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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2017Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 15.2

Home Win Probability

Louisville 87%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 23, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
03003
LouisvilleLouisville
21714042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-335-342-3
LouisvilleKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUKSLOUKSLOUKSKSLOUKSLOUKSLOUKSKSLOUKSLOUKSLOUKSLOUKSLOUKSLOUTD575ydPUNT30ydDOWNS629ydPUNT35ydTD789ydTD35ydPUNT1145ydTO422ydTO47ydTO14ydFG45ydTD875ydEND411ydPUNT57ydTD777ydPUNT45ydTO10ydTO231ydTD566ydPUNT616ydTO999ydPUNT828ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-5ydEND113yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and Louisville
StatisticKent StateLouisville
Passing2-523-30
Pass Yards11374
Rush Yards139165
Total Yards150539
Turnovers34
3rd Down5-154-10
Penalties5-454-30
Possession36:4223:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
George Bollas
2/4, 11 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Dustin Crum
18 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Conor Brumfield
1 REC, 6 YDS
defense
Jim Jones
0.5 TFL
Louisville
passing
Lamar Jackson
18/22, 299 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Malik Williams
9 CAR, 47 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Seth Dawkins
4 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+69 ydsPPA +4.03

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jordan Davis for 69 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Reggie Bonnafon run for 1 yd to the KntSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Reggie Bonnafon run for 4 yds to the KntSt 1

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 3 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Malik Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 5 yds to the KntSt 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

George Bollas run for no gain to the KntSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

George Bollas pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Reggie Bonnafon at the Lvile 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.44

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 19 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 44

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 7 yds to the KntSt 34

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.63

Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

George Bollas run for 1 yd to the KntSt 36

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.87

George Bollas run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 34

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

George Bollas pass complete to Conor Brumfield for 6 yds to the KntSt 40

4th & 5Punt-4 yds

Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , Reggie Bonnafon returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the Lvile 11

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.22

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 12 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 17 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the Lvile 47

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 42

2nd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.60

Traveon Samuel run for 15 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Jackson, Lam. sideline pass incomplete, PENALTY KENT holding (MONDAY, D.) 10 yards to the KENT33, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Malik Williams run for 33 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Raekwon James run for 4 yds to the KntSt 30

3rd & 5Interception Return Touchdown-37 ydsPPA -7.26

George Bollas pass intercepted for a TD Trumaine Washington return for 37 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 25

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Justin Rankin run for 8 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kesean Gamble run for 7 yds to the KntSt 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Kesean Gamble run for 2 yds to the KntSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.06

Dustin Crum run for 7 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, offside defense (Trevon Young) to the Lvile 40

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.52

Kesean Gamble run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Kesean Gamble run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 39

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the Lvile 37

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 31 yds, downed at the Lvile 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.81

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 21 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds to the Lvile 30

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 25

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Lamar Jackson run for no gain to the Lvile 25

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.09

Lamar Jackson pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for no gain to the Lvile 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to James Alexander, broken up by Ronald Walker

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 41

3rd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.80

Dustin Crum run for 15 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -4.28

Dustin Crum run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 31 Dustin Crum fumbled, recovered by Lvile Dorian Etheridge

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -1.39

Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35 Lamar Jackson fumbled, forced by Elvis Hines, recovered by KntSt Elvis Hines

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kesean Gamble run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 36

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the Lvile 31

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the Lvile 30

4th & 5Field Goal Good+48 ydsPPA +0.52

Shane Hynes 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 9 yds to the Lvile 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 7 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 15 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 9 yds to the KntSt 35

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Traveon Samuel

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.78

Reggie Bonnafon run for 13 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Malik Williams for 9 yds to the KntSt 13

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.02

Lamar Jackson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 20

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.38

Will Matthews run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 17

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Will Matthews run for 13 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Mike Carrigan run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Rankin run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 28

3rd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.24

Dustin Crum sacked by Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 21

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 56 yds, downed at the Lvile 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Charles Standberry

3rd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.62

Lamar Jackson sacked by James Alexander for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 22

4th & 11Penalty+15 yds

King, Mas. punt 40 yards to the KENT38, JAMES, Raymond return to the LOU46, out-of-bounds (Williams, Chu.), PENALTY KENT roughing the kicker (THOMAS, Sam) 15 yards to the LOU37, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.08

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Malik Williams for 28 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.78

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Malik Williams for no gain to the KntSt 32

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.97

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 32 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Sack+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dustin Crum sacked by Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 10 yards to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (15 Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Dustin Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 30

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Derek Adams punt for 45 yds , Russ Yeast returns for 13 yds to the Lvile 38

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-23 ydsPPA -2.05

Lamar Jackson pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for 13 yds to the LOUISVILLE 49 KENT ST Penalty, illegal block (Dominic Hill) to the KntSt 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dustin Crum run for 1 yd to the KntSt 40

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -1.24

Dustin Crum run for 30 yds to the Lvile 34 Dustin Crum fumbled, forced by Khane Pass, recovered by Lvile C.J. Avery , return for 4 yds to the Lvile 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Colin Wilson for 8 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Colin Wilson run for 9 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Javonte Bagley for 16 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.34

Lamar Jackson run for 18 yds to the KntSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Javonte Bagley for 15 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Keon Singleton run for no gain to the KntSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Kesean Gamble run for 9 yds to the KntSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Kesean Gamble run for 9 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

George Bollas run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 40

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

George Bollas run for 3 yds to the KntSt 43

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Mike Carrigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 41

4th & 12Punt+57 yds

Derek Adams punt for 57 yds , Russ Yeast returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jawon Pass pass complete to Josh Johnson for 8 yds to the Lvile 9

2nd & 2Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.85

Colin Wilson run for 21 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jawon Pass run for no gain to the Lvile 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Jawon Pass pass complete to Emonee Spence for 9 yds to the Lvile 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Colin Wilson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Jawon Pass pass complete to Emonee Spence for 15 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jawon Pass pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jawon Pass pass complete to Emonee Spence for 3 yds to the KntSt 40

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+31 ydsPPA -2.33

Jawon Pass pass complete to Josh Johnson for 31 yds Josh Johnson fumbled, forced by Jamal Parker, recovered by KntSt Jerrell Foster

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Keon Singleton run for 4 yds to the KntSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

George Bollas run for 1 yd to the KntSt 25

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.39

Keon Singleton run for 7 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kesean Gamble run for 3 yds to the KntSt 35

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.34

Kesean Gamble run for 7 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kesean Gamble run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Keon Singleton run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 44

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Keon Singleton run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Emonee Spence

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trey Smith run for 5 yds to the Lvile 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Javonte Bagley

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kesean Gamble run for no gain to the KntSt 30

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kesean Gamble run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33

3rd & 7Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.58

Mike Carrigan run for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 25

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 44 yds, downed at the Lvile 31

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Lyn Strange run for 13 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
17%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
64%
28 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays