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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2017Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 25.3

Home Win Probability

Alabama 96%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Sep 9, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
300710
AlabamaAlabama
141431041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-014-321-328-331-341-10
AlabamaFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAFSALAFSALAFSALAFSALAFSFSALAFSALAFSALAFSALAFSALAFSTD273ydPUNT37ydTD1062ydFG970ydTD1175ydPUNT816ydPUNT510ydPUNT736ydTD677ydEND22ydPUNT632ydPUNT631ydPUNT33ydFG1153ydPUNT829ydPUNT536ydTO510ydFG40ydTD437ydTD875ydEND957yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Alabama
StatisticFresno StateAlabama
Passing26-4120-27
Pass Yards216192
Rush Yards57305
Total Yards273497
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-114-10
Penalties1-64-30
Possession29:1830:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Chason Virgil
21/34, 180 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ronnie Rivers
9 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Da'Mari Scott
7 REC, 67 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Hurts
14/18, 128 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jalen Hurts
10 CAR, 154 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Calvin Ridley
5 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.66

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 18 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Jalen Hurts 55 Yd Run (Andy Pappanastos Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jared Rice

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 7 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.49

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 38

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.26

Jalen Hurts run for 17 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 2 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 7 yds to the FrsSt 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.99

Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Hale Hentges for 23 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 17 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Da'Mari Scott

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Ronnie Rivers

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Virgil, Chason pass complete to Scott, Da'Mari for 7 yards to the FRESNOST45, PENALTY ALABAMA substitution infraction 5 yards to the FRESNOST43, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Isaiah Buggs) to the FrsSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.57

Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 30 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the Alab 13

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the Alab 9

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chason Virgil run for no gain to the Alab 9

4th & 1Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -1.06

Jimmy Camacho 28 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 8 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.61

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 16 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.30

Bo Scarbrough run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 8 yds to the FrsSt 16

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.32

Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Bo Scarbrough run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 3

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.92

Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Ronnie Rivers run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 15

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 7 yds to the FrsSt 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.46

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jared Rice for 10 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Da'Mari Scott run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Ronnie Rivers

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the FrsSt 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by FrsSt David Patterson

4th & 22Punt+4 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 30 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 4 yds to the FrsSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Robert Foster for 9 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.25

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.18

Tua Tagovailoa sacked by Jeffrey Allison for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 41

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Robert Foster

4th & 15Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 8

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordan Mims run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 12

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Da'Mari Scott run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Chason Virgil pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 11 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 1 yd to the FrsSt 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 34 yds, downed at the Alab 22

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 7 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for 14 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.95

Jalen Hurts run for 28 yds to the FrsSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Calvin Ridley run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Damien Harris run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 8 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 5 yds to the FrsSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 2 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Minkah Fitzpatrick) to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the Alab 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 1 yd to the Alab 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jared Rice

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Alab 14

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Jalen Hurts run for 15 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam Sims

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin Ridley

4th & 5Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dejonte O'Neal at the FrsSt 10

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Chason Virgil pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 5 yds to the FrsSt 14

4th & 7Punt+8 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 53 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 8 yds to the Alab 41

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 8 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Jalen Hurts pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for 8 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.07

Bo Scarbrough run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert Foster, broken up by Jackson Finch

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Jalen Hurts run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 1

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.87

Andy Pappanastos 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 5 yds to the FrsSt 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 7 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chason Virgil pass complete to Dejonte O'Neal for 5 yds to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.05

Chason Virgil pass complete to Jamire Jordan for 7 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to KeeSean Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chason Virgil pass complete to Josh Hokit for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 42 yds, downed at the Alab 8

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.68

Najee Harris run for 15 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.22

Najee Harris run for 25 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Najee Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Irv Smith Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 45

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tua Tagovailoa run for no gain to the Alab 45

4th & 14Punt0 yds

JK Scott punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Chason Virgil pass complete to KeeSean Johnson for 9 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.01

Chason Virgil sacked by Johnny Dwight for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 14

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Chason Virgil pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 6 yds to the FrsSt 20

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return-30 ydsPPA +0.25

Chason Virgil pass intercepted Anthony Averett return for 30 yds to the FrsSt 4

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Najee Harris run for no gain to the FrsSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Najee Harris

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 ydsPPA -1.02

Andy Pappanastos 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Chason Virgil pass incomplete to Jamire Jordan

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Chason Virgil run for 11 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Chason Virgil pass complete to Derrion Grim for 26 yds for a TD, (Jimmy Camacho KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 10 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Tua Tagovailoa run for 8 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.24

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Xavian Marks for 24 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 16 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Da'Mari Scott for 11 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Jordan Mims

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Marcus McMaryion run for 15 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Jordan Mims for 7 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Josh Hokit run for 6 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Josh Hokit

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Josh Hokit for 12 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Kyle Riddering for 9 yds to the Alab 15

2nd & 1Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Derrion Grim for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 18

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
28 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
78%
32 plays
2nd
20%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays