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← Back to GamesJan 2, 2017Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 43%

No market line posted for this game.

elo_v1 · Jan 2, 2017

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
073616
WisconsinWisconsin
1430724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-717-717-1024-16
WisconsinWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISWMWISWMWISWMWISWMWMWISWMWISWMWISWMWISTD1175ydPUNT424ydTD788ydPUNT627ydPUNT39ydTD1665ydFG963ydEND1-2ydFG1165ydTO62ydPUNT516ydPUNT743ydTO10ydTD312ydTD1675ydEND740yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Wisconsin
StatisticWestern MichiganWisconsin
Passing16-2813-14
Pass Yards157178
Rush Yards123184
Total Yards280362
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-117-11
Penalties2-155-35
Possession29:5530:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Zach Terrell
16/28, 157 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jamauri Bogan
16 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Corey Davis
6 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Bart Houston
11/12, 159 YDS
rushing
Corey Clement
22 CAR, 71 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Troy Fumagalli
6 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Quintez Cephus run for 14 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Zander Neuville) to the Wisc 34

1st & 15Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.67

Corey Clement run for 23 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Taiwan Deal run for 9 yds to the WMich 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Taiwan Deal run for no gain to the WMich 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the WMich 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.58

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.12

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 20 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jazz Peavy run for no gain to the WMich 12

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.61

Corey Clement run for 10 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Corey Clement 2 Yd Run (Andrew Endicott Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.57

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 22 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael Henry

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.04

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 24 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.61

Quintez Cephus run for 20 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.65

Bart Houston pass complete to Corey Clement for 23 yds to the WMich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Corey Clement run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 21

2nd & 13Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.26

Dare Ogunbowale run for 20 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dare Ogunbowale 1 Yd Run (Andrew Endicott Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 9 yds to the WMich 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 11 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Jarvion Franklin run for 12 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington Thompson

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.82

Zach Terrell sacked by T.J. Watt for a loss of 10 yards to the WMich 47

4th & 20Penalty+5 yds

Coleman, James punt 38 yards to the WISCONSIN15, fair catch by Peavy, Jazz, PENALTY WISCONSIN running into kicker (Neuville, Zander) 5 yards to the WISCONSIN48, NO PLAY.

4th & 15Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 12

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Corey Clement run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 9

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 10

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Alex Hornibrook pass complete to George Rushing for 11 yds to the Wisc 21

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Zach Terrell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Zach Terrell run for 3 yds to the WMich 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.33

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 8 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Chukwuma Okorafor) to the Wisc 45

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael Henry, broken up by Chikwe Obasih

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 7 yds to the Wisc 38

4th & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.53

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 10 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Wisc 22

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the Wisc 12

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 5 yds to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Wisc 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Wisc 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Zach Terrell 2 Yd Run (Butch Hampton Kick)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Bart Houston sacked by Caleb Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 24

2nd & 11Rush+51 ydsPPA +4.18

Jazz Peavy run for 51 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.95

Corey Clement run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 29

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 30

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.14

Bart Houston pass complete to George Rushing for 16 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the WMich 7

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Corey Clement run for no gain to the WMich 7

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (David Edwards) to the WMich 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Bart Houston pass incomplete to Troy Fumagalli

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -0.52

Andrew Endicott 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zach Terrell run for 2 yds to the WMich 27

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Zach Terrell run for 12 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by T.J. Watt

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.13

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 17 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.48

Jarvion Franklin run for 23 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Wisc 10

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.67

Butch Hampton 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bart Houston pass complete to Corey Clement for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 6 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (David Edwards) to the Wisc 31

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 4 yds to the Wisc 36

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.53

Bart Houston sacked by Robert Spillane for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 27

4th & 19Punt+1 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 1 yd to the WMich 35 Darius Phillips fumbled, recovered by WMich Drake Spears

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Zach Terrell run for 7 yds to the WMich 42

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the Wisc 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Wisc 48

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Coleman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jazz Peavy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.31

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 28 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 12 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Corey Clement run for 12 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the WMich 32

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the WMich 30

4th & 3Penalty-15 yds

Houston, Bart pass complete to Fumagalli, Troy for 7 yards to the WESTMICH23, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Steffes, Eric) 15 yards to the WESTMICH45, NO PLAY.

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds, downed at the WMich 3

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.04

Zach Terrell pass intercepted T.J. Edwards return for no gain to the WMich 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the WMich 11

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the WMich 8

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.86

Troy Fumagalli 8 Yd pass from Alex Hornibrook (Andrew Endicott Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 4 yds to the WMich 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 42

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Terrell, Zach pass complete to Henry, Michael for 26 yards to the WISCONSIN24, PENALTY WESTMICH holding (Okorafor, Chukwuma) 10 yards to the WESTMICH40, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.07

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 18 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 8 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Zach Terrell sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 31 Zach Terrell fumbled, forced by Vince Biegel, recovered by WMich Taylor Moton , return for 0 yards

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 4 yds Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by T.J. Watt, recovered by WMich Jarvion Franklin

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 10 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the Wisc 11

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Terrell pass incomplete, broken up by Alec James

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Wisc 11

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.19

Corey Davis 11 Yd pass from Zach Terrell (Butch Hampton PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the WMich 46

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Corey Clement run for no gain to the WMich 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.77

Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 26 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Corey Clement run for no gain to the WMich 20

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the WMich 16

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.99

Austin Ramesh run for 10 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 8

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play