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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2017Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 1.4

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 55%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 18, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
700310
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
735101365

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-714-728-742-752-758-765-10
North CarolinaWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCWCWCNCWCNCWCNCNCWCNCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCWCNCPUNT728ydPUNT725ydTD761ydTD961ydPUNT734ydTD888ydPUNT34ydTD472ydTD23ydPUNT37ydTD756ydPUNT3-4ydTD773ydPUNT530ydEND25ydPUNT34ydPUNT834ydPUNT730ydFG45ydPUNT36ydTD642ydPUNT526ydTD561ydPUNT814ydTD159ydFG1064ydEND435yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and North Carolina
StatisticWestern CarolinaNorth Carolina
Passing16-3320-30
Pass Yards153298
Rush Yards151313
Total Yards304611
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-155-9
Penalties3-274-33
Possession31:5228:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Ray Smith
8/15, 84 YDS
rushing
Detrez Newsome
26 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Detrez Newsome
7 REC, 48 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Nathan Elliott
18/28, 240 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Michael Carter
16 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Ratliff-Williams
5 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 7 yds to the WCaro 26

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Tyrie Adams run for 4 yds to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Detrez Newsome run for no gain to the WCaro 30

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyrie Adams run for 11 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Owen Cosenke for 6 yds to the WCaro 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the NCaro 21

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Nathan Elliott run for 5 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 7 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.24

Nathan Elliott run for 3 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dazz Newsome run for 5 yds to the NCaro 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome, broken up by JerMichael White

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WCaro 39

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Tyrie Adams run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 47

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete, broken up by Myles Dorn

3rd & 13Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.78

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 29 yds to the NCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.99

Detrez Newsome run for 20 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyrie Adams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Connell Young for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Gibson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Jordan Cunningham for 12 yds to the WCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Nathan Elliott run for 1 yd to the WCaro 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.75

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 16 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordon Brown run for 9 yds to the WCaro 23

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the WCaro 15

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.81

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 15 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Steffon Hill for 6 yds to the WCaro 22

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Tyrie Adams run for 7 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 28

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Tyrie Adams run for 15 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 40

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen Dalton

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt+2 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 40 yds , M.J. Stewart returns for 2 yds to the NCaro 12

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Carter, M rush up middle for loss of 4 yards to the NC8 (Daniel Riddle), PENALTY WCU face mask (Daniel Riddle) 15 yards to the NC27, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 3 yds to the NCaro 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.42

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Austin Proehl for 14 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.25

Michael Carter run for 22 yds to the UNC 31 for a 1ST down WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Michael Carter run for 11 yds to the WCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Nathan Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Josh Cabrera for 5 yds to the WCaro 16

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.04

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Josh Cabrera for 16 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Terryon Robinson for 4 yds to the WCaro 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon Robinson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon Hill

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 44 yds , M.J. Stewart returns for 1 yd to the NCaro 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.95

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 39 yds to the WCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordon Brown run for 26 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Nathan Elliott run for 1 yd to the WCaro 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 6 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Detrez Newsome run for 6 yds to the WCaro 31

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+28 ydsPPA -1.26

Tyrie Adams run for a loss of 1 yard Tyrie Adams fumbled, forced by Malik Carney, recovered by NCaro Jonathan Smith , return for 28 yds, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Detrez Newsome run for 6 yds to the WCaro 15

2nd & 4Penalty-7 yds

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 6 yards to the WCU21, out-of-bounds (Smith, J), PENALTY WCU holding (Nathan Dalton) 7 yards to the WCU8, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 10

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyrie Adams pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 6 yds to the WCaro 16

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 44

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (R.J. Prince) to the NCaro 39

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.03

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Austin Proehl for 31 yds to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Austin Proehl for 7 yds to the WCaro 19

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the WCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Nathan Elliott run for 7 yds to the WCaro 8

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the WCaro 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordon Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon Hill

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 4 yards to the WCaro 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon Robinson, broken up by Myles Dorn

4th & 14Punt+52 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 44 yds NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jonathan Smith) to the NCaro 27

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Michael Carter run for 14 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the NCaro 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Michael Carter for 13 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Nathan Elliott run for 11 yds to the WCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Jordon Brown run for 15 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Josh Cabrera for 18 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Detrez Newsome run for 11 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Tyrie Adams run for 1 yd to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cayson Collins) to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the WCaro 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Steffon Hill

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tyrie Adams pass incomplete to Terryon Robinson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds, downed at the NCaro 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 9 yds to the NCaro 20

2nd & 1Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Nathan Elliott sacked by Tahjai Watt for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 16

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Brandon Fritts for 2 yds to the NCaro 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the NCaro 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 46 yds, downed at the WCaro 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Ray Smith pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 6 yds to the WCaro 18

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ray Smith pass incomplete to Jordan Mathis

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.87

Ray Smith pass complete to Jordan Mathis for 18 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ray Smith pass complete to Detrez Newsome for no gain to the WCaro 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Ray Smith pass complete to Steffon Hill for 11 yds to the WCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Ray Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ray Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Jalen Dalton

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Ray Smith pass incomplete to Jordan Mathis

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the NCaro 25

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Michael Carter run for 6 yds to the NCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Anthony Ratliff-Williams for 9 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nathan Elliott run for 4 yds to the NCaro 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Austin Proehl

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Lent punt for 39 yds , Terryon Robinson returns for no gain to the WCaro 14 Terryon Robinson fumbled, recovered by NCaro Tommy Bancroft

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Austin Proehl

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Michael Carter run for 5 yds to the WCaro 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete to Jordan Cunningham, broken up by Keion Crossen

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.83

Freeman Jones 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Detrez Newsome run for 7 yds to the WCaro 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ray Smith pass complete to Detrez Newsome for no gain to the WCaro 32

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Detrez Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 31

4th & 4Punt+41 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WCaro 42 , M.J. Stewart returns for 41 yds to the WCaro 42

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Josh Cabrera) to the WCaro 47

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the WCaro 45

2nd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.13

Nathan Elliott pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 18 yds to the WCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Nathan Elliott run for 15 yds to the WCaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the WCaro 4

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nathan Elliott pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Michael Carter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the WCaro 16

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.17

Detrez Newsome run for 14 yds to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Ray Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Detrez Newsome run for 6 yds to the WCaro 39

4th & 1Punt+19 yds

Ian Berryman punt for 41 yds , M.J. Stewart returns for 19 yds to the NCaro 39

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the NCaro 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.05

Chazz Surratt pass complete to Jake Bargas for 14 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.88

Jordon Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the WCaro 44

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.02

Chazz Surratt pass complete to Beau Corrales for 44 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Detrez Newsome run for 6 yds to the WCaro 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Ray Smith pass complete to Jordan Mathis for 5 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Detrez Newsome run for 3 yds to the WCaro 39

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Detrez Newsome run for 1 yd to the WCaro 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ray Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Tyrone Hopper

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.13

Ray Smith sacked by Jalen Dalton for a loss of 8 yards to the WCaro 39

4th & 17Punt+17 yds

Destry Barnwell punt for 37 yds , Austin Proehl returns for 17 yds to the NCaro 41

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

Chazz Surratt run for 59 yds for a TD, (Freeman Jones KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Detrez Newsome run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the WCaro 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.70

Ray Smith pass complete to Detrez Newsome for 19 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Detrez Newsome run for 9 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.28

Detrez Newsome run for 5 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.46

Ray Smith pass complete to Jordan Mathis for 25 yds to the NCaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Kaleb Spry) to the NCaro 15

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ray Smith run for 4 yds to the NCaro 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ray Smith pass incomplete to Connell Young

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ray Smith pass incomplete to Steffon Hill, broken up by K.J. Sails

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.36

Joshua Gibson 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Johnathon Sutton run for 17 yds to the WCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Johnathon Sutton run for 9 yds to the WCaro 38

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.27

Johnathon Sutton run for 6 yds to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Manny Miles run for 3 yds to the WCaro 29

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
57%
35 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
25%
8 plays
100%
3 plays
73%
11 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play