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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 4.4

Home Win Probability

USC 63%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 2, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
7771031
USCUSC
7772849

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-77-1414-1414-2121-2128-2135-2849-31
USCWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCWMUSCWMUSCWMUSCWMUSCWMUSCWMUSCWMWMUSCWMUSCWMUSCWMUSCWMUSCWMWMTD675ydPUNT35ydTO3-4ydTD859ydPUNT36ydTD1184ydPUNT38ydPUNT515ydPUNT518ydPUNT31ydTD845ydMISS854ydTO627ydEND212ydTD975ydTO533ydPUNT518ydTD1083ydPUNT69ydTD1256ydTD00ydTD383ydFG540ydTD366ydTD33ydEND512yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and USC
StatisticWestern MichiganUSC
Passing12-2323-33
Pass Yards94289
Rush Yards263232
Total Yards357521
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-147-11
Penalties6-349-94
Possession34:3825:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Jon Wassink
11/22, 67 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
LeVante Bellamy
9 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Anton Curtis
3 REC, 30 YDS
defense
USC
passing
Sam Darnold
23/33, 289 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Ronald Jones II
18 CAR, 159 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Deontay Burnett
7 REC, 142 YDS
defense
Rasheem Green
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 7 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 3Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.33

Ronald Jones II run for 29 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Ronald Jones II run for 8 yds to the WMich 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.22

Sam Darnold pass complete to Aca'Cedric Ware for 4 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 11 yds to the WMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Ronald Jones II run for 16 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

LeVante Bellamy run for 4 yds to the WMich 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 45 yds, downed at the USC 15

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Toa Lobendahn) to the USC 10

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Aca'Cedric Ware run for 3 yds to the USC 13

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Sam Darnold run for 6 yds to the USC 19

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.29

Sam Darnold sacked by Asantay Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 11

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Reid Budrovich punt for 48 yds , Darius Phillips returns for no gain to the WMich 41 Darius Phillips fumbled, recovered by WMich

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 46

3rd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.59

Jon Wassink run for 15 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Jon Wassink pass complete to Anton Curtis for 9 yds to the USC 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.40

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Wassink, Jon pass incomplete to Watson, Keishawn (Jones, Jack), PENALTY USC pass interference (Jones, Jack) 15 yards to the USC12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 8 yds to the USC 4

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Ronald Jones II run for 6 yds to the USC 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Jalen Greene, broken up by Sam Beal

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Tyler Vaughns

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reid Budrovich punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 16

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.63

LeVante Bellamy run for 22 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.41

LeVante Bellamy run for 16 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the USC 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jon Wassink pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 4 yds to the USC 39

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.09

Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the USC 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Jon Wassink pass complete to Anton Curtis for 10 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the USC 7

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Jon Wassink run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Cary Angeline

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Sam Darnold pass complete to Stephen Carr for 8 yds to the USC 23

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Jalen Greene

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Reid Budrovich punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 26

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for no gain to the WMich 26

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Jamauri Bogan run for 11 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Luke Sanders

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne Eskridge

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ajene Harris at the USC 18

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Ronald Jones II run for 8 yds to the USC 26

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.40

Sam Darnold run for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 24 Sam Darnold fumbled, recovered by USC Ronald Jones II

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.

3rd & 16Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.36

Ronald Jones II run for 12 yds to the USC 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reid Budrovich punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jon Wassink pass incomplete, broken up by Uchenna Nwosu

3rd & 7Penalty-4 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Chukwuma Okorafor) to the WMich 4

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 6

4th & 9Punt+15 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 54 yds , Ajene Harris returns for 15 yds to the WMich 45

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.84

Sam Darnold sacked by Eric Assoua for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 46

2nd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 12 yds to the WMich 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.10

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 14 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Stephen Carr run for 4 yds to the WMich 24

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Chuma Edoga) to the WMich 29

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the WMich 28

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.55

Sam Darnold pass complete to Ronald Jones II for 19 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Vaughns for 8 yds to the WMich 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Personal Foul (Ykili Ross) to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 43

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.40

Jamauri Bogan run for 13 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the USC 22

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Donnie Ernsberger, broken up by John Houston Jr.

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the USC 21

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Josh Grant 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Sam Darnold pass complete to Jalen Greene for 11 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 1 yd to the USC 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay Burnett

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.26

Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 20 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Chuma Edoga) to the USC 48

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Jalen Greene

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return-20 ydsPPA -1.23

Sam Darnold pass intercepted Darius Phillips return for 20 yds to the WMich 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 12 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Donnie Ernsberger

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 27

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 35

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jon Wassink run for 4 yds to the WMich 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Jon Wassink pass complete to Anton Curtis for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Chukwuma Okorafor) to the WMich 45

1st & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.93

Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 2 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Personal Foul (Uchenna Nwosu) to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

LeVante Bellamy run for 6 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the USC 31

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Bogan, Jamauri rush for 11 yards to the USC20, PENALTY WESTMICH holding (Novoselsky, Zach) 10 yards to the USC41, NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Penalty+14 yds

USC Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Iman Marshall) to the USC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Keishawn Watson pass complete to Jon Wassink for 27 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Ronald Jones II run for 12 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Ronald Jones II run for 11 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Petite for 8 yds to the WMich 40

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.91

Sam Darnold pass intercepted Sam Beal return for no gain to the WMich 7

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the WMich 16

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 5 yds to the WMich 24

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 58 yds, downed at the USC 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 12 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Jones II, Ronald rush for 9 yards to the USC38, PENALTY USC personal foul (Brown, Chris) 15 yards to the USC14, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the USC 15

2nd & 24Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Sam Darnold pass complete to Stephen Carr for 7 yds to the USC 22

3rd & 17Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.38

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 27 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Sam Darnold pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 7 yds to the WMich 44

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.36

Velus Jones Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 47

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Petite for 8 yds to the WMich 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.32

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 28 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Sam Darnold run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 31

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 5 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jon Wassink pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Jon Wassink sacked by Porter Gustin for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 34

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Derrick Mitchell punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 44

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the USC 45

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Darnold, Sam pass incomplete to Mitchell Jr., Steven, PENALTY WESTMICH offside (Assoua, Eric) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Sam Darnold pass complete to Stephen Carr for 8 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Stephen Carr run for 5 yds to the WMich 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Tyler Petite

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Petite for 8 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the WMich 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Sam Darnold pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 12 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 7 yds to the WMich 8

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the WMich 6

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Stephen Carr run for 2 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Stephen Carr run for 3 yds to the WMich 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Stephen Carr run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

2nd & 7Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Michael Brown kickoff for 65 yds , Darius Phillips return for 100 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the USC 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.56

Sam Darnold pass complete to Deontay Burnett for 42 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Ronald Jones II run for 37 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.74

LeVante Bellamy run for 48 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Chukwuma Okorafor) to the USC 23

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the USC 22

2nd & 14Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Chukwuma Okorafor) to the USC 27

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson

3rd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 1 yd to the USC 26

4th & 18Field Goal Good+43 ydsPPA +1.64

Josh Grant 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Vavae Malepeai run for 11 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 48

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.70

Stephen Carr run for 52 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Anton Curtis

3rd & 7Interception Return Touchdown-37 ydsPPA -7.07

Jon Wassink pass intercepted for a TD Marvell Tell III return for 37 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the WMich 17

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Davon Tucker run for 11 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Davon Tucker run for no gain to the WMich 28

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Davon Tucker run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 24

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the WMich 28

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
30 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
53%
15 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
62%
29 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
63%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th