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← Back to GamesOct 21, 2017Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 7

Home Win Probability

Florida State 71%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 21, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
7714331
Florida StateFlorida State
7701428

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-1414-2121-2828-2828-31
Florida StateLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOULOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSLOUFSTD775ydTD978ydPUNT33ydPUNT638ydDOWNS852ydPUNT620ydPUNT717ydPUNT36ydTD21ydTD875ydTO410ydDOWNS10ydMISS1148ydTD673ydTO10ydTD545ydTD1474ydPUNT39ydTD674ydDOWNS948ydTO648ydFG859ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Florida State
StatisticLouisvilleFlorida State
Passing13-2116-28
Pass Yards156248
Rush Yards293155
Total Yards449403
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-106-12
Penalties2-134-40
Possession28:5031:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Lamar Jackson
13/21, 156 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Lamar Jackson
23 CAR, 178 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylen Smith
5 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Florida State
passing
James Blackman
16/28, 248 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Cam Akers
16 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Nyqwan Murray
4 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Reggie Bonnafon run for 9 yds to the Lvile 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Reggie Bonnafon run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 13 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dae Williams run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 45

3rd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.08

Lamar Jackson run for 23 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Lamar Jackson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Blanton Creque kickoff for 63 yds , Derwin James return for 20 yds to the FlaSt 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacques Patrick run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for 8 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.48

James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 37 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Cam Akers run for 8 yds to the Lvile 20

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the Lvile 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the Lvile 14

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Jacques Patrick run for 10 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Alec Eberle) to the Lvile 9

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the Lvile 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 7 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Reggie Bonnafon run for 3 yds to the Lvile 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Reggie Bonnafon

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Mason King punt for 53 yds , Tarvarus McFadden returns for 6 yds to the FlaSt 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jacques Patrick run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 23

3rd & 2Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.13

James Blackman pass complete to Ryan Izzo for 30 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

James Blackman pass incomplete to Ryan Izzo

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

James Blackman pass incomplete to Auden Tate

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Reggie Bonnafon run for 2 yds to the Lvile 18

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.45

Lamar Jackson run for 15 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Reggie Bonnafon run for 5 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.27

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 25 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.64

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 37

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 32

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.29

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Cam Akers run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Cam Akers run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.18

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 17 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 39

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the Lvile 36

3rd & 8Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.63

James Blackman sacked by Trevon Young for a loss of 12 yards to the Lvile 48

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 5 yds to the Lvile 25

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Reggie Bonnafon run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Lamar Jackson run for 9 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 39

3rd & 14Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Lamar Jackson sacked by Josh Sweat for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 37

4th & 16Punt+9 yds

Mason King punt for 56 yds , Tarvarus McFadden returns for 9 yds to the FlaSt 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Amir Rasul run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 20

2nd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.63

James Blackman sacked by Henry Famurewa for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 15

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacques Patrick run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 22

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Tyler punt for 47 yds , Russ Yeast returns for no gain to the Lvile 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Reggie Bonnafon run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+34 ydsPPA -1.25

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards Lamar Jackson fumbled, forced by Matthew Thomas, recovered by FlaSt Matthew Thomas , return for 34 yds, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 9 yds to the Lvile 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Dae Williams run for 4 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dae Williams for 7 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 6 yds to the FlaSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 12 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.56

Lamar Jackson sacked by Brian Burns and Derrick Nnadi for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 14Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Charles Standberry

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.19

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 26 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Cam Akers run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -1.76

James Blackman pass intercepted Trumaine Washington return for 22 yds to the FlaSt 28

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Blanton Creque 45 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jacques Patrick run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

James Blackman run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 9 yds to the FlaSt 46

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.70

Cam Akers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Cam Akers run for 7 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 14 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

James Blackman run for 1 yd to the Lvile 33

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Cam Akers run for 6 yds to the Lvile 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

James Blackman pass incomplete to Auden Tate

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Ricky Aguayo 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Lamar Jackson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 36

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +2.33

Lamar Jackson run for 51 yds to the FlaSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Reggie Bonnafon run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Reggie Bonnafon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -0.92

James Blackman pass intercepted Trumaine Washington return for 22 yds to the FlaSt 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Reggie Bonnafon run for no gain to the FlaSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.66

Lamar Jackson run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dae Williams run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 25

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.32

Dae Williams run for 25 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

3rd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Blanton Creque kickoff for 64 yds , Amir Rasul return for 25 yds to the FlaSt 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam Akers run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 29

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.68

James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 8 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Jacques Patrick run for 12 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaSt 44

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.40

James Blackman pass complete to Cam Akers for 11 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

James Blackman run for 1 yd to the Lvile 44

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the Lvile 39

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.23

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 6 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacques Patrick run for 2 yds to the Lvile 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.68

James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 16 yds to the Lvile 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jacques Patrick run for no gain to the Lvile 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

James Blackman pass incomplete to Mavin Saunders

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

James Blackman pass incomplete to Nyqwan Murray

4th & 10Penalty+8 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, Roughing Passer (James Hearns) to the Lvile 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Fumble Return Touchdown0 yds

Nyqwan Murray 0 Yd Fumble Return (Ricky Aguayo Kick)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Logan Tyler kickoff for 59 yds , Traveon Samuel return for 12 yds to the Lvile 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dae Williams run for 2 yds to the Lvile 20

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 25

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27

4th & 1Punt+3 yds

Mason King punt for 40 yds , Tarvarus McFadden returns for 3 yds to the FlaSt 30 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the FlaSt 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.00

James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 22 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

James Blackman pass incomplete to Ryan Izzo

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jacques Patrick run for 6 yds to the Lvile 46

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.82

Cam Akers run for 10 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.39

James Blackman pass complete to Auden Tate for 16 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

James Blackman pass complete to Nyqwan Murray for 20 yds for a TD, (Ricky Aguayo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Lamar Jackson run for 7 yds to the Lvile 32

2nd & 3Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.60

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.98

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 21 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Reggie Bonnafon run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.98

Reggie Bonnafon run for 12 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Lamar Jackson run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 29

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Reggie Bonnafon run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.21

Reggie Bonnafon run for no gain to the FlaSt 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cam Akers run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Cam Akers run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

James Blackman pass incomplete to Auden Tate

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.59

James Blackman pass complete to Jacques Patrick for 18 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.66

James Blackman run for 21 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -4.37

James Blackman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 24 James Blackman fumbled, recovered by Lvile Henry Famurewa

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 9 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Reggie Bonnafon run for 15 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 9 yds to the FlaSt 43

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

3rd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Lamar Jackson run for 15 yds to the FlaSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 13 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Reggie Bonnafon run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 12

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Kenny Thomas) to the FlaSt 17

2nd & 12Field Goal Good+34 ydsPPA -0.98

Blanton Creque 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

James Blackman pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
30 plays
2nd
38%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
78%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
70%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play