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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2017Week 3
Colgate
10
-Final
33
BuffaloBuffalo

House Prediction

Model Margin

Colgate by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 30%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 16, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colgate
307010
BuffaloBuffalo
20100333

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-320-327-330-330-1033-10
BuffaloColgate

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFCOLBUFCOLBUFCOLBUFCOLBUFCOLBUFCOLBUFCOLBUFCOLTD1175ydPUNT30ydTD475ydFG1369ydTD969ydPUNT513ydTD1184ydMISS1468ydFG1471ydPUNT730ydPUNT739ydTD1276ydPUNT524ydPUNT3-3ydFG1554ydEND65yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colgate and Buffalo
StatisticColgateBuffalo
Passing6-239-16
Pass Yards56184
Rush Yards167302
Total Yards223486
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-159-14
Penalties3-257-70
Possession26:4133:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colgate
passing
Grant Breneman
6/23, 56 YDS
rushing
Grant Breneman
14 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Nick Martinsen
2 REC, 30 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
9/16, 184 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Emmanuel Reed
22 CAR, 120 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Johnson
2 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Johnathan Hawkins run for no gain to the Buff 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Johnathan Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Buff 30

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Johnathan Hawkins run for 12 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Emmanuel Reed run for 9 yds to the Colg 49

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.15

Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the Colg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 7 yds to the Colg 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kamathi Holsey for 7 yds to the Colg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Colg 28

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

[SGUN], JACKSON, Tyree pass incomplete to OSBORN, KJ (Mimms,Cortney), PENALTY COLGATE pass interference (Mimms,Cortney) 15 yards to the COLGATE13, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 19Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Tyree Jackson run for 8 yds to the Colg 14

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.08

Johnathan Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Colg 7 BUFFALO Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Colg 22

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.91

Tyree Jackson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Adam Mitcheson kickoff for 65 yds , Abu Daramy-Swaray return for 21 yds to the Colg 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+54 yds

Josh Cerra punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BUFFALO 35 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Buff 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +4.38

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 58 yds to the Colg 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Anthony Johnson 14 Yd pass from Tyree Jackson (Adam Mitcheson Kick)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Adam Mitcheson kickoff for 58 yds , Abu Daramy-Swaray return for 19 yds to the Colg 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Grant Breneman run for 4 yds to the Colg 30

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.08

Carmine Scarfone run for 7 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.81

Grant Breneman run for 22 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Grant Breneman run for 8 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.68

Malik Twyman run for 5 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

James Holland Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 26

3rd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.18

Grant Breneman run for 23 yds to the Buff 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Grant Breneman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -0.95

Chris Puzzi 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Chris Puzzi kickoff for 61 yds , Devon Russell return for 27 yds to the Buff 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Emmanuel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 30

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Tyree Jackson run for 9 yds to the Buff 39

3rd & 2Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.88

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 25 yds to the Colg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Johnathan Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Colg 30

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Johnathan Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Colg 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 6 yds to the Colg 19

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Colg 16

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Johnathan Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Colg 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Emmanuel Reed run for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson PAT MISSED)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Adam Mitcheson kickoff for 53 yds , Abu Daramy-Swaray return for 17 yds to the Colg 29

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

James Holland Jr. run for 8 yds to the Colg 37

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Alex Mathews run for 4 yds to the Colg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Alex Mathews

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Malik Twyman run for 1 yd to the Colg 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Josh Cerra punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Emmanuel Reed run for 9 yds to the Buff 25

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.11

Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyree Jackson run for 3 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.10

Tyree Jackson run for 8 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.10

Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Colg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.68

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 46 yds to the Colg 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Johnathan Hawkins run for no gain to the Colg 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Johnathan Hawkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

James Holland Jr. run for 14 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Grant Breneman pass complete to Tre Caine for 8 yds to the Colg 47

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Grant Breneman run for 4 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Martinsen for 15 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

James Holland Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

James Holland Jr. run for 7 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Alex Mathews run for 5 yds to the Buff 18

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Alex Mathews run for 2 yds to the Buff 16

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

James Holland Jr. run for 6 yds to the Buff 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

James Holland Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Alex Mathews

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Grant Breneman pass incomplete

4th & 0Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Chris Puzzi 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the Buff 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Tyree Jackson run for 2 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Johnathan Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Johnathan Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Buff 35

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY COLGATE encroachment (Esarco,Jacob) 5 yards to the UB40, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Tyree Jackson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Johnathan Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Colg 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 6 yds to the Colg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson, broken up by Alec Wisniewski

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

3rd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.13

Tyree Jackson run for 22 yds to the Colg 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEAM pass incomplete, PENALTY COLGATE offside declined, PENALTY COLGATE substitution infraction 5 yards to the COLGATE9, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson, broken up by Abu Daramy-Swaray

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -1.18

Adam Mitcheson 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Adam Mitcheson kickoff for 63 yds , Abu Daramy-Swaray return for 27 yds to the Colg 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Martinsen for 15 yds to the Colg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Grant Breneman run for 2 yds to the Colg 46

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Alex Mathews run for no gain to the Colg 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Grant Breneman pass complete to Alex Greenawalt for 9 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Grant Breneman pass complete to Alex Mathews for 4 yds to the Buff 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Alex Greenawalt

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Martinsen

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Cerra punt for 31 yds , Jacob Martinez returns for no gain to the Buff 5 Jacob Martinez fumbled, recovered by Buff Jacob Martinez , return for no gain to the Buff 41 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Otwinowski) to the Buff 5

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.65

Emmanuel Reed run for 17 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey, broken up by Cortney Mimms

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyree Jackson run for 5 yds to the Buff 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Abu Daramy-Swaray at the Colg 24

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

[SGUN], Breneman,Grant pass incomplete to Rockett,Owen, PENALTY UB pass interference 15 yards to the COLGATE39, 1ST DOWN COLGATE, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Owen Rockett

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Alex Mathews run for 3 yds to the Colg 42

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.51

Grant Breneman run for 9 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Grant Breneman run for 12 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Grant Breneman run for no gain to the Buff 37

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Malik Twyman run for 6 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Tre Caine

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

[SGUN], Breneman,Grant pass incomplete to Caine,Tre, PENALTY UB pass interference (ROBERTS, Tim) 15 yards to the UB16, 1ST DOWN COLGATE, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Grant Breneman run for 7 yds to the Buff 9

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Malik Twyman run for no gain to the Buff 9

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Alex Mathews run for 2 yds to the Buff 7

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Alex Mathews run for 2 yds to the Buff 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Malik Twyman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Chris Puzzi KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Chris Puzzi kickoff for 53 yds , Devon Russell return for 10 yds to the Buff 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 26

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Emmanuel Reed run for 11 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 46

4th & 1Punt+17 yds

Kyle DeWeen punt for 50 yds , Abu Daramy-Swaray returns for 17 yds to the Colg 21

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Alex Mathews run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 19

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Alex Mathews run for 3 yds to the Colg 22

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY UB offside (ONWUKA, Chibuez) 5 yards to the COLGATE27, NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.58

Grant Breneman sacked by Chibueze Onwuka for a loss of 9 yards to the Colg 18

4th & 13Punt+5 yds

Josh Cerra punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 42 , Jacob Martinez returns for 5 yds to the Buff 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jacob Martinez for 15 yds to the Colg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Emmanuel Reed run for 7 yds to the Colg 36

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyree Jackson run for 6 yds to the Colg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Colg 29

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyree Jackson run for 1 yd to the Colg 28

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Theo Anderson run for 6 yds to the Colg 22

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.96

Theo Anderson run for 3 yds to the Colg 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Theo Anderson run for 2 yds to the Colg 17

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (WEBB, Jacquis) 5 yards to the COLGATE22, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Theo Anderson run for 3 yds to the Colg 19

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Tyree Jackson run for 9 yds to the Colg 10

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.92

Theo Anderson run for 4 yds to the Colg 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Theo Anderson run for 1 yd to the Colg 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Theo Anderson run for no gain to the Colg 5

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Theo Anderson run for 1 yd to the Colg 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Adam Mitcheson 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Adam Mitcheson kickoff for 61 yds , Abu Daramy-Swaray return for 19 yds to the Colg 23

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Grant Breneman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colg 20

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Alex Mathews run for 8 yds to the Colg 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Grant Breneman pass complete to Brett Gasiorowski for 5 yds to the Colg 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Alex Mathews run for 4 yds to the Colg 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Brett Gasiorowski

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.83

Grant Breneman sacked by Kennedy Emesibe for a loss of 9 yards to the Colg 28

Situational Analysis

Colgate

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
43%
23 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
52%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
30%
10 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play