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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2017Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 6.5

Home Win Probability

Louisville 69%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 11, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VirginiaVirginia
770721
LouisvilleLouisville
71014738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-710-717-717-1424-1431-1438-1438-21
LouisvilleVirginia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRVIRLOUVIRLOUVIRLOUPUNT33ydTD754ydTD375ydPUNT34ydPUNT438ydPUNT3-2ydTO10ydTO414ydFG917ydPUNT624ydTD1191ydPUNT60ydPUNT3-6ydTD658ydEND547ydPUNT632ydTD1080ydPUNT32ydTD459ydPUNT34ydTO20ydTD740ydPUNT32ydMISS851ydTD1280ydEND311yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia and Louisville
StatisticVirginiaLouisville
Passing19-3615-26
Pass Yards214195
Rush Yards63298
Total Yards277493
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-154-11
Penalties8-736-65
Possession30:0129:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia
passing
Kurt Benkert
19/36, 214 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Ellis
13 CAR, 58 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Andre Levrone
6 REC, 92 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Lamar Jackson
15/26, 195 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Lamar Jackson
15 CAR, 147 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylen Smith
5 REC, 84 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete, broken up by Chris Peace

4th & 7Punt+28 yds

Mason King punt for 43 yds LOUISVILLE Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Virg 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jordan Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.48

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 17 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.86

Kurt Benkert sacked by James Hearns for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 48

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 10 yds to the Lvile 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.55

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 30 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Lvile 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Chris Sharp run for 7 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the Lvile 32

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.47

Lamar Jackson run for 68 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Olamide Zaccheaus run for 2 yds to the Virg 30

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kurt Benkert run for 1 yd to the Virg 31

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kurt Benkert run for 1 yd to the Virg 32

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 21

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Jackson, Lam. deep pass incomplete to Smith, Jay. (Blanding, Q), PENALTY VA pass interference (Blanding, Q) 15 yards to the LOU36, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Lamar Jackson run for 19 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 1 yd to the Virg 44

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Jackson, Lam. rush up middle for no gain to the VA44 (Brown, A), PENALTY VA offside defense (Brown, A) 5 yards to the VA39, NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.53

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 38 yds, downed at the Virg 3

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds to the Virg 10

2nd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.71

Kurt Benkert sacked by Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 9 yards to the Virg 1

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

4th & 12Punt+28 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 25 , Reggie Bonnafon returns for 28 yds to the Virg 25

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.30

Malik Williams run for no gain to the Virg 25 Malik Williams fumbled, recovered by Virg Micah Kiser

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 18 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for no gain to the Virg 47

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.31

Kurt Benkert sacked by James Hearns for a loss of 8 yards to the Virg 40 Kurt Benkert fumbled, recovered by Lvile Trevon Young , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 8 yds to the Virg 32

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Malik Williams run for no gain to the Virg 32

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith, broken up by Juan Thornhill

4th & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Lamar Jackson run for 13 yds to the Virg 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 24

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Reggie Bonnafon run for 2 yds to the Virg 22

2nd & 13Penalty+8 yds

Jackson, Lam. slant pass incomplete to Dawkins, Set. (Moore, C), PENALTY VA pass interference (Moore, C) 8 yards to the VA14, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Reggie Bonnafon run for 7 yds to the Virg 7

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Reggie Bonnafon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 8

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Jackson, Lam. slant pass complete to Dawkins, Set. for 8 yards to the VA0, clock 13:19, PENALTY LOU pass interference (Samuel, Tra.) 15 yards to the VA23, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

4th & 19Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +1.47

Blanton Creque 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre Levrone, broken up by Jaire Alexander

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Joe Reed run for 1 yd to the Virg 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.05

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 19 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 4 yds to the Lvile 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Reggie Bonnafon at the Lvile 9

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Dae Williams run for 12 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Dae Williams run for 9 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Dae Williams run for 6 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dae Williams run for 1 yd to the Lvile 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Kemari Averett for 10 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dae Williams run for 4 yds to the Virg 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 16 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Dae Williams

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.98

Lamar Jackson run for 18 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the Virg 14

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.81

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 14 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling, broken up by Trumaine Washington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Daniel Hamm

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.89

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Doni Dowling for 10 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Benkert, K sideline pass incomplete to Dubois, H, PENALTY VA holding (Ellis, J) 10 yards to the VA25, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre Levrone

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Daniel Hamm

3rd & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.06

Kurt Benkert run for no gain to the Virg 25 Kurt Benkert fumbled, forced by James Hearns,

4th & 20Punt-3 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 38 yds , Reggie Bonnafon returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Lvile 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith, broken up by Quin Blanding

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.55

Lamar Jackson sacked by Jordan Mack for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 14 Lamar Jackson fumbled, recovered by Lvile Kenny Thomas , return for 0 yards

3rd & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 18 Lamar Jackson fumbled, forced by Charles Snowden, recovered by Lvile Geron Christian

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Daniel Hamm at the Virg 42

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Lvile 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.07

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 9 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre Levrone, broken up by Trumaine Washington

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Ellis run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 10 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Evan Butts for 25 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 3 yds to the Lvile 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 8 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.22

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 29 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 7 yds to the Virg 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jordan Ellis run for 1 yd to the Virg 33

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.72

Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.55

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 22 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 41

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Doni Dowling

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 5 yds to the Lvile 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the Lvile 24

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 7 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Lamar Jackson run for 8 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Jackson, Lam. sideline pass incomplete to Smith, Jay., PENALTY VA holding (Thornhill, J) 10 yards to the VA45, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Lamar Jackson sacked by Jordan Mack and Malcolm Cook for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 10 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the Virg 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 24 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Ellis run for 2 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Olamide Zaccheaus

4th & 8Punt+17 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 41 , Reggie Bonnafon returns for 17 yds to the Lvile 41

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Dae Williams run for 20 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dae Williams run for 4 yds to the Virg 35

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.59

Lamar Jackson run for 14 yds to the Virg 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 21 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Andre Levrone, broken up by Trumaine Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Jordan Ellis for no gain to the Virg 22

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordan Ellis run for 9 yds to the Virg 31

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Virg 26

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 43 yds , Reggie Bonnafon returns for 2 yds to the Lvile 33 Reggie Bonnafon fumbled, recovered by Virg Joe Spaziani

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-45 ydsPPA -3.46

Kurt Benkert pass intercepted Dee Smith return for 45 yds to the Virg 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Virg 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 2 yds to the Virg 35

4th & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.47

Malik Williams run for 23 yds to the Virg 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dae Williams run for 6 yds to the Virg 6

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Virg 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Dae Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 1 yd to the Virg 32

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jordan Ellis run for 7 yds to the Virg 39

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.26

Kurt Benkert sacked by James Hearns for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 33 Kurt Benkert fumbled, , return for 0 yards

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lester Coleman punt for 49 yds , Reggie Bonnafon returns for no gain to the Lvile 33 VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Joe Spaziani) to the Lvile 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Malik Williams run for no gain to the Lvile 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.51

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 35 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Dae Williams run for 6 yds to the Virg 26

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.00

Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Virg 27

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Charles Standberry

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Malik Williams run for 11 yds to the Virg 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins, broken up by Bryce Hall

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Blanton Creque 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds to the Virg 23

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Chris Sharp run for 9 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Andre Levrone for 11 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Kurt Benkert pass incomplete to Lamont Atkins for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jaire Alexander) to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Hasise Dubois for 2 yds to the Lvile 40

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

PK Kier run for 7 yds to the Lvile 33

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

PK Kier run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

PK Kier run for 1 yd to the Lvile 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

PK Kier run for 5 yds to the Lvile 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.66

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 13 yds to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Kurt Benkert pass complete to Olamide Zaccheaus for 8 yds to the Lvile 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Jordan Ellis run for 3 yds for a TD, (A.J. Mejia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dae Williams run for 5 yds to the Lvile 15

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Lvile 18

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.55

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
47%
15 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
30 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play