Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 2, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 4.3

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 63%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 2, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Bowling GreenBowling Green
300710
Michigan StateMichigan State
01421035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-321-328-335-10
Michigan StateBowling Green

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSBGMSBGMSBGMSBGMSBGMSBGBGMSBGMSBGBGMSMSBGMSBGMSBGMSBGTO765ydFG650ydPUNT37ydPUNT616ydTO53ydDOWNS48ydTD1267ydPUNT512ydPUNT1044ydPUNT419ydTD785ydEND14ydPUNT36ydTD1069ydPUNT3-11ydTD845ydTD20ydPUNT34ydTD418ydPUNT34ydDOWNS736ydPUNT519ydPUNT423ydPUNT38ydPUNT419ydPUNT524ydEND426yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Bowling Green and Michigan State
StatisticBowling GreenMichigan State
Passing10-3122-36
Pass Yards145250
Rush Yards67215
Total Yards212465
Turnovers13
3rd Down2-138-15
Penalties4-204-25
Possession21:5938:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Bowling Green
passing
James Morgan
10/31, 145 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Andrew Clair
4 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Datrin Guyton
2 REC, 40 YDS
defense
Nate Locke
0.5 TFL
Michigan State
passing
Brian Lewerke
22/33, 250 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Brian Lewerke
8 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Darrell Stewart Jr.
6 REC, 85 YDS
defense
Joe Bachie
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.91

Brian Lewerke run for 22 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.99

Darrell Stewart Jr. run for 28 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Brian Lewerke run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 3

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

LJ Scott run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+30 yds

LJ Scott run for no gain to the BwGrn 1 LJ Scott fumbled, forced by Brandon Harris, recovered by BwGrn Brandon Harris , return for 30 yds to the BwGrn 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Donovan Wilson run for no gain to the BwGrn 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.82

James Morgan pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 45 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the MchSt 21

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the MchSt 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA -0.35

Jake Suder 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gerald Holmes run for 4 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gerald Holmes run for 3 yds to the MchSt 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the BwGrn 9

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

James Morgan pass incomplete to Josh Cleveland

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.09

James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 14 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott Miller

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brian Lewerke run for 5 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

LJ Scott run for 6 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Brian Lewerke pass complete to LJ Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Sokol for 8 yds to the BwGrn 44

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-15 ydsPPA -2.52

TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the MchSt 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BwGrn David Konowalski

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott Miller

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the MchSt 38

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MchSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

James Morgan pass incomplete to Leonard Skattebo

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.58

James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott Miller

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.05

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 7 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Brian Lewerke run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

LJ Scott run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Madre London run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Brian Lewerke sacked by David Konowalski for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 24 Brian Lewerke fumbled, forced by David Konowalski, recovered by MchSt Madre London , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Madre London run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 23

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Madre London run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Darrell Stewart Jr. run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 7

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Madre London run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brett Scanlon kickoff for 60 yds , Andrew Clair return for 20 yds to the MICHIGANST 25 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (Trevor Roop) to the BwGrn 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

James Morgan pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 12 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo Redding

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the BwGrn 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 64 yds, downed at the MchSt 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

LJ Scott run for 1 yd to the MchSt 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Hunter Rison for 5 yds to the MchSt 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 5 yds to the MchSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

LJ Scott run for no gain to the MchSt 22

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the MchSt 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.80

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 10 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Brian Lewerke run for 12 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 9 yds to the BwGrn 42

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.85

LJ Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Andrew Clair run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

James Morgan pass complete to Andrew Clair for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 46 yds , Darrell Stewart Jr. returns for 10 yds to the MchSt 25 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the MchSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 5 yds to the MchSt 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.30

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 15 yds to the MchSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Gerald Holmes for 8 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 15 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.99

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 40 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Luke Campbell) to the BwGrn 7

1st & 0Penalty+4 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Targeting (Fred Garth) to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST down. F. Garth ejected.

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 7 yds to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 25

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Darrell Stewart Jr. at the MchSt 31

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.47

Darrell Stewart Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the MchSt 25

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Sokol

3rd & 16Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.08

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Trishton Jackson for 21 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the MchSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.96

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cam Chambers for 29 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.58

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Cody White for 12 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Brian Lewerke run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Sokol

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

James Morgan pass complete to Donovan Wilson for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 16

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 11

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.10

James Morgan sacked by Chris Frey for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 1

4th & 21Punt+4 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 48 yds , Darrell Stewart Jr. returns for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Matt Sokol

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Gerald Holmes run for no gain to the BwGrn 45

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.64

Brian Lewerke run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Felton Davis III for 8 yds to the BwGrn 25

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.22

Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 18

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 13

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.96

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Sokol for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-38 ydsPPA -7.55

James Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Tyson Smith return for 38 yds for a TD, (Matt Coghlin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

James Morgan pass incomplete to Hunter Folkertsma

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo Redding

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 44 yds , Darrell Stewart Jr. returns for 1 yd to the MchSt 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Madre London run for 5 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.39

Madre London run for 11 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Madre London run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 43

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+46 ydsPPA -1.25

LJ Scott run for 3 yds LJ Scott fumbled, forced by Armani Posey, recovered by BwGrn Cameron Jefferies , return for 46 yds, (Jake Suder KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Kevin Jarvis) to the MchSt 20

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Madre London run for 9 yds to the MchSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Matt Seybert

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Damion Terry pass incomplete to Hunter Rison

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

3rd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.60

James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 31 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the MchSt 43

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the MchSt 37

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Donovan Wilson run for no gain to the MchSt 37

4th & 3Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.06

James Morgan pass complete to Datrin Guyton for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.30

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Darrell Stewart Jr. for 14 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Laress Nelson for 5 yds to the BwGrn 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Felton Davis III

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Laress Nelson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 19 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Matt Domer run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

James Morgan pass incomplete to Leonard Skattebo

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 22

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Madre London run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Brian Lewerke pass incomplete to Darrell Stewart Jr.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Brian Lewerke pass complete to Matt Sokol for 10 yds to the MchSt 30

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.97

James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 15 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

James Morgan pass incomplete to Janarvis Pough

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo Redding

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joseph Davidson punt for 51 yds, downed at the MchSt 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Madre London run for 3 yds to the MchSt 17

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Gerald Holmes run for 16 yds to the MchSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Gerald Holmes run for no gain to the MchSt 33

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the MchSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Damion Terry pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

Jake Hartbarger punt for 57 yds , Marcus Milton returns for 10 yds to the BwGrn 15

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.85

Matt Domer run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Matt Domer run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 31

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Terence Stephens Jr. run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Matt Domer run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 41

Situational Analysis

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
33%
12 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
34%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
64%
11 plays
85%
13 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th