Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 28, 2017Week 9

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 6.1

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 68%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Oct 28, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NC StateNC State
770014
Notre DameNotre Dame
71414035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1421-1428-1435-14
Notre DameNC State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNSNDNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNSNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDNSNDPUNT417ydPUNT33ydTD3-10ydTD260ydPUNT1043ydPUNT419ydTD771ydTD1472ydPUNT3-3ydTD860ydPUNT424ydPUNT521ydDOWNS736ydTD738ydDOWNS835ydPUNT39ydPUNT35ydTD277ydPUNT36ydPUNT1054ydPUNT33ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydEND1576yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing NC State and Notre Dame
StatisticNC StateNotre Dame
Passing17-3710-19
Pass Yards213104
Rush Yards50318
Total Yards263422
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-169-16
Penalties12-894-29
Possession25:4334:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

NC State
passing
Ryan Finley
17/37, 213 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Reggie Gallaspy II
11 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Kelvin Harmon
7 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Brandon Wimbush
10/19, 104 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Josh Adams
27 CAR, 202 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Durham Smythe
3 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.77

Josh Adams run for 21 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 45

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.87

Brandon Wimbush sacked by Kentavius Street for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 39

3rd & 13Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Brandon Wimbush sacked by Bradley Chubb for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 38

4th & 14Punt+11 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 45 yds , Nyheim Hines returns for 11 yds to the NCSt 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Nyheim Hines run for 3 yds to the NCSt 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen Louis

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen Griffin

4th & 7Punt+47 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 47 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 21

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.94

Josh Adams run for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 14

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 18

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Robert Hainsey) to the NDame 13

3rd & 18Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.04

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Josh Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 11

4th & 20Blocked Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt blocked by James Smith-Williams, recovered by Germaine Pratt in the endzone for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.06

Josh Adams run for 35 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Durham Smythe for 25 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Nyheim Hines run for 3 yds to the NCSt 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 6 yds to the NCSt 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the NCSt 39

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Tyler Jones) to the NCSt 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.27

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 8 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.23

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 13 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the NDame 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen Louis

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 6 yds to the NDame 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 32 yds, downed at the NDame 6

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Josh Adams run for 9 yds to the NDame 15

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to Mack, Alize, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference (Kidd-Glass, Tim) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Chase Claypool

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NDame 30

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (John Shannon) to the NDame 25

4th & 15Punt+46 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 36 yds, downed at the NOTREDAME 39 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matt McKay) to the NCSt 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd to the NCSt 30

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, False Start (Jakobi Meyers) to the NCSt 25

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Stephen Louis

3rd & 14Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.76

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 18 yds to the NCSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.91

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 42 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaylen Samuels run for no gain to the NDame 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Dylan Autenrieth

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.24

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 15 yds for a TD, (Carson Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 6 yds to the NDame 34

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Dexter Williams run for 9 yds to the NDame 47

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Dexter Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dexter Williams run for no gain to the NDame 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Equanimeous St. Brown

3rd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.26

Brandon Wimbush run for 20 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 9 yds to the NCSt 23

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 24

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.48

Josh Adams run for 14 yds to the NCSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NCSt 5

2nd & 5Penalty+3 yds

Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to St. Brown, Equanimeous, PENALTY NCSTATE holding (Alston, Johnathan) 3 yards to the NCSTATE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NCSt 1

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Defensive Offside (B.J. Hill) to the NCSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Josh Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Brandon Wimbush run for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

3rd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Justin Yoon kickoff for 57 yds , Jaylen Samuels return for 15 yds to the NCST 23 yard line NC STATE Penalty, Illegal Block (Matt McKay) 10 yds to the NCSt 13

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 9

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaylen Samuels run for 1 yd to the NCSt 10

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

4th & 13Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 50 yds, downed at the NDame 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brandon Wimbush run for 5 yds to the NDame 45

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to St. Brown, Equanimeous, PENALTY NCSTATE pass interference 15 yards to the NCSTATE40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 4 yds to the NCSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NCSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Josh Adams run for 5 yds to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NCSt 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin Stepherson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Durham Smythe for 11 yds to the NCSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 11 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.14

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 24 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Cole Cook

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

4th & 10Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 40 yds, downed at the NDame 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Durham Smythe for 16 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 33

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Josh Adams run for no gain to the NDame 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Alize Mack

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Gavin Locklear at the NCSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Ryan Finley pass complete to Stephen Louis for 14 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Finley, Ryan pass incomplete to Samuels, Jaylen, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Crawford, Shaun) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NCSTATE.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Finley, Ryan pass complete to Meyers, Jakobi for 6 yards to the NOTREDAME29, PENALTY NCSTATE ineligible downfield on pass (Prescod, Terronne) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME40, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jerod Fernandez for 5 yds to the NDame 35

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.01

Ryan Finley sacked by Andrew Trumbetti and Drue Tranquill for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 41

4th & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to C.J. Riley

0th & 16End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Jaylen Samuels run for 12 yds to the NCSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 9 yds to the NCSt 41

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.08

Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.93

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 20 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the NDame 42

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown-69 ydsPPA -8.74

Ryan Finley pass intercepted for a TD Julian Love return for 69 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylen Samuels run for 3 yds to the NDame 39

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NDame 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 8 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 14 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 1 yd to the NDame 14

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Ryan Finley run for a loss of 17 yards to the NDame 22 Ryan Finley fumbled, recovered by NCSt Jaylen Samuels Jaylen Samuels run for 9 yds to the NDame 22

3rd & 17Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 16 yds to the NDame 6

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.13

Jaylen Samuels run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Brandon Wimbush run for 1 yd to the NDame 8

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the NDame 14

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NDame 16

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gavin Locklear at the NCSt 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jaylen Samuels for 3 yds to the NCSt 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

4th & 5Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.85

Josh Adams run for 77 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 38

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the NDame 13

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

McIntosh, Deon rush for loss of 5 yards to the NOTREDAME16, PENALTY NCSTATE illegal use of hands (Hill, B.J.) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Deon McIntosh run for 4 yds to the NDame 40

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Deon McIntosh run for 9 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the NCSt 45

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.10

Josh Adams run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCSt 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.66

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Kevin Stepherson for 13 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NCSt 32

3rd & 6Penalty-4 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Robert Hainsey) to the NCSt 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Durham Smythe

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 28 yds, downed at the NCSt 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 3 yds to the NCSt 11

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Reggie Gallaspy II

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

4th & 7Punt+15 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 52 yds , Chris Finke returns for 15 yds to the NCSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Kevin Stepherson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Josh Adams run for 2 yds to the NCSt 46

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.06

Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tyler Newsome punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Reggie Gallaspy II run for no gain to the NCSt 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 2 yds to the NCSt 22

4th & 8Punt-3 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 56 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Miles Boykin

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.68

Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Chase Claypool for 11 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 36

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.68

Dexter Williams run for 9 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Deon McIntosh run for 7 yds to the NCSt 48

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Deon McIntosh run for 10 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Deon McIntosh run for 10 yds to the NCSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Deon McIntosh run for 9 yds to the NCSt 19

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Deon McIntosh run for no gain to the NCSt 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Deon McIntosh run for 2 yds to the NCSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Deon McIntosh run for 6 yds to the NCSt 11

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Deon McIntosh run for 3 yds to the NCSt 8

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.84

Dexter Williams run for 4 yds to the NCSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 5

Situational Analysis

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
29%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
48%
31 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th