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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2017Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 1.2

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 54%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Nov 25, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
171431044
KentuckyKentucky
730717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-177-2410-3410-3717-44
KentuckyLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUKENLOUTD775ydPUNT36ydTD969ydTD780ydFG644ydMISS1562ydTD480ydPUNT913ydTD677ydFG448ydPUNT3-8ydFG851ydDOWNS1041ydFG1237ydPUNT418ydTD799ydTD973ydEND856yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Kentucky
StatisticLouisvilleKentucky
Passing15-218-19
Pass Yards216110
Rush Yards346228
Total Yards562338
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-116-13
Penalties6-557-86
Possession29:2930:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Lamar Jackson
15/21, 216 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Lamar Jackson
18 CAR, 156 YDS
receiving
Jaylen Smith
6 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Stephen Johnson
8/19, 110 YDS
rushing
Benny Snell Jr.
29 CAR, 211 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kayaune Ross
3 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

[SHOT], Jackson, Lam. pass incomplete to Smith, Jay., PENALTY UK pass interference (Lonnie Johnson) 7 yards to the LOU32, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 21 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 48

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Lamar Jackson run for 8 yds to the Kent 44

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.49

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 11 yds to the Kent 38

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Malik Williams run for no gain to the Kent 38

4th & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.07

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Charles Standberry for 14 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Reggie Bonnafon run for 6 yds to the Kent 18

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Reggie Bonnafon run for 18 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Zykiesis Cannon

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Jaire Alexander

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Panton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Reggie Bonnafon at the Lvile 31

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 9 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Lamar Jackson run for 15 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 11 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Reggie Bonnafon run for 2 yds to the Kent 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.52

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 16 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Lamar Jackson run for 9 yds to the Kent 1

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

PENALTY LOU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY UK unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 6

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lamar Jackson run for 5 yds to the Kent 1 Lamar Jackson fumbled, forced by Derrick Baity,

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Dae Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.25

Benny Snell Jr. run for 41 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 37

3rd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.99

Stephen Johnson run for 25 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Benny Snell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Lvile 4

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.87

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Reggie Bonnafon run for 17 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.05

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Reggie Bonnafon for 27 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Jaylen Smith

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the Kent 21

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA +0.28

Blanton Creque 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Benny Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 39

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 46

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Benny Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kayaune Ross run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Benny Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 21

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Lvile 18

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Benny Snell Jr. run for 10 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Benny Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Lvile 8

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Stephen Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 13

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Austin MacGinnis 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Lamar Jackson run for 6 yds to the Lvile 26

2nd & 4Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.28

Dae Williams run for 44 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.29

Lamar Jackson run for 19 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Reggie Bonnafon run for 11 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Stephen Johnson run for 1 yd to the Kent 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.05

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 16 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Stephen Johnson run for 3 yds to the Kent 44

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sihiem King run for no gain to the Kent 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Stephen Johnson run for 2 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Benny Snell Jr., broken up by De'Asian Richardson

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Zykiesis Cannon

4th & 25Punt-3 yds

Matt Panton punt for 37 yds , Reggie Bonnafon returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 21 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins, broken up by Quinton Bohanna

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Malik Williams run for 9 yds to the Kent 47

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.07

Lamar Jackson run for 4 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 14 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 29 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.75

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Kayaune Ross for 20 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.37

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Charles Walker for 19 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Kayaune Ross for 9 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 1Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA -1.71

Austin MacGinnis 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Kyle Meadows) to the Kent 23

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Tavin Richardson, broken up by Trumaine Washington

3rd & 13Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.15

Stephen Johnson sacked by Trevon Young for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 18

4th & 18Punt-6 yds

Matt Panton punt for 45 yds , Reggie Bonnafon returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Dee Smith

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Jones) to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Lamar Jackson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 47

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Jones) to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

[SHOT], Jackson, Lam. pass complete to Fitzpatrick, De for 18 yards to the UK20 (Chris Westry), PENALTY LOU holding (Christian, Ger.) 10 yards to the UK48, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Denzil Ware) to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Reggie Bonnafon run for 4 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Lamar Jackson run for 8 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 18

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 19

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Reggie Bonnafon run for 1 yd to the Kent 18

4th & 7Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA -0.24

Blanton Creque 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 14 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson, broken up by James Hearns

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Stephen Johnson run for 6 yds to the Kent 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 11 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 44

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.05

Benny Snell Jr. run for 16 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Stephen Johnson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 23

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 21

4th & 3Sack-17 ydsPPA -3.40

Stephen Johnson sacked by Stacy Thomas for a loss of 17 yards to the Lvile 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.12

Lamar Jackson run for 15 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Reggie Bonnafon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 6 yds to the Kent 42

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.72

Lamar Jackson run for 10 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Dae Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dae Williams for 10 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Dae Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 17

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Lamar Jackson run for 2 yds to the Kent 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Traveon Samuel for 5 yds to the Kent 10

4th & 16Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +1.33

Blanton Creque 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 34

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

[SHOT], Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson (Smith, Dee), PENALTY LOU targeting (Robinson, G.G.) 15 yards to the UK49, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Sihiem King run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson, broken up by Chucky Williams

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Charles Walker

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Panton punt for 49 yds, downed at the Lvile 1

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +0.46

Lamar Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 16 Lamar Jackson fumbled, recovered by Lvile Lamar Jackson for a 1ST down , return for 16 yds to the Lvile 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 8 yds to the Lvile 24

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Dae Williams run for 9 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Reggie Bonnafon run for 5 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Lamar Jackson pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

3rd & 5Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.78

Lamar Jackson run for 34 yds to the KENTUCKY 28 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Chris Westry) to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Lamar Jackson pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 14 yds for a TD, (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Benny Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 34

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 36

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Stephen Johnson pass complete to Kayaune Ross for 15 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.51

Stephen Johnson sacked by Jonathan Greenard for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 48

2nd & 17Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.38

Benny Snell Jr. run for 33 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Benny Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Lvile 16

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Benny Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.66

Trey Smith run for 20 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Trey Smith run for no gain to the Kent 42

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Kent 40

3rd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.23

Jawon Pass run for 23 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tobias Little run for 1 yd to the Kent 16

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Tobias Little run for 2 yds to the Kent 14

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tobias Little run for 5 yds to the Kent 9

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Tobias Little run for 3 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
83%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays