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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2017Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 9.3

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 76%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 30, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
0107724
ArkansasArkansas
14147742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-728-1735-1742-24
ArkansasNew Mexico State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKNMSARKNMSARKNMSARKNMSARKNMSNMSARKNMSARKNMSARKNMSARKNMSARKTD980ydPUNT5-2ydTO530ydTO876ydTD880ydPUNT33ydTD861ydTD765ydTD868ydFG768ydTD1180ydTD1663ydTO00ydTD622ydTD681ydPUNT619ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS618ydPUNT32ydEND552yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico State and Arkansas
StatisticNew Mexico StateArkansas
Passing23-3819-26
Pass Yards344264
Rush Yards11230
Total Yards355494
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-99-13
Penalties6-293-35
Possession18:2541:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico State
passing
Tyler Rogers
23/38, 344 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Larry Rose III
8 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Jaleel Scott
9 REC, 174 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arkansas
passing
Austin Allen
19/26, 264 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devwah Whaley
19 CAR, 119 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Jones
4 REC, 84 YDS
defense
Santos Ramirez
1 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Austin Allen pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 4 yds to the Ark 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Austin Allen pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 7 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Chase Hayden run for 8 yds to the Ark 39

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Chase Hayden run for 2 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

T.J. Hammonds run for 4 yds to the Ark 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Austin Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.80

Austin Allen pass complete to Jordan Jones for 16 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

David Williams run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 38

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.76

Austin Allen pass complete to Deon Stewart for 38 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Rogers pass complete to OJ Clark for 3 yds OJ Clark fumbled, forced by Santos Ramirez, recovered by NMxSt

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 15 yds to the NMxSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Tyler Rogers run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMxSt 34

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jaleel Scott, broken up by Henre' Toliver

3rd & 14Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Rogers sacked by McTelvin Agim for a loss of 11 yards to the NMxSt 23

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Peyton Theisler punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Austin Allen pass complete to Deon Stewart for 17 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 40

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +1.18

Cole Kelley run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 34 Cole Kelley fumbled, forced by Lui Fa'amasino, recovered by Ark David Williams for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.06

Austin Allen pass intercepted DeMarcus Owens return for no gain to the NMxSt 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Tyler Rogers pass complete to OJ Clark for 8 yds to the NMxSt 17

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Larry Rose III run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 9 yds to the NMxSt 31

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Larry Rose III run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.95

Tyler Rogers pass complete to OJ Clark for 25 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 21 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.44

Tyler Rogers pass intercepted, touchback. Kevin Richardson II return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Ark 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Chase Hayden run for 6 yds to the Ark 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.89

Austin Allen pass complete to Jordan Jones for 32 yds to the ARKANSAS 36 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, personal foul (Terrill Hanks) to the NMxSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Jones run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 16

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Devwah Whaley run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Conner Cramer for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 13

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyler Rogers run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to OJ Clark, broken up by De'Jon Harris

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Peyton Theisler punt for 45 yds , Henre' Toliver returns for 2 yds to the Ark 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Austin Allen pass complete to Hayden Johnson for 9 yds to the Ark 48

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Chase Hayden rush for 13 yards to the NMSU39, out-of-bounds (Ron Laforce), PENALTY AR holding (Frank Ragnow) 10 yards to the AR38, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.91

Austin Allen pass complete to Jordan Jones for 21 yds to the NMxSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

David Williams run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 36

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

David Williams run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.43

David Williams run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Austin Allen pass complete to Chase Hayden for 15 yards to the NMSU15 (J. Fergurson;Jaden Wright), PENALTY AR holding (Paul Ramirez) 10 yards to the NMSU40, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Austin Allen pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 5 yds to the NMxSt 35

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Allen pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 4 yds Austin Cantrell fumbled, forced by Shamad Lomax, recovered by Ark

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.33

Austin Allen pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 31 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Larry Rose III run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.30

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 19 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 18 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Larry Rose III run for 4 yds to the Ark 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.28

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Conner Cramer for 20 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyler Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Devwah Whaley run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Austin Allen pass complete to Deon Stewart for 9 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

David Williams run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Austin Allen pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 10 yds to the NMxSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

David Williams run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 11

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Chase Hayden run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty+2 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Roy Lopez) to the NMxSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Chase Hayden run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.09

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Johnathan Boone for 24 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jaleel Scott, broken up by Santos Ramirez

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.66

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 30 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyler Rogers pass complete to OJ Clark for 9 yds to the Ark 15

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Rogers pass complete to OJ Clark for 5 yds to the Ark 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Conner Cramer

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -1.20

Dylan Brown 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Larry Rose III run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Johnathan Boone, broken up by Henre' Toliver

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.26

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Conner Cramer for 17 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Rogers run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 42

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jaleel Scott (McTelvin Agim), QB hurry by Dre Greenlaw, PENALTY AR roughing passer (Dre Greenlaw) 15 yards to the AR43, 1ST DOWN NMSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Johnathan Boone for 10 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Larry Rose III run for 2 yds to the Ark 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 2 yds to the Ark 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.22

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jason Huntley for 20 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jaleel Scott

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Izaiah Lottie, broken up by Santos Ramirez

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Tyler Rogers pass complete to OJ Clark for 9 yds for a TD, (Dylan Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

David Williams run for 3 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.99

Austin Allen pass complete to Jordan Jones for 15 yds to the NMxSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Austin Allen pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 8 yds to the NMxSt 37

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.13

David Williams run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Austin Allen run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 27

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

4th & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.49

Austin Allen pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 10 yds to the NMxSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

David Williams run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 9

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

David Williams run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 7

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

David Williams run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

David Williams run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

David Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 3

3rd & 3Penalty+1 yds

Cole Kelley pass incomplete to Deon Stewart, PENALTY NMSU pass interference (Jaden Wright) 1 yards to the NMSU2, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, substitution infraction (1 Yards) to the NMxSt 1

1st & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

David Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Austin Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Austin Allen pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 3 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Jonathan Nance

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Chase Hayden run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 13

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Cole Kelley run for no gain to the NMxSt 13

4th & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.01

Austin Allen pass complete to Deon Stewart for 7 yds to the NMxSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Chase Hayden run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Chase Hayden run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jaleel Scott

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Larry Rose III run for no gain to the NMxSt 19

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.36

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Larry Rose III for 20 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.80

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 24 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Larry Rose III run for 1 yd to the Ark 36

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.62

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Jaleel Scott for 36 yds for a TD, (Dylan Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 36

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Jordan Jones

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.33

Austin Allen pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 18 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 45

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Jonathan Nance

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Johnson punt for 29 yds, downed at the NMxSt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Jaleel Scott

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Rogers sacked by Dwayne Eugene Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the NMxSt 8 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Conner Cramer, broken up by Kevin Richardson II

4th & 18Punt+33 yds

Peyton Theisler punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Henre' Toliver at the NMxSt 46 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 41

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 32

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 23

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the NMxSt 23

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.17

Austin Allen pass incomplete to Austin Cantrell

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Rogers pass incomplete to Larry Rose III, broken up by McTelvin Agim

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Rogers pass complete to Larry Rose III for 2 yds to the NMxSt 25

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Peyton Theisler punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ark 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Devwah Whaley run for 6 yds to the Ark 43

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

David Williams run for no gain to the NMxSt 48

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 44

3rd & 6Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.40

Devwah Whaley run for 33 yds to the NMxSt 11 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
36%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
8 plays
56%
9 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays