenig for a loss of 11 yards to the Buff 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 7 yds to the MiaOh 46

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.10

Kenny Young run for 17 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.63

Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 28 yds to the Buff 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the Buff 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Kenny Young run for 7 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 13 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey, broken up by Tony Reid

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Emmanuel Reed run for 8 yds to the Buff 45

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the Buff 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 51 yds, downed at the MiaOh 4

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 10

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

KRAMER, Kyle punt 40 yards to the UB48, fair catch by OSBORN, KJ, PENALTY UB RU 5 yards to the MIAMI17, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

BAHL, Billy pass complete to GARDNER, James for 28 yards to the MIAMI45 (WILLIAMS, Brand), PENALTY MIAMI illegal touching (GARDNER, James) 0 yards to the MIAMI17, NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.20

Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 7 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 9 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the Buff 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the Buff 37

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.56

Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Billy Bahl pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 3 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 6 yds to the Buff 27

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Billy Bahl pass incomplete

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Samuel Sloman 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Ishmael Hargrove, broken up by Cedric Asseh

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

REED, Emmanuel rush over left end for 4 yards to the UB31 (MCMULLEN, J.;ALLEN, Josh), PENALTY UB illegal procedure 5 yards to the UB22, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.93

Emmanuel Reed run for 13 yds to the Buff 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.56

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 18 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson, broken up by Tony Reid

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

BAHL, Billy pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMI holding (RIGG, Jordan) 7 yards to the MIAMI8, NO PLAY.

1st & 17Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 6

2nd & 19Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 10 yds to the MiaOh 16

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared Murphy, broken up by Kobe Green

4th & 9Punt+10 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 58 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for 10 yds to the MiaOh 26 MIAMI OH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Theo Anderson run for no gain to the MiaOh 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey, broken up by Deondre Daniels

3rd & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.37

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 37 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Theo Anderson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 8

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Theo Anderson run for no gain to the MiaOh 8

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.86

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 18

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

VANTREASE, Kyle pass incomplete to HARGROVE, Ishma, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (DANIELS, D.) 15 yards to the UB33, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson, broken up by Cedric Asseh

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 43 yds, downed at the MiaOh 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Jarrett Franklin

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the Buff 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Buff 36

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Emmanuel Reed run for 7 yds to the Buff 43

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the Buff 25

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.22

Kyle Vantrease run for 8 yds to the Buff 35 Kyle Vantrease fumbled, forced by Ikeem Allen, recovered by MiaOh Joshua Allen

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Kenny Young run for 35 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 5 yds Anthony Johnson fumbled, recovered by Buff Tyler Mabry

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Theo Anderson run for 1 yd to the Buff 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson, broken up by Cedric Asseh

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the Buff 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 10 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 41

2nd & 13Penalty-15 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Alonzo Smith) to the MiaOh 44

2nd & 28Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 22Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Kenny Young run for 7 yds to the Buff 43

4th & 15Punt+18 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 33 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the Buff 10 MIAMI OH Penalty, kick catching interference (Sam Martin) to the Buff 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Theo Anderson run for 5 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Theo Anderson run for 1 yd to the Buff 31

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

VANTREASE, Kyle pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Anthon, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (ALLEN, Josh) 15 yards to the UB46, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 2 yds to the Buff 48

3rd & 8Penalty-15 yds

ANDERSON, Theo rush up middle for 16 yards to the MIAMI36 (ALLEN, Josh), PENALTY UB personal foul (JACK-KURDYLA, T) 15 yards to the UB33, NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

Theo Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 32

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 34

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Kenny Young run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Collier) to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 15 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the Buff 21

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the Buff 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 11 yds to the Buff 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the Buff 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 8 yds to the Buff 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.46

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 15 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 15 yds Kamathi Holsey fumbled, forced by De'Andre Montgomery, recovered by Buff K.J. Osborn for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.91

Kyle Vantrease pass intercepted Tony Reid return for no gain to the MiaOh 6

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 11

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 15

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.38

Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 23

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.07

Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 32

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 32

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 37 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 43 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for no gain to the Buff 37 MIAMI OH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Buff 35

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Kyle Vantrease sacked by Joshua Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

3rd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.39

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 20 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 6 yds to the MiaOh 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.66

Theo Anderson run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 4 yds to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.00

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 18 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson, broken up by Cedric Asseh

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by Cedric Asseh

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 10

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 13

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 15

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds, downed at the Buff 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 7 yds to the MiaOh 46

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.21

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Emmanuel Reed run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson, broken up by Kyle Row

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 8 yds to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Zac Lefebvre, broken up by Deondre Daniels

4th & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 14 yds to the MiaOh 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 11 yds for a TD MIAMI OH Penalty, ( Yards) declined, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

VANTREASE, Kyle pass complete to MARTINEZ, Jacob for 4 yards to the MIAMI42, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UB holding (KSIEZARCYK, Evi) 10 yards to the UB44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete, broken up by Doug Costin

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

3rd & 20Penalty+5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Buff 49

3rd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.75

Kyle Vantrease sacked by Doug Costin for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 43

4th & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.25

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 44

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 46

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 47

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
29%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
30%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play